Monomoy Girl readies for the Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) at Churchill Downs (c) Coady Photography

The $2 million Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) will feature a match-up between the leading three-year-old filly Monomoy Girl and the leading older female Abel Tasman. A total of 12 runners have been pre-entered for the 1 1/8-mile event at Churchill Downs on November 3 and let’s review the last three BRIS Speed ratings for the eight Distaff winners this decade.

DISTAFF WINNERS (2010-17)

Unbridled Forever:

 

100

 

 

94

 

 

105

 

 

 

Beholder:

 

106

 

 

107

 

 

106

 

 

 

Stopchargingmaria:

 

94

 

 

100

 

 

107

 

 

 

Untapable:

 

96

 

 

96

 

 

101

 

 

 

Beholder:

 

103

 

 

91

 

 

103

 

 

 

Royal Delta:

 

105

 

 

106

 

 

106

 

 

 

Royal Delta:

 

95

 

 

104

 

 

93

 

 

 

Unrivaled Belle:

 

104

 

 

105

 

 

101

 

 

 

Analysis

Every Distaff winner this decade has posted a triple-digit BRIS Speed rating, including six with multiple numbers.

Three Distaff winners – Stopchargingmaria, Untapable and Royal Delta (first of back-to-back wins in 2011) – recorded a BRIS Speed rating in the mid-90s in the final prep.

The minimum threshold for Distaff winner this decade has been a 91 BRIS Speed rating.

2018 DISTAFF CONTENDERS

Abel Tasman:

 

82

 

 

107

 

 

101

 

 

 

Blue Prize:

 

99

 

 

101

 

 

102

 

 

 

Champagne Problems:

 

99

 

 

101

 

 

97

 

 

 

Furiously Kissed:

 

93

 

 

94

 

 

93

 

 

 

La Force:

 

93

 

 

102

 

 

98

 

 

 

Midnight Bisou:

 

104

 

 

96

 

 

93

 

 

 

Monomoy Girl:

 

105

 

 

96

 

 

100

 

 

 

Mopotism:

 

89

 

 

97

 

 

88

 

 

 

Vale Dori:

 

94

 

 

84

 

 

94

 

 

 

Verve’s Tale:

 

98

 

 

94

 

 

88

 

 

 

Wonder Gadot:

 

92

 

 

87

 

 

88

 

 

 

Wow Cat:

 

102

 

 

96

 

 

94

 

 

 

Analysis

Only three contenders — Abel Tasman, Blue Prize and Monomoy Girl – have registered multiple triple-digit BRIS Speed ratings.

The top performers in the field are Abel Tasman, 107 for Personal Ensign (G1) win two starts back; Monomoy Girl, 105 for Cotillion (G1) (finished first but placed second) last out; Midnight Bisou, 104 for Cotillion DQ win last out; 102, Blue Prize for Fleur de Lis (G2) win three back; La Force, 102 for Clement Hirsch (G1) runner-up two back; and Wow Cat, 102 for Beldame (G1) win last out.

Five pre-entrants – Fuhriously Kissed, Mopotism, Vale Dori, Verve’s Tale and Wonder Gadot have failed to reach the triple-digit threshold.