Jackpot 5 Analysis for Friday, Sept. 27

Jackpot 5 09/27/2013


1st JP5 1m (Turf) MdnSpWt 3yo and up Fillies and Mares , Purse: $67,100. ( 4:26)/ 3:26/ 2:26/ 1:26
First Half Late Double / Exactor /.20 Triactor / .20 Superfecta
# HorseML   Comments
7  Blessed One10/1  Upset contender ran a nice third in a main oval sprint in her first outing and could thrive on the switch to the green combined with running long, as well. Three-year-old filly by good turf sire North Light is bred to run this far at least for conditioner Danny Vella, who is 15% first time going long. The sophomore gave the impression of a grinder who would excel at two turns last time, and she could be the one with a sensible voyage beneath Justin Stein.
8  Curlin's Needle3/1  Malcom Pierce trainee showed big improvement stretching out last time for the initial time, making a nice move into the lane before being outrun in a nice third place finish. Sophomore filly by Curlin ranks second in Prime Power for a conditioner at 19% second time at a route, and if the miss improves in this affair, she is ab obvious player for a barn having a solid meeting here. Eurico Da Silva keeps the reins and could be pretty close in the early stages of this maiden run.
1  Tapitstry7/2  Gray filly by Tapit gets a nice draw on the rail for her second try for conditioner Mark Casse, and the four-year-old is an obvious win player in this one. Kin to eight winners from nine to race, the Ontario-bred is half to some fine and accomplished turf runners, and she goes for an outfit at 20% second w/trainer, as well as 16% second time on the lawn. Gary Boulanger has the assignment and should be a few lengths back early on.
10  Dont Miss Crissy6/1  Roger Attfield trainee ranks third in Prime Power and gets a long look to kick off this sequence despite drawing the widest post of all. Four-year-old filly by Pleasant Tap was up close before having little left in the lane here most recently at ten panels on a 'good' turf oval, and we like the move to cut back to a mile where this lass should have a more potent late kick. Kin to a trio of turf winners from three to race, including a pair of the stakes variety, the filly should be stalking the pace early under Tyler Pizarro.

2nd JP5 5f MdnSpWt 2yo Fillies, Purse: $46,000. ( 5:28)/ 4:28/ 3:28/ 2:28
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (races 8-9-10)
# HorseML   Comments
10  Altagracia6/1  Trainer Darrin Miller is more than capable with first time starters and he will saddle this daughter of flatter, who is bred to win early on both sides of her pedigree. January foal is the first out of this dam for an outfit with a +2.13 ROI in debut maiden special weight events, and we like the outside draw for a juvenile right now. Corey Lanerie will ride -- watch the tote for more clues.
7  Hookah Lady12/1  Bay filly by Smoke Glacken has run pretty well from a pair of turf tries at Ellis and could be any kind getting on the dirt for a barn at 20% turf to dirt. James Baker pupil is cut out to be a quick one and draws outside of the speed as we see it, which could give Miguel Mena a dream trip in the early stages of this race. Bullet gate work on this main oval instills confidence.
3  Red Miracle8/1  Chestnut filly by Forestry has faced tons better from a pair of runs at Saratoga and could be the one to catch in this dash. $10,000 yearling buy led early before throwing in the towel most recently, but lands in a spot lacking a ton of depth with Santana taking the reins. :48 2/5 local drill here indicates that this one likes it here, and she's not impossible to fathom in a wide open race.
2  Side Street4/1  Second timer tops the field in Prime Power and rates a chance for sure after a productive first run where this one was in the hunt until very late. Daughter of Street Sense ran into a pretty solid field in that debut and wasn't totally dead on the board for a conditioner who is 1-for-7 with second time runners. Kin to four winners from five to run, the May foal is a bit later than most of these but should surely improve with the experience.

3rd JP5 About 5 1/2f (Turf) AlwOClm $40,000 3yo and up, Purse: $40,000. 5:43/( 4:43)/ 3:43/ 2:43
$2 Win/place/show / $2 Daily Double (6-7) / $2 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta,$0.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (races 6-8),$0.50 twinspires.com Late Pick 4 (races 6-9)
# HorseML   Comments
1  Next Speaker9/2  Son of Broken Vow closed to win from off the pace over the course and distance after a slow start in his latest in mid-August and now has a record of 2-1-0-1 on the Arlington turf course. Trainer Dale Bennett wins with 21% of his runners that won their last start and has won with 24% of his starters at this meet. Three-year-old, who posted a four furlong bullet work in 48 seconds ten days ago, has shown tactical speed in previous races and can be running from just off the pace breaking from the rail under James Graham who won with one of his last four mounts for the barn.
6  Yankee Injunuity7/2  Son of Yankee Victor has won five of his sixteen starts sprinting on this turf course and comes off a second place finish on the main track in late August when making his first start after a short break. Nine-year-old is from the barn of James McMullen who wins with 11% of his runners on turf and dark bay’s closing run style may be helped by a strong early pace here with E T Baird retaining the mount.
7  Muppet Man6/1  Three-year-old comes off a fading fifth place finish over six and a half furlongs on the main track here last month after dueling for the lead while earning top ranking on BRIS Early Pace Last Race. Son of 12% grass sire Corinthian worked five furlongs in 58 4/5 twelve days ago for trainer James DiVito who wins with 14% of his runners on grass and colt can be on or near the lead from the start with Rosemary Homeister riding.
2  Wekiva Wachee8/1  Gray was last seen when third at this level over five furlongs at Indiana Downs in an even effort when making his second start after a short break and has won two of his seven previous starts on the Arlington turf course. Trainer Mike Dini wins with 8% of his runners in allowance events and has won with 10% of his starters this meet and son of Wekiva Springs can be running late under Tim Thornton.

4th JP5 1m (Turf) AlwOClm $62,500 3yo and up Fillies and Mares , Purse: $50,000. ( 5:59)/ 4:59/ 3:59/ 2:59
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
# HorseML   Comments
5  Poetic Kid5/2  Morning line choice and one to beat from the barn of Wayne Catalano comes off a pair of tallies in succession and looms large in making her local debut. Dark bay four-year-old has good positional speed and a turn of foot, and the Prime Power second goes for an outfit at 21% with a winner last time out, for a jockey/trainer combo at 29% with go-to rider Channing Hill in the irons. Lots to like with this daughter of Shakespeare.
4  Piracicaba5/1  French import is the wildcard in the field and could be any type for trainer Kenny McPeek who can do well with these kinds. Four-year-old daughter of top sire Dansili is unplaced from a trio of runs this season, and while the lass could surely need one on U. S. soil, she lands in a very winnable spot and gets Lasix for the initial time. We like that this barn brought the lass to Saratoga this summer, hinting she could have a touch of quality to her. Robby Albarado will guide the bay.
3  Annabird5/1  Dark bay filly by Flower Alley was a fine winner on the quirky lawn at Kentucky Downs most recently and rates a big shot in this mostly wide open field third time out for this barn. Four-year-old miss seems to be in a very good form cycle as of late and tops the field in Average Speed for a conditioner at 20% with a winner last time out. Antonio Castanon will retain the ride and likely doing his best work from well off the pace in this spot.
6  Ultimate Class7/2  Tricky read has won or placed in all three runs on this lawn and makes some sense in this one for Michael Tomlinson. Six-year-old mare has done most of her best work sprinting on the lawn, and she is a curious one to figure on the stretch out, though she could be the speed of the field. Kentucky-bred will always be in the mix and might forget to stop if left alone to the turn for home. Miguel Mena has the assignment.

5th JP5 7f Clm $7,500 3yo and up Fillies and Mares , Purse: $10,500. 6:13/( 5:13)/ 4:13/ 3:13
$2 Win/place/show / $2 Daily Double (7-8) / $2 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta,$0.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (races 7-9)
# HorseML   Comments
1  Miss Clark County5/2  BRIS Prime Power selection comes off a fourth place finish here eight days ago over a mile against better and is also first on Back Speed and Current and Average Class Last 3. Daughter of English Channel has a record of 6-2-0-1 on all-weather track and is trained by Ingrid Mason who wins with 11% of her runners dropping two classes and with 17% of her starters overall in claiming races and chestnut has some speed and can be forwardly placed from the start breaking from the rail with James Graham retaining the moun
4  Roman Innocence6/1  Mare earned top ranking on BRIS Speed Last Race and Late Pace Last Race when second at this level over six furlongs two weeks ago. Daughter of Roman Ruler is from the barn of Jessica Howell who has won with one of her fifteen starters at this meet and five-year-old can be a contender running from off the pace with Channing Hill remaining aboard.
7  Red Lite Nite8/1  Chestnut comes off a second place finish at this level over a mile and a sixteenth a week ago here after being involved from the start and now has a record of 4-0-2-2 on this track. Trainer Robert Gorham wins with 20% of his runners in claiming races and with 14% going from a route to a sprint and filly can be stalking the early leaders with Carlos Montalvo in the saddle.
6  Silver Crush10/1  Gray was last seen when unplaced on turf against better over a mile and a sixteenth early this month and has won one of her seven starts on the Arlington Polytrack. Daughter of Milwaukee Brew is trained by Janice Ely who wins with 11% of her runners going from a sprint to a route but six-year-old has won just two of her forty four lifetime starts and may be a contender for minor honors at best.