Probability (NY)
Improbable (2016)-Perazzi (2011)Chestnut, Gelding, 4BREEDER
Spruce Lane Farm, William R. Conley Jr.Thoroughbreds, Becker Bloodstock, et al.OWNER
The Elkstone Group LLC (Stuart Grant)RECORDLIFE
STR9
WN2
PL3
SH1
EARNINGS$116,970
Average Speed75Average Class110.9Best Speed0
Pedigree
Improbable (2016)ProbabilityPerazzi (2011)
City Zip (1998)Rare Event (2009)Curlin (2004)Avenging Tomisue (2000)
Probability is a 4-year-old Chestnut Gelding by Improbable (2016) out of Perazzi (2011). Bred in NY by Spruce Lane Farm, William R. Conley Jr.Thoroughbreds, Becker Bloodstock, et al. and owned by The Elkstone Group LLC (Stuart Grant), Probability has a lifetime record of 2-3-1 and a total of $116,970 in North American races.
Performances
Race Results
FINGER LAKES
2026-07-07RacetypeAllowance
Distance1 1/16 M
SurfaceDIRT
ConditionsFast
PRG (PP)5
Odds6-5
Finish1
BL2
CommentRail trns,ridden out
SARATOGA
2026-06-03RacetypeAllowance
Distance1 1/8 M
SurfaceI
ConditionsFirm
PRG (PP)1
Odds44
Finish11
BL14
CommentIns,stdy5/16,2p,3p1/4
AQUEDUCT
2026-04-17RacetypeAllowance
Distance1 1/8 M
SurfaceDIRT
ConditionsFast
PRG (PP)8
Odds9-5
Finish8
BL15
Comment4-3w 1st, duel, tired
AQUEDUCT
2026-03-22RacetypeMaiden Special Weight
Distance1 M
SurfaceDIRT
ConditionsFast
PRG (PP)2
Odds1-2
Finish1
BL3
CommentIn hand ins, edged clr
AQUEDUCT
2026-02-27RacetypeMaiden Special Weight
Distance6 1/2 F
SurfaceDIRT
ConditionsMuddy
PRG (PP)5
Odds7-5
Finish2
BL1
Comment4-5p,6p1/4,outfinished
Workouts
SARATOGA
2026-06-30Distance4F
SurfaceDIRT
ConditionsFast
Time48.34 B
Rank6 of 18
SARATOGA
2026-06-24Distance4F
SurfaceDIRT
ConditionsFast
Time47.33 B
Rank1 of 21
SARATOGA
2026-06-16Distance4F
SurfaceDIRT
ConditionsFast
Time49.50 B
Rank14 of 21
BELMONT PARK
2026-05-20Distance4F
SurfaceTR.D
ConditionsFast
Time48.23 B
Rank6 of 44
BELMONT PARK
2026-05-13Distance4F
SurfaceTR.D
ConditionsFast
Time48.36 B
Rank6 of 52
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