Jackpot 5 Analysis – 3/22/2014

Jackpot 5 03/22/2014

Advance Weather Forecast
High 71 Low 63.


1st JP5 About 1m (Turf) Clm $17,500 4yo and up Fillies and Mares , Purse: $18,300. 4:55/( 3:55)/ 2:55/ 1:55
Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double,$0.50 Pick 3 (races 6-7-8) / $0.50 Black Gold 5 (races 6-10)
#   Horse ML   Comments
8   Reina de Diamantes 3/1   Five-year-old is first on BRIS Prime Power and earned top ranking on Speed Last Race when third against better over the course and distance earlier this month when making her second start after a short break and has won two of her nine career starts on grass. Daughter of 11% turf sire Monarchos is trained by Morris Nicks who wins with 19% of his runners on grass and with 22% third time off a layoff. Mare has some tactical speed and can be stalking the early leaders with Robby Albarado retaining the mount.
7   Hughes 6/1   Four-year-old has a record of 6-1-2-1 on grass and earned top ranking on BRIS Early Pace Last Race when leading from the start to win on the main track at Remington Park in late October. Daughter of 10% grass sire Henny Hughes will make her first start for trainer Bret Calhoun who wins with 24% of his runners that have not raced for 90 days or more and who has won with 21% of his starters at this meet. Filly can be on or near the lead from the start with Miguel Mena riding.
2   Chinchero 4/1   Chestnut comes off an unplaced effort here earlier this month after being forwardly placed early in her first start since November. Daughter of 12% turf sire Even The Score will make her third start since being claimed by Paul McGee who wins with 20% of his runners in claiming events and with 9% of his starters on grass. Four-year-old has some early speed and can be near the front from the start breaking from near the inside with Marcelino Pedroza remaining aboard.
6   C P Hath a Way 5/1   Seven-year-old is first on BRIS Back Speed and comes off a disappointing effort over the course and distance last month from which heat the first two finishers returned to win their next starts. Daughter of Include is trained by Greg Foley who wins with 16% of his runners in claiming races and with 15% of his starters on grass. Barn has been cold this meet but mare could be a contender for a share with Shaun Bridgmohan remaining aboard.

2nd JP5 1m 70 Yards MdnClm $12,500 3&4&5yo's, Purse: $15,600. 5:25/( 4:25)/ 3:25/ 2:25
Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double,$0.50 Pick 3 (races 7-8-9) / $0.50 Pick 4 (races 7-8-9-10)
#   Horse ML   Comments
2   Citizen Manette 8/5   Son of Proud Citizen earned top ranking on BRIS Speed Last Race and Late Pace Last Race when narrowly defeated here early this month in his second start for trainer Wayne Catalano. Four-year-old is also first on Prime Power and Average Class Last 3 and Catalano wins with 22% of his runners in maiden claiming events and has won with 12% of his starters at this meet. Dark bay can be running from just off the pace with James Graham in the saddle today.
4   Straight Up Bill 7/2   Gelding is still a maiden after twenty lifetime starts but is first on BRIS Current Class and comes off a fifth place finish behind the top selection over the track and distance earlier this month. Son of Sligo Bay is trained by Bobby Barnett who wins with 5% of his runners in maiden claiming events and five-year-old can be running late under Brian Hernandez but loses previous rider Graham to the top selection.
5   Conserve 4/1   Son of Tapit has hit the board in eleven of his twenty one lifetime starts without winning and comes off an unplaced effort behind the top selection here this month. Gelding is first on BRIS Back Speed and is from the barn of Vickie Foley who wins with 6% of her runners in maiden claiming events and bay can be running late for a chance at a share with E T Baird retaining the mount.

3rd JP5 1m Grade III 3yo Fillies, Purse: $125,000. ( 5:42)/ 4:42/ 3:42/ 2:42
Exacta / Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Pick 3 (races 10-11-12) / Daily Double
#   Horse ML   Comments
4   Sloane Square 3/1   Gray filly by Giant's Causeway has been very impressive from a pair of dominant runs to kick start her career and we think she could be a real nice one. Improving gray filly has a huge turn of foot and will go for a barn at 27% first time going long that should pose no problem with her pedigree. The filly is cut out to be a fine one out of an excellent race mare, and this barn rarely ships without good reason. Formidable and gets a huge rider upgrade to Johnnie V.
9   Shanon Nicole 6/1   Chestnut filly by Majestic Warrior was a good third we thought last time after running into a superb winner in a Grade 3 race at Fair Grounds in a very deep field, and she looms a chance in her synthetic debut on this occasion. Kentucky-bred filly has been pretty consistent and good as of late and might have the right running style for the race, for a conditioner in Mike Maker who is 27% here and also 24% dirt to the All Weather. Rosie riding adds to the appeal.
10   Zensational Bunny 10/1   Speedy stakes winner by Zensational is perfect from a pair of synthetic runs to date and could be the one to catch going two turns first time for Casse, 17% first time at a route. Sophomore miss is bred for stamina some on the dam's side and we like the string of five furlong drills leading up to this and we have a hunch that the lass might be tough if she is allowed to clear the field early from this wider post slot. A dangerous longshot worth using in a lot of plays.

4th JP5 6f Non-graded 3yo, Purse: $100,000. 6:09/( 5:09)/ 4:09/ 3:09
First Half Late Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta
#   Horse ML   Comments
10   Boji Moon 2/1   Has visited the winner's circle in four of six career starts thus far which includes a couple of wins versus stakes competition. The gelding will be making his first start since back in early February when he put in a nice effort here while facing allowance competition in which he stalked the pace early and finished well late to claim the victory by 1 1/4 lengths. He posted the best Last Race BRIS Speed rating in that effort and he tops the field in BRIS Prime Power by over seven points in addition to possessing the best BRIS Class rating. Trainer Chris Richard wins with 26% of his runners returning from layoffs between 46 and 90 days and with 27% of his runners next out after winning their start prior. In addition, he wins 20% of non-graded stakes races. Terry Thompson gets the call and he has combined with the conditioner for a 25% win rate over the last 60 days.
2   Kendall's Boy 6/1   Moves into the listed stakes ranks and returns to sprinting after putting in a disappointing performance last out in his second start back from the layoff in the Southwest S. (G3) in which he stalked the pace early before fading to finish up the track. The bay visited the winner's circle while sprinting versus allowance/optional claiming competition at Fair Grounds in the start prior. Trainer Tom Amoss wins with 33% of his runners making their third start off the layoff and 24% of the non-graded stakes races he has a runner in. He adds the blinkers today and that is a move he wins with 25% of the time. Clifton Berry gets the call and he wins 20% of the sprints he has a mount in.
8   Brewing 6/1   Showed drastic improvement here last out while facing maiden special weight competition in his second start back from the layoff as he took the lead out of the gate and finished well late to claim the victory by 4 1/4 lengths while positing a very solid BRIS Speed rating. The colt is capable of even better in his third start back and trainer D. Wayne Lukas has had some success in non-graded stakes races. Jon Court gets the call.
6   Guns Loaded 6/1   Came back from the layoff here last out with a nice effort while facing allowance/optional claiming competition in which he stalked the pace early and finished well late to claim the victory by three parts of a length. A repeat of that effort will make him a contender in this spot and he is capable of better in his second start back. Trainer Cody Autrey wins with 20% of his runners next out after winning their start prior and 21% of the non-graded stakes races he has a runner in. Norberto Arroyo Jr. gets the call.

5th JP5 1 1/8m Grade III 3yo, Purse: $550,000. ( 6:28)/ 5:28/ 4:28/ 3:28
Exacta / Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double/ Super Hi 5
#   Horse ML   Comments
5   Coastline 8/1   Dangerous contender from the barn of Mark Casse exits a fourth-place finish in the Southwest (G3) on the dirt and gets back on the All Weather where the colt was a fine maiden winner in his lone Polytrack run, posting a fine 98 Speed number in the process. Capable son of Speightstown is doing well in advance of this with a bullet drill most recently on a synthetic oval, and we consider him to be a likely overlay in the field for a 24% dirt to synthetic outfit. Upset nod with Stewart Elliot in the irons.
11   We Miss Artie 4/1   Talented son of Artie Schiller was a fine winner in his lone synthetic run when rolling home a big winner in the Breeders' Futurity (G1), and he looms large coming off a subpar showing on the dirt behind a real nice field last time. Prime Power 3rd seems to have bounced out of his latest in good order with solid morning drills as of late for a trainer at 25% with shippers. Tactical sort draws well and will likely be stalking near midpack with a big chance at the top of the lane. John Velazquez coming to ride is a big plus.
4   Tamarando 3/1   Classy Grade 1 winner ships in from the Golden State for conditioner Jerry Hollendorfer and could be the one to beat. Consistently good son of Bertrando has a fine turn of foot and always fires, in addition to sporting a 7-4-1-1 synthetic mark for a conditioner who is very good with shippers and knows how to place them. Dark bay colt brings along Russell Baze to ride and is 44% for this outfit last 60 days.
3   Poker Player 5/1   Gray son of Harlan's Holiday made a big late run from well back to be a nice second in the Battaglia and surely could improve second time out in 2014. Wayne Catalano made a nice late burst with blinkers added last time and could receive a much better pace to rally into today for a conditioner who is 19% second off the layoff and 28% with a beaten favorite leading up to this. Grade 3 winner will be hoping for a big speed duel and saving ground to the top of the lane. Regular rider Channing Hill will pilot the Prime Power leader.