Jackpot 5 Free Analysis for Sunday, October 20

Jackpot 5 10/20/2013


1st JP5 1 1/16m (Turf) Non-graded 2yo, Purse: $250,000. ( 3:20)/ 2:20/ 1:20/12:20
Exactor /.20 Triactor /.20 Pick 3 ( Races 6-7-8) / .20 Superfecta
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2  Cool Faith8/1  Bay filly by Pulpit was a sharp and professional winner at first asking on this lawn in a race we loved, and now the lass will try the boys in this stakes spot. Paul Attard trainee was not well bet in her first run but that doesn't affect our view of her chances in this one for a conditioner at 22% in non graded stakes runs and 21% with a maiden winner last time out. Expect this one to be forwardly placed some from a nice post for her running style under Omar Moreno.
5  Go Bro4/1  Third time showed vast improvement when adding Lasix and switching to the turf after a lackluster debut when a nice second in the summer S. (G2) behind a real nice one, and another forward move could vault this one to the winners circle with a well timed ride. Michael Keough trainee has a nice turn of foot and shows a trio of nice morning drills in advance of this, and could carve out a useful trip this afternoon. Tyler Pizzaro has the assignment.
7  Matador3/1  Summer S. (G2) third ran into a monster last time who came back to bag a Grade 1 run at Keeneland, and the Mark Casse pupil rates an obvious chance today in a pair of solid stakes tries to kick start her career. Bay son of Malibu Moon is kin to a grassy winner from one to race and faced softer today for the most part for a conditioner who is 20% at this meeting and pretty good second time on the lawn. Luis Contreras rides and should be stalking from off the pace today.
10  Tower of Texas15/1  Bay colt has run on the main oval in a trio of off the turf runs to date and should get the turf to run upon today for conditioner Roger Attfield. Bay colt by Street Sense showed some improvement last time when stretching out for the initial time as well as wearing blinkers with a nice second from off the pace some, and if he moves up on the turf, he could be a big danger at a price today for a top barn at 22% first time on the lawn. February foal shows a pair of useful drills to prepare for this and will have Gary Boulanger in the silks.

2nd JP5 1 1/16m MdnSpWt 3yo and up Fillies and Mares , Purse: $67,100. ( 3:52)/ 2:52/ 1:52/12:52
Exactor /.20 Triactor /.20 Pick 3 (races 7-8-9) /.20 Pick 4 (races 7-8-9-10),.20 Superfecta
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2  Lady Rouge9/5  Bay filly by Ghostzapper ran a huge second against the bo6ys two prior on this main oval, and after a failed turf try most recently, the sophomore gets back on this oval. First foal out of a winning dam is clearly capable of topping this mostly average field and should be fresh off the bench for a 13% turf to all weather barn. Expect pilot Gary Boulanger to have this miss in the second flight early and with a big shot turning for home.
7  Frere Pilgrim6/1  Prime Power second will make his second run since being claimed by Brian Lynch and the daughter of Indian Charlie rates a nice shot in this one. Four-year-old miss made a nice middle move before tiring late, and though bred to sprint, the Florida-bred has the speed to be in the mix or even on the lead in here for an outfit at 19% going sprint to route. Luis Contreras will guide the bay and is 25% for this outfit last 60 days. Second three back in her lone route attempt to date.
1  Karma Strikes4/1  Bay filly by Smart Strike gets a nice draw along the rail and rates an obvious chance in this endeavor. Out of a graded winner and kin to nine winners from nine to run, the sophomore filly has hinted at breaking through with a few solid tries and was a big second two back on this Polytrack. We like the stretch out to two turns which this lass surely wants with Chernetz in the irons. Chance while saving ground early on.

3rd JP5 1 1/16m Alw 2yo, Purse: $58,000. ( 4:17)/ 3:17/ 2:17/ 1:17
Double-exacta-trifecta($.50 min)-pick 3($.50min)(races 7-8-9)-superfecta($.10,min)
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4  King Cyrus3/1  BRIS Prime Power selection has not been seen since being no factor in the Grade One Hopeful Stakes in early September in his first start since impressively breaking his maiden in his debut by eleven lengths at Saratoga in August. Son of Bellamy Road posted a four furlong work in 48 4/5 here six days ago for trainer Todd Pletcher who wins with 26% of his runners that have not raced for 46-90 days and with 27% going a route for the first time. Bay has early speed and can be on or near the front from the start under Javier Castellano who was aboard for colt's two career starts.
2  Matuszak5/2  Dark bay is first on BRIS Current Class and was last seen when closing to break his maiden in his debut at this distance at Churchill in September. Trainer Bill Mott wins with 21% of his runners that broke their maiden last time out and has won with two of his first six starters at this meet and son of Bernardini is out of a stakes winning mare and can be a factor late under Shaun Bridgmohan.
1  Rope a Dope4/1  Son of Broken Vow comes off a maiden breaking win on turf over six and a half fulongs at Kentucky Downs in his debut last month when recovering from a slow start while earning top ranking on BRIS Speed Last Race and Late Pace Last Race. Colt posted a five furlong work here in 59 2/5 eight days ago for trainer Wayne Catalano who wins with 19% of his runners going from a sprint to a route and with 24% that broke their maiden last time out and two-year-old can be running from off the pace with Rosie Napravnik retaining the mount.

4th JP5 1m (Turf) Non-graded 3yo and up, Purse: $125,000. ( 4:24)/ 3:24/ 2:24/ 1:24
Exactor /.20 Triactor /.20 Superfecta / .20 Pick 3 (races 8-9-10)
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2  Pender Harbour9/2  Three-time local turf winner was a fine second two back in a stakes run here, finishing five clear of third while favored, and the chestnut son of Philanthropist looms large in this spot. Michael DePaulo trainee ranks second in Prime Power in the field and has the positional speed and closing kick to always be a player in this type of event, for a trainer at 18% in non graded stakes runs. Jesse Campbell stays in the saddle.
1  Good Better Best3/1  Consistently good son of Best of the Bests comes off a fine stakes win and has been first or second in all five turf tries to date on this lawn. Roger Attfield trainee gets a nice draw on the rail for this one and rates a big chance coming off a little breather for a conditioner at 22% with a winner last time out. Luis Contreras has the mount atop the speedy five-year-old who should always be in the mix of this one.
10  Ultimate Destiny5/2  Consistently good son of Dance to Destiny has been first or second in all seven races since joining the Fehr barn, but tries the lawn for the first time in a while today. Chestnut gelding has speed and a turn of foot and if he can have the same form on this course like his fine ability on the Polytrack, we'd consider this one the horse to beat. Barn 25% in non graded stakes, Da Silva has the assignment.
5  Welloiledmachine7/2  Recent Hallton S. winner led at every call on a yielding course last time and has a fine turf mark here with an 11-4-1-2 local mark. Five-year-old son of Mobil has often done good work from off the pace and his versatility should go a long way in here for Michael Keough, 20% off the 46-90 layoff. This race does have a few who might want to leave early on, so we might see the Ontario-bred relax a bit in the early stages under McAleny. Huge half-mile bullet most recently.

5th JP5 1 1/2m (Turf) Non-graded 3yo and up Fillies and Mares , Purse: $125,000. ( 4:49)/ 3:49/ 2:49/ 1:49
Double-exacta-trifecta($.50 min)-superfecta($.10 min)
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10  Left a Message6/1  Four-year-old finished to late when fourth against others that return here at Kentucky Downs last month when making her third start of the year and first since impressively winning a stakes at this distance at Woodbine in August. Daughter of Mr. Greeley won her one previous start on the Keeneland turf for trainer Tom Proctor who wins with 18% of his runners in non-graded stakes and with 19% of his starters on turf. Filly has been working well since her last start and can be running from off the pace with Robby Albarado in the saddle.
2  Preferential4/1  Daughter of leading European sire Dansili was caught late after leading in the stretch at Kentucky Downs when finishing ahead of the top selection in her fourth start in North America. Four-year-old had been a touch disappointing in her three previous starts for trainer Bill Mott who wins with 25% of his runners third time off a layoff and with 15% overall on grass. Filly looks set for a decent effort here and with some tactical speed can be near the front from the start with Leandro Goncalves retaining the mount.
4  Angel Terrace5/1  Chestnut won the Grade Three Valley View Stakes on this course last year and split the top two selections when third at Kentucky Downs in her latest last month. Daughter of excellent turf sire Ghostzapper is first on BRIS Back Speed and is trained by Jonathon Sheppard who wins with 16% of his runners in non-graded stakes. Filly can be in decent position from the start stalking the early leaders with Rosie Napravnik taking the ride.
8  Kissable7/2  BRIS Prime Power selection comes off a fifth place finish in the Grade One Flower Bowl at Belmont in late September when making her first start since early August. Trainer Roger Attfield has won with 15% of his runners this year and excels with marathon turf runners and mare has class and can be running late under Alan Garcia but more often than not finds one or two better.