2024 Breeders' Cup Betting Guide, Expert Tips, and Strategy

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Last updated: March 4th, 2024

Breeders’ Cup Betting, Picks and Wagers

Horseplayers look forward to the Breeders’ Cup World Championships every year and the 2024 Breeders’ Cup, to be held in Del Mar, California at The Del Mar Racetrack on Nov. 1-2, will be no different. The 14-race program attracts the top horses, jockeys, and trainers in the world, which makes bettors salivate at the potential wagers they can make, knowing they’re betting on the best of the best within full fields.

Dubbed “the best bet in sports,” the Breeders’ Cup and its card featuring 14 grade-one races isn’t to be taken lightly. The two-day card is laden with stakes and boasts of Future Stars on Friday, with five Breeders’ Cup Juvenile races headlining the day, and Breeders' Cup closes on day 2 of Saturday, with nine Breeders’ Cup races and supported be several stakes.

The field selection system will be implemented as necessary following the drawing of per-entries on Oct. 21, 2024. However a list of probables will be available three weeks prior to Championships weekend at Brisnet.com.

The marquee races such as the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, the Mile, the Distaff, the Turf, and the $6 million Classic, get the most coverage, so you’ll need to research heavily to gain an edge over your fellow bettors. Another avenue to obtain that advantage is to spend time getting to know the lower-profiled races such as the Juvenile Fillies Turf and Turf Sprint.

TwinSpires.com account holders can receive free Past Performances with at least one bet at the host track that day, plus the Insider Picks and Power Plays handicapping report when they wager on the Breeders’ Cup through TwinSpires.com. Sign-up is free, with no subscription fees, and the online wagering site presents the latest online technology as well as the best racing content.

Below you will find last years betting guide and analysis, plus links to guides from several years prior. New content will be posted here as we get closer to the Championships! 


Breeders' Cup Betting Guide 2023


Expert Picks, Wagers and Bets for the Breeders' Cup

Weekend Plays:

Juvenile

Distaff

Mile

Turf

Classic

Muth
Wine Me Up
Locked
The Wine Steward

Idiomatic
Clairiere
Search Results
Wet Paint

Songline
Kelina
Masters of The Seas
More Than Looks

Mostahdaf
Auguste Rodin
War Like Goddess
Shahryra

Saudi Crown
Zandon
Ushba Tesoro

FRIDAY

RACE 1: QATAR GOLDEN MILE S. 

Trainer Bob Baffert is just 1-for-34 with horses trying the grass for the initial time, but smart maiden winner #4 Ultra Power (3-1) is controlling speed in a field lacking pace. The gray Curlin colt is bred for the trip, and I expect him to lead at every call with Frankie Dettori taking the reins.

RACE 4: GOLDEN STATE JUVENILE S. 

A big field of 12 Cal-bred runners will contest the seven-furlong heat on the main oval. The Steve Knapp-trained #7 Mr. Suds (12-1) is a live one at a big price with Kyle Frey in the irons. The Stay Thirsty gelding was a game debut winner in the spring, and following a long absence, the two-year-old failed to fire on the lawn off the shelf. The chestnut gets blinkers while returning to the dirt, and he also lands in a tilt lacking an abundance of class, as well.

SATURDAY

RACE 2: TWILIGHT DERBY (G2)

A well-matched field of sophomores will travel nine panels on the green in this spot. I liked both of the performances put in by #8 Almendares (8-1) since he arrived in the U.S. and expect him to pack a punch while making his third run since coming to the states. The Phil D’Amato pupil romped in an allowance fray at Del Mar in July, and the son of Havana Grey followed that up with a nice third in the Del Mar Derby (G2). Antonio Fresu has been on a nice run at the meeting, and he will rally the gelding from off of the early tempo.

RACE 12: ALLOWANCE

The "get out" race of the weekend will be contested at about 6 1/2 panels down the Hillside Turf Course. I’m not thrilled about the post for #1 Stay and Scam (15-1), but the Square Eddie filly is a head shy of being unbeaten from a pair of lifetime runs on the lawn, and she also possesses pace in a field lacking early gas. The California-bred might be the one to run down in the lane with a clean break under Mario Gutierrez.

Find more consensus picks by our betting experts in the Betting Guide!


Santa Anita Racetrack At a Glance Report

A look at the previous Santa Anita spring meet: April 21, 2023 through June 19, 2023.

WHO’S HOT, WHO’S NOT

HOT TRAINERSStartsWinsPlaceShowAvg. OddsWinning Favorites‘22-’23 Win %
Neil Drysdale73107.37211%
Leonard Powell831012.81016%
Tim Yakteen831011.90117%
Milton G. Pineda42206.45118%
        
HOT JOCKEYSStartsWinsPlaceShowAvg. OddsWinning Favorites‘22-’23 Win %
Antonio Fresu1443113.45016%
        
COLD TRAINERSStartsWinsPlaceShowAvg. OddsBeaten Favorites‘22-’23 Win %
Vann Belvoir1001029.76016%
        
COLD JOCKEYSStartsWinsPlaceShowAvg. OddsBeaten Favorites‘21-’22 Win %
Joe Bravo1201210.60115%
Jose Valdivia, Jr.1101027.5208%

Santa Anita Racetrack At a Glance Report

A look at the previous Fall Santa Anita meet: September 30, 2022 through November 7, 2022.

WHO’S HOT, WHO’S NOT

HOT TRAINERSStartsWinsPlaceShowAvg. OddsWinning Favorites‘19-’20 Win %
Kristin Mulhall930316.04116%
Dan Blacker42014.48116%
Patrick Gallagher420115.48112%
Bob Baffert62104.18230%
        
HOT JOCKEYSStartsWinsPlaceShowAvg. OddsWinning Favorites‘19-’20 Win %
Edwin Moldanado1570010/05314%
        
COLD JOCKEYSStartsWinsPlaceShowAvg. OddsBeaten Favorites‘19-’20 Win %
Diego Herrera1603234.16011%

Find the full At a Glance report inside the Breeders' Cup Betting Guide


Types of Breeders' Cup Bets to Make

Now that you know the race schedule, and which races to target, it’s time to figure out which bets to make. Straight Win-Place-Show bets are an easy way to bet the Breeders’ Cup, and if you feel really good about a horse in a certain race making a straight bet is the way to go.

Think you know the exact order of how a race will finish? Then exacta wagering if for you, and you have your choice of predicting the top-two finishes (exacta), top-three (trifecta), and top-four (superfecta).

With 14 races, a popular form of betting on the Breeders’ Cup is pick betting. Making a pick bet allows you to wager on who will win in consecutive races. Expanding your wager card to multiple races raises the risk, but also raises the award. The Daily Double is the most popular type of pick bet.

2018 witnessed the re-introduction of the exciting Breeders' Cup Future Wager. In the same veign as the popular Kentucky Derby Future Wager, the BCFW offers players a chance to lock in better odds and value for horses who could win their supported divisions.


The Value of Betting at the Breeders’ Cup

The Breeders’ Cup isn’t just an attractive event to bet on because you get to see the best horses. The fact that so many of the best horses in the world are present means you’re likely to get better odds on a good horse than you will at any other time during the season.

One great example of this is the 2016 Breeders’ Cup Distaff. Songbird was undefeated coming into the race, and she hadn’t been at anything longer than 3-10 odds all year. But facing older fillies and mares for the first time, she went out at better than even money. She was beaten by champion older mare Beholder, who started at 3.3-1 after being no longer than 4-10 when racing fillies and mares the previous two years. Admittedly Beholder’s three defeats in 2016 affected her price as much as the arrival of Songbird, but it was still great value for her fans.

The arrival of European raiders for the turf races, in which many of them are racing in North America for the first time, means there can be great odds available – not only for them, but also for those running from local stables. One great example of this was Main Sequence in the Breeders’ Cup Turf in 2014. He had won all three of his starts that year, the last of them at odds of just under 2-1, but with the European arrival he started the Turf at 6.2-1, and he delighted those that had faith in him with a strong victory.

Don't forget to check out the Breeders' Cup Future Wager, where you could beat the odds at post time.


The Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge

Hailed as the country’s largest live handicapping tournament, the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge is the most exciting way to wager on the Breeders’ Cup and test your handicapping skills against the world’s top horseplayers.

A “real money” handicapping challenge, The Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge requires players to put down a $10,000 deposit ($7,500 used towards betting bankroll). The format of the challenge includes all Friday races and races trough the Cup Classic on Saturday. The only types of wages allowed are: Win, Place, Show, Exacta, and Trifecta.

$2,500 of the initial $10,000 deposit from each player will be put into the prize pool, which could reach $1 million if 400 players enter. First place comes with a $300,000 prize. You can qualify either live or online for the challenge. Make sure to register online for your shot at betting glory.

Further reading:

Strategies for Betting in Tournaments
Contest Strategies for Betting Horse Players


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