The $2 million Distaff (G1) has been one of the most formful among 14 Breeders Cup races, with Monomoy Girl becoming the seventh scorer to return less than a $10 winning mutuel this decade, and every winner had posted at least one triple-digit BRIS Speed rating in the last few starts. Let’s compare the last three BRIS Speed ratings of Distaff winners this decade and 2019 contenders.

Breeders’ Cup Distaff winners (2010-18)

Monomoy Girl:105
96
100
Unbridled Forever:100
94
105
Beholder:106
107
106
Stopchargingmaria:94
100
107
Untapable:96
96
101
Beholder:103
91
103
Royal Delta:105
106
106
Royal Delta:95
104
93
Unrivaled Belle:104
105
101

Speed Rating Analysis:

All nine earned a triple-digit BRIS Speed rating, including six with multiple figures.

Two of the last five winners, with a total of three this decade, registered a Speed number in the mid-90s in the final prep.

The last two winners received an improved Speed rating in the final prep.

Breeders’ Cup Distaff contenders (alphabetical)

Blue Prize:102
104
99
Dunbar Road:101
99
87
La Force:91
94
92
Midnight Bisou:96
98
90
Mo See Cal:99
88
89
Ollie’s Candy:95
98
92
Paradise Woods:97
89
92
Secret Spice:95
98
97
Serengeti Empress:81
101
92
Street Band:98
96
97
Wow Cat:92
87
92

Speed Rating Analysis:

Blue Prize, Dunbar Road and Serengeti Empress are the only contenders to earn a triple digit BRIS Speed rating in the last three starts.

Presumptive champion older female and Horse of the Year hopeful Midnight Bisou, unbeaten from seven starts in 2019, does not have a triple digit Speed figure in her last three outings.

Blue Prize (102 and 104) is the lone contender with multiple triple digit numbers.

La Force (91), Serengeti Empress (81) and Wow Cat (92) do not fit the profile with lower Speed numbers in the final prep.

Dunbar Road, Mo See Cal, Paradise Woods, Street Band and Wow Cat improved their Speed rating in the final prep.