by Tim Holland
Handicapper Tim Holland analyizes the races at Gulfstream Park this Sunday and gives his expert picks to you.
Editor’s Note: As of May 6, 2020 Tim Holland has delivered with 329 races, 76 winners (23%) and a profit of 14% on all picks, (with off-the-turf races not counting) and when looking at runners with odds of 5-1 or higher, increases to a profit of 33%. Tuesday’s picks did particularly well.
Claimers going 5 furlongs include #5 Sugar Bolt (2-1), who tries claiming company off a fading unplaced effort over the course and distance in early December. Daughter of speedy sire Can the Man has a record of 6-1-2-2 on this turf and has been working well for trainer Fawkes, who wins with 13% that have not raced for 90+ days and with 13% first time for a tag. 4-year-old figures to be the one to catch with Jaramillo up.
#6 Gran Champagne (10-1) did not get the best of trips when closing while unplaced last month in his first start on grass and third outing overall. Son of He’s Had Enough is a half-brother to one winner on turf and trainer Barboza won with three of his last 11 runners second on grass. Gray can be running late with Reyes in the saddle.
Trainer Navarro won with 4 of his last 16 runners that were beaten as the favorite last time out and saddles #5 La Flamenca (6-1), who was beaten when the choice in her latest over 7 furlongs facing better in March. Navarro has won with 18% of his runners at this meet and filly has a record of 4-1-1-1 on this oval. Dark bay is likely to be in front early with Rodriguez riding.
Plenty of early speed going 5 furlongs on grass may set up well for #8 Life in Shambles (8-1), who was claimed by Peter Walder when flattening out to finish sixth on the main track at Aqueduct in his latest in early March. 9-year-old won one of six previous starts on turf and gets blinkers added by Walder, who wins with 21% first off the claim and with 11% that have not raced for 46-90 days. Gray can be along from off the pace under Vasquez, who has won with three of his last 10 rides for the barn.
#1 Hy Riverside (8-1) drops into a claiming event for the first time off an unplaced effort over the track and distance in his second start after a near five-month break. Chestnut has a record of 31-6-5-4 on this oval and trainer Sano wins with 16% of his runners third off a layoff. Gelding can get a good trip from just off the pace and may be tough at this level with Gaffalione aboard.
Trainer Gargan wins with 26% of his runners that have not raced for 90+ days and saddles #5 Fuel the Bern (7-2), who has not been seen since fading to finish unplaced at Aqueduct at this distance in February. Recent works include a solid 4-furlong move in :47 4/5 a week ago for Gargan, who has won with 32% of his runners at this meet. Son of Bernardini can be in good position throughout with Landeros taking the mount.
Sprinters going 6 furlongs in the finale include #10 Quijote (9-2), who drops into a claiming event for the first time off a fading fifth place finish over the track and distance in March. Trainer Baxter wins with 31% of her runners first time for a tag and dark bay has a record of 13-2-1-1 on this oval. Gelding can be along from just off the pace with Irad Ortiz in the saddle.