The son of Constitution has been sublime in all but one career effort, and if he puts his best foot forward going 1 1/4 miles beneath the Twin Spires, the field will likely be running for second behind the New York-bred. So how does a bettor attack the race to make money even if the “chalk” delivers as expected? I have a few suggestions.
Singling Tiz the Law in the horizontal wagers will be a popular course of action for many, and I could never argue with that strategy, but it’s not a play I will be drawn to on Saturday. My focus will be on the vertical exotics (exacta, trifecta and superfecta), and finding a longshot or two will be necessary to help boost the reward. It often takes only one “bomb” to balloon the payoffs in the Kentucky Derby.
I have particular interest in a trio of contenders that I think could hit the board at high odds. #3 Enforceable (30-1) has been pointing to this race since his juvenile campaign and will enter as fit as any runner in the field. The Mark Casse trainee is a consistently good closer who figures to thrive going 1 1/4 miles at Churchill Downs. Gray Tapit colt is not the strongest win threat in the field, but he looks ready to deliver his best in the Derby.
The effort put forth by #13 Attachment Rate (50-1) in the Ellis Park Derby most recently has me excited about his chances for Dale Romans. Chestnut son of Hard Spun was a clear second behind Art Collector, who would have been no worse than the third choice if he hadn’t bypassed the Derby, and I truly believe Attachment Rate will appreciate racing 1 1/4 miles under Joe Talamo.
My suggested wagers using Tiz the Law on top:
- Exacta: 17 with 3,13
- Trifecta: 17 with 3,13 with ALL
- Trifecta: 17 with ALL with 3,13
- Superfecta: 17 with 16 with 3,13 with ALL
- Superfecta: 17 with 16 with ALL with 3,13