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Last updated May 21, 2020

Kentucky Derby Odds 2020

Odds for the 2020 Kentucky Derby are a sought after barometer for horse-players and the public alike, because Morning Line odds help provide details of class and value among the field of Kentucky Derby runners.

  • Short odds refers to odds that are closer to even money or ‘1,’ such as ‘4-5.’
    • The shorter the horse’s odds, the better the horse can be perceived to be compared among racing peers.
  • Long odds refers to odds that move further away from even money or ‘1,’ such as ’30-1.’
    • The longer the horse’s odds, the less talent a horse could have among the Derby starters.

Where can I Find Kentucky Derby odds?

Return to this page following the 2020 Kentucky Derby post position draw for morning line odds!

Below is a chart of current Kentucky Derby leaders in order of point totals. These runners are the most likely horses to earn a starting spot. Return here Derby week for the official morning line odds of the Kentucky Derby!

*Joe Kristufek has taken a look at the current top 20 Kentucky Derby points leaders and formulated a scenario of what the betting public will likely see as odds for each horse in the Run for the Roses. These odds total to 100 when added together, thus a realistic look at Derby contender odds potential.

**Ed DeRosa has taken the approach of fair line or fair value odds. With looking at each horse in the current top 20 leading Kentucky Derby point earners, Ed has applied odds of honest value. His expert opinion, in tandem with what the betting public should view each contender odds as, explains what each contender is worth or should be considered valued at as betting interests.

Kentucky Derby Odds

HorseKristufek’s Odds*DeRosa’s Odds**
Nadal5-26-1
Tiz the Law4-15-1
Wells Bayou50-130-1
Charlatan3-18-1
King Guillermo12-120-1
Ete Indien30-115-1
Modernist50-150-1
Authentic5-110-1
Mr. Monomoy50-1100-1
Basin50-1100-1
Mischivious Alex50-120-1
Ny Traffic50-130-1
Shivaree50-150-1
Gouverneur Morris50-130-1
Enforceable50-1100-1
Storm the Court50-150-1
Sole Volante15-115-1
Major Fed30-130-1
Japan RTKD WinnerTBDTBD
Europe RTKD WinnerTBDTBD
Thousand Words50-130-1
Finnick the FierceAE50-1

Official morning line odds are selected by an odds line maker following the post position draw on Derby week. The odds maker determines, as best they can, what the odds of each horse will sit at by betting public interest and wagering action.

Any odds or lines that exist anywhere prior to the official Kentucky Derby draw on Derby week are either speculative, a bookmaker’s best guess and non official.

Kentucky Derby prep-race winners and odds

Below is a table that displays each Road to the Kentucky Derby prep race and that race’s winning horse, that horses’ morning line odds and then final odds at the beginning of the race.

  • What can we learn from the information on each Kentucky Derby North American prep race winner for the 2020 Kentucky Derby season?
  • With morning line odds and final odds side by side in the table below, which horses started as a near favorite and by start time, due to public money fluctuation, fell or gained public betting backing?
  • Will these Road to the Kentucky Derby prep race winners be favorites for the Kentucky Derby?

2020 Final Odds for Kentucky Derby Prep Race Winners

Horse Race ML Odds Final Odds
Dennis’ Moment Iroquois S. 9-5 2-5
Eight Rings American Pharoah S. 9-5 6-5
Tiz the Law Champagne S. 5-2 7-5
Maxfield Breeders’ Futurity 12-1 6-1
Storm the Court Breeders’ Cup Juvenile 20-1 45-1
Silver Prospector Kentucky Jockey Club 8-1 7-1
Shotski Remsen S. 15-1 8-1
Thousand Words Los Alamitos Futurity 8-5 8-5
Shoplifted Springboard Mile 5-1 4-1
Independence Hall Jerome S. 1-5 1-9
Authentic Sham S. 8-5 6-5
Enforceable Lecomte S. 15-1 6-1
Thousand Words Robert B. Lewis S. 4-5 3-5
Max Player Withers S. 9-2 5-1
Tiz the Law Holy Bull S. 3-5 6-5
Sole Volante Sam F. Davis 8-1 5-1
Azul Coast El Camino Real Derby 2-1 6-5
Modernist Risen Star S. II 8-1 12-1
Mr. Monomoy Risen Star S. I 6-1 7-1
Silver Prospector Southwest S. 9-2 9-2
Ete Indien Fountain of Youth S. 8-1 3-1
Mischevous Alex Gotham S. 3-1 8-5
Authentic San Felipe S. 6-5 6-5
King Guillermo Tampa Bay Derby 15-1 49-1
Nadal Rebel Stakes 5-2 4-5
Field Pass Jeff Ruby Steaks 7-2 7-2
Wells Bayou Louisiana Derby 8-1 3-1
Tiz the Law Florida Derby 6-5 7-5
Charlatan Arkansas Derby div. I 1-1 2-5
Nadal Arkansas Derby div. II 5-2 4-5

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How Kentucky Derby Morning-line Odds Are Made

Kentucky Derby odds are released during the Post Position Draw, a one-hour ceremony that determines starting positions. The Post Position Draw takes place on the Wednesday preceding the Kentucky Derby, which is held on the first Saturday in May. TwinSpires bettors know that we are the home for Kentucky Derby wagering – and these race odds being released are truly one of the most exciting pieces the Kentucky Derby wagering process.

Mike Battaglia, Churchill Downs’ odds maker since 1974, is responsible for both the Kentucky Derby and KDFW morning line odds. He reveals odds for the main event shortly after post positions are drawn.

KentuckyDerby.com streams the Post Position Draw ceremony and the event has been televised nationally on NBCSN and local affiliates.

A full field of 20 contenders can be expected every year for America’s most famous horse race. With the the maximum number of betting interests in other U.S. races sitting at 14, the Kentucky Derby offers the potential for great bet returns. Only four horses went off at less than 10-1 odds in the 2015 Kentucky Derby.

For live odds, you can log-in to TwinSpires for free or visit KentuckyDerby.com.

Churchill Downs also offers up to four installments of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager (KDFW) in the months leading up to the race. A November KDFW was introduced in 2013, and the remaining three pools are typically scheduled during February, March and April surrounding the important prep races. The morning line odds are released ahead of the weekend and the unique betting opportunity lasts Friday through Sunday.

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2020 Kentucky Derby: Las Vegas Opinions

What are book makers thinking when it comes to horses in the Kentucky Derby? Find a sample of their opening and closing odds for January 14, 2020.

HORSE NAMEOPENCLOSE
DENNIS’ MOMENT1012
EIGHT RINGS1015
MAXFIELD1212
TIZ THE LAW208
INDEPENDENCE HALL2510
GOUVERNEUR MORRIS4030
HONOR A.P.5014
SCABBARD5050
GREEN LIGHT GO7575
PRINCE OF PHAROAHS7575
RELENTLESS DANCER7575
SHOPLIFTED7575
SILVER STATE7545
AUTHENTIC7516
AZUL COAST7535
AMERICAN THEOREM7575
ANCIENT WARRIOR7540
EXPRESS TRAIN8050
STORM THE COURT9012
Wynn Las Vegas Odds Summary for the Kentucky Derby

Looking at the Kentucky Derby, which ran on May 5th, we looked back in September, when the Wynn Las Vegas casino released futures numbers on a massive list of potential winners of the Kentucky Derby. This is undeniably when the contenders had their best odds and you don’t have to do much digging to see how much as changed.

Bolt d’Oro had long been the barometer for the 2018 Kentucky Derby as the highest rated two-year-old of the 2017 campaign. According to Wynn Las Vegas, Bolt d’Oro was worth 40/1 odds to win the Derby, which is far and away the best odds on the board at the time. Things have changed since then. Thanks to a slightly dubious win in the San Felipe Stakes, Bolt d’Oro moved to a 8/1 second-favorite.

The horse that Bolt d’Oro beat in that race was the same horse that actually beat him on the track. McKinzie crossed the wire first but was relegated to second due to a questionable review by the track officials. McKinzie wasn’t even on the Wynn Las Vegas radar back in September but most recently posted as a 7/1 option.

One of the horse’s that had generated interest in the Kentucky Derby Futures Wager due to some incredible trainings was Justify, a WinStar colt sired by Scat Daddy and trained by the legendary Bob Baffert. Justify ran a bullet mile in 1:35.73 at Santa Anita back on March 11th and was set to make his competitive debut in the Arkansas Derby on April 14th. He closed the Kentucky Derby Futures Wager Pool 3 board as an unexpected favorite, leveraging a huge amount of action and earning 6/1 odds. Wynn Las Vegas posted him at 12/1. He’s the most difficult horse to nail down from a betting angle at that point on the Derby trail.

Justify isn’t the only new contender on the books. Magnum Moon’s win in the Rebel Stakes propelled him to a 12/1 number. Solomini shares the same odds despite losing the Rebel to Magnum Moon simply because we’ve seen him more often. His odds were most recently 20/1.

With just over a month to go between now and the 2018 Kentucky Derby, the race to the top of the betting board is just starting to enjoy a bit more serenity after the chaos of the derby trail. Horses like Audible, Promises Fulfilled, Bolt d’Oro, McKinzie, Justify and many others are starting to submit major victories in the top tier races of the derby trail.

Casinos like Wynn Las Vegas sometimes have odds that seem out of sync with what you would find at more finely tuned horsebooks, and they help offer a different perspective.

The upcoming Florida Derby (March 31st), Wood Memorial (April 7th), Blue Grass (April 7th) , Santa Anita Derby (April 7th) and Arkansas Derby (April 14th) will hopefully offer even ore clarity.

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Kentucky Derby Earnings
Horse Earnings Trainer
Nadal $1,020,000 Bob Baffert
Tiz the Law $902,400 Barclay Tagg
Wells Bayou $765,000 Brad Cox
Charlatan $300,000 Bob Baffert
King Guillermo $317,156 Avila Juan Carlos
Ete Indien $357,156 Patrick Biancone
Modernist $340,000 Bill Mott
Authentic $300,000 Authentic
Mr. Monomoy $260,000 Brad Cox
Basin $392,500 Steve Asmussen
Mischivious Alex $308,410 John Servis
Ny Traffic $244,320 Saffie Joseph, Jr.
Shivaree $284,505 $284,505
Gouverneur Morris $186,000 Todd Pletcher
Enforceable $264,550 Mark Casse
Storm the Court $1,148,351 Peter Eurton
Sole Volante $173,510 Patrick Biancone
Major Fed $120,000 Greg Foley
Japan RTKD Winner TBD TBD
Europe RTKD Winner TBD TBD
Thousand Words $205,000 Bob Baffert
Finnick the Fierce $120,200 Hernandez Rey