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Horse Racing (Photo by Coady Photography)

Betting Strategies: Building tickets with the market in mind

Fri Sep 29 2023Kevin Kilroy

In terms of building multi-race tickets, we are betting into the races blindly, meaning we do not have any tote information about where the money is going and who might be underlays or overlays. Therefore, a lot of horseplayers end up writing tickets that simply reflect their opinions of who could win, forgetting about the notion of value.

Analysis

Churchill Downs (Photo by Coady Photography)

Churchill Downs: Early Pick 5 for Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2023

Tue Sep 26 2023Kevin Kilroy

On Wednesday, Churchill Downs fires up the final week of the September meet. Here is an early Pick 5 play that kicks off with a single in the opening leg.

Wagering

Xigera wins the 2023 Seneca Stakes (Coady Photography)

Catching My Eye: Bauer and Walsh's strong weekends at Churchill Downs

Mon Sep 25 2023Kevin Kilroy

Trainer Philip Bauer had a huge weekend, scoring with three of his four entries on Saturday and Sunday.

Wagering

A racing fan peruses the track program at Churchill Downs (Photo by Coady Photography)

Betting Strategy: Identifying lucrative multi-race sequences

Fri Sep 22 2023Kevin Kilroy

On Sunday, Sept. 17 at Churchill Downs, the Late Pick 5 paid $136,938.65. With a pool of $322,227, only two tickets correctly identified the winners of Races 6 through 10. Not one horse bet to favoritism in the win pools crossed the finish line first.

Wagering

V V's Dream at the Pocahontas at Churchill Downs

Churchill Downs (Photo by Coady Photography)

Churchill Downs Early Pick 5: Wednesday, September 20, 2023

Wed Sep 20 2023Kevin Kilroy

One week into the Churchill Downs Fall meet and the Early Pick 5 payouts are averaging just over $10,000. This five-figure trend will likely continue on Wednesday as the sequence has several vulnerable morning line favorites, including one who will surely be singled on the majority of tickets.

Features

West Saratoga leading at Churchill Downs.

West Saratoga at Churchill Downs (Photo by Coady Photography)

Catching My Eye: Opening Week at Churchill Downs

Tue Sep 19 2023Kevin Kilroy

On Thursday the three-week Fall meet at Churchill Downs kicked off, and by Saturday, a track record for most wins at Churchill Downs was secured. Thirteen races were run for juveniles, and although opening weekend saw strong efforts from older stakes horses, all eyes were on the two-year-olds as it's never too early to start thinking about the first weekend in May.

Wagering

Get Smokin at the Kentucky Turf Cup (Photo by Coady Photography)

Betting Strategy: Pursuing Opinions Worth Betting

Fri Sep 15 2023Kevin Kilroy

Kevin Kilroy discusses a unique take on betting strategy and the questions you may want to ask yourself before placing that winning bet.

Education

The Twin Spires at Churchill Downs (Photo by Coady Photography/Churchill Downs)

Churchill Downs: Early Pick 5 Opening Night Thursday Sept. 14

Thu Sep 14 2023Kevin Kilroy

Racing at Churchill Downs is back for the next three weeks, and it all kicks off with the Twilight Thursday card on Sept. 14. First post is 5 p.m. ET and I’ll be taking a swing at the Early Pick 5 to kick this meet off.

Wagering

Colonial Downs racing (Coady Photo)

Catching My Eye: Closing Day at Colonial Downs

Tue Sep 12 2023Kevin Kilroy

Kevin Kilroy goes over horses of interest as he analyzes closing day at Colonial Downs.

Analysis

Ellis Park (Photo by Coady Photography)

Catching My Eye: Closing Weekend at Ellis Park

Tue Aug 29 2023Kevin Kilroy

These are names we know and it’s no surprise to see them saddle a big maiden-winner over closing weekend at Ellis Park.

Analysis

Saratoga Racing (Photo by Horsephotos.com/Bob Newell)

Betting Strategy: So you like an underlay favorite, what now?

Sat Aug 26 2023Kevin Kilroy

You’re handicapping and you see a horse you like--a form pattern, a trainer angle, speed figures, whatever the angle. This horse should win, you think. What now?

Education

Ellis Park racing scene (Photo by Coady Photography/Ellis Park)

Catching My Eye: Cox Bags Five Over the Weekend at Ellis

Tue Aug 22 2023Kevin Kilroy

Cox racked up five more wins with nine starters, putting him at 18 wins and in position to win his fifth Ellis Park trainers' title since 2015.

Analysis

Ellis Park (Photo by Coady Photography)

Catching My Eye: A Perfect Day for Brian Lynch

Tue Aug 15 2023Kevin Kilroy

With a 10-race card including six stakes races on the dirt, this past Sunday at Ellis Park was set up for a great day of racing. The fields were stacked from top to bottom and the horses brought their best efforts resulting in thrilling finishes race after race. As a fan of the sport and a gambler, at one point all I could think was why is anyone watching or wagering on any other track?

Analysis

Ellis Park. (Photo by Coady Photography/Ellis Park)

Catching My Eye: Kentucky Downs Preview Weekend at Ellis Park

Mon Aug 07 2023Kevin Kilroy

It was Kentucky Downs Preview Weekend at Ellis Park last weekend (Aug. 5 and 6), and each of the seven stakes written across the two days awarded automatic berths into corresponding races at Kentucky Downs

Wagering

(Photo by Horsephotos.com)

Catching My Eye: Saratoga and Ellis Park July 28 - 31

Tue Aug 01 2023Kevin Kilroy

Kevin Kilroy shares the performances at both Saratoga and Ellis Park that caught his eye this past weekend.

Analysis

Cherie DeVaux gets a congratulatory hug from fellow trainer Dan Ward at Monmouth (Photo by Bill Denver/Equi-Photo)

Catching My Eye: DeVaux scores Haskell undercard upset, Saratoga nail-biter

Mon Jul 24 2023Kevin Kilroy

On Saturday over a 20-minute span, Cherie DeVaux sent out two upset winners in as exciting of races as you can find, as Shotgun Hottie took the Grade 3 Molly Pitcher S. on the Haskell undercard at Monmouth and Taking Candy nosed out two fellow three-year-old flyers in a salty first-level allowance across Saratoga’s inner turf.

Analysis

Ellis Park racing scene (Photo by Coady Photography/Ellis Park)

Catching My Eye: Brad Cox takes early lead at Ellis Park

Wed Jul 19 2023Kevin Kilroy

The hot hand has changed from Steve Asmussen to the Cox barn, which is no surprise given one of those two has won the trainer’s title at Ellis every year since 2016.

Wagering

Ellis Park Racing (Photo by Coady Photography)

Catching My Eye: Greg Foley and Declan Cannon at Ellis Park

Tue Jul 11 2023Kevin Kilroy

Analyst Kevin Kilroy discusses the successful summers of trainer Greg Foley and jockey Declan Cannon.

Wagering

Pauline's Pearl. (Photo by Coady Photography)

Catching My Eye: The Asmussen Barn Storms Ellis Park

Wed Jul 05 2023Kevin Kilroy

In 64 starts since the Churchill Downs meet moved over to Ellis Park on June 10, Amussen won 22 races (34%).

Analysis

(Photo by Coady Photography/Ellis Park)

Final weekend of Ellis Park: Track profile, vulnerable favorites, and high impact jockeys

Thu Jun 29 2023Kevin Kilroy

It’s the final week of the Churchill Downs meet at Ellis Park. Two trends have been present from the outset.

Analysis

Ellis Park Racing (Photo by Coady Photography)

Catching My Eye: Ellis Park June 22-25

Tue Jun 27 2023Kevin Kilroy

This week on Catching My Eye, we’ll look to polish off a few efforts that maybe don't look so impressive on the page, but considering the track bias at Ellis Park, they were really valiant efforts.

Analysis

Heartbreaker upsets odds-on Everso Mischievous in a June 22, 2023 allowance at Ellis Park (Photo by Coady Photography)

Betting Strategy: Finding an edge as a horseplayer

Fri Jun 23 2023Kevin Kilroy

The individual horseplayer can find an edge from seeing the same thing as everybody else but reacting to it in a different way.

Education

Racing at Ellis Park (Photo by Coady Photography)

Ellis Park: Track Profile, Vulnerable Favorites, and High Impact Jockeys

Wed Jun 21 2023Kevin Kilroy

Whether you’ve been paying close attention or want to turn your focus to Ellis Park, here are some trends to guide your play.

Analysis

Catching My Eye: Ellis Park June 15-19

Mon Jun 19 2023Kevin Kilroy

Ian Wilkes is a conditioner who has strong success bringing his horses along race-by-race, so when you see him send out a first time starter to the winner’s circle, you know that’s a horse to keep your eyes on.

Analysis

Disarm winning the Matt Winn (G3) June 11, 2023. (Coady Photography)

Catching My Eye: The Matt Winn (G3) and weekend racing at Ellis Park

Tue Jun 13 2023Kevin Kilroy

Racing analyst Kevin Kilroy looks back at the Matt Winn (G3) won by Disarm on Sunday, along with impressive performances from a handful of runners over the weekend at Ellis Park.

Analysis

Turf racing at Belmont Park (Photo by NYRA/Coglianese Photography)

Betting Strategy: Capitalizing on opportunities without a straightforward handicapping opinion

Fri Jun 09 2023Kevin Kilroy

One of the maxims of betting strategy is you want your wagers to be direct reflections of your handicapping opinion, but some handicapping opinions are more clear-cut than others.

Wagering

Gunite. (Photo by Coglianese Photos/Susie Raisher)

Catching My Eye: Asmussen and Kenneally runners at Churchill Downs

Tue Jun 06 2023Kevin Kilroy

Racing analyst Kevin Kilroy weighs in on a pair of Steve Asmussen runners and a trio from the barn of Eddie Kenneally who caught his attention at Churchill Downs.

Analysis