Race Preview Orange Park: 10th race Grade A - Friday August 16th
One of my favorite spot plays is a dog that has dropped down a grade and won within three races. There are two of them in this race.
3-WW's Pop Top at 6-1 ML odds, won two races back in Grade B by a length and was closing at the end with a good kick. That energy at the end of the race is a good sign that the dog is in form. In his next race, however, he just couldn't get it together on the rail, but then lost by a neck from the 7 box, running the rail. It looks like his running style is the slash to the rail type, and that's not as easily done from the inside boxes, so he might not fire here unless everything goes his way from the break on.
5-My Cup of Tea, was one of my daily picks in her last race. Here's what I said about her then, "Likes the outside posts and can break to get the lead in this grade. If she gets around the first turn, this little lady will be a contender." She won by a neck, even though she was bumped in the stretch. She's placed from the 5 box, so I'd give her odds of better than the 7-1 morning line odds on her, because she's a spot play also.
4-Pat C Gatsby at 2-1 ML odds looks very impressive both with his times and with the lengths ahead that he usually wins by. He's managd to stay in Grade A for five races now and is a determined runner, who keeps going no matter what happens to him. He almost always is right there on the break and will probably get the early lead in this race. He won't pay much if he wins, but if a longshot comes in with him, the exotics might make up for that.
2-WW's Dust Me Off at 9-2 is no stranger to the winner's circle at OP. He's another contender who stays in Grade A and is in the quiniela over half the time, so he's a good exotic bet. He isn't usually a breaker, but closes in the stretch like a freight train. Give him some running room and someone to chase down and he'll do his best to beat them to the finish line.
6-WW's Greer at 7-1 is one of Julia Ward's puppies out of TNT Star Wars. This midtrack runner gets out mid-pack and needs room to close. A little more flexibility as far as running style would help, because it's when she can't have a place in midtrack that this pup runs into trouble. She needs to work on not getting lost in the pack and that's what she's been doing as her improving times and place and win finishes show in her last two races.
7-Bart's Pearl Snap at 7-1 fell in his last race. I'd like to see one good race from this one before I put money on her. That's just my personal preference, of course. A good schooling race would be even better.
8-Bull's Tyvek at 7-1 might be happier with an inside or midtrack post position. He's had some bad racing luck in his lines, trouble on the first turn to be exact. If he can get around it, he's a force to be reckoned with, but I don't know if he has the position or the early speed to do that in this race.
1-Rock and Roll at 12-1 has the very beneficial 1 box, but isn't a breaker who will take advantage of it. He also has serious first turn issues and goes wide on the other turns also. Perhaps some schooling would help, but even with his turn problems, he hits the board enough to stay in Grade A and was the favorite in A when he was in the 1 box, which makes me wonder if the odds justify a longshot bet.
My picks are 5-3-4-1
Good racing luck and safe trips to all the greyhounds in this race. Don't forget to watch and wager on Orange Park on Bet America where you can get a free program for tonight's greyhound races and where bonus tracks pay you back for playing.
3-WW's Pop Top at 6-1 ML odds, won two races back in Grade B by a length and was closing at the end with a good kick. That energy at the end of the race is a good sign that the dog is in form. In his next race, however, he just couldn't get it together on the rail, but then lost by a neck from the 7 box, running the rail. It looks like his running style is the slash to the rail type, and that's not as easily done from the inside boxes, so he might not fire here unless everything goes his way from the break on.
5-My Cup of Tea, was one of my daily picks in her last race. Here's what I said about her then, "Likes the outside posts and can break to get the lead in this grade. If she gets around the first turn, this little lady will be a contender." She won by a neck, even though she was bumped in the stretch. She's placed from the 5 box, so I'd give her odds of better than the 7-1 morning line odds on her, because she's a spot play also.
4-Pat C Gatsby at 2-1 ML odds looks very impressive both with his times and with the lengths ahead that he usually wins by. He's managd to stay in Grade A for five races now and is a determined runner, who keeps going no matter what happens to him. He almost always is right there on the break and will probably get the early lead in this race. He won't pay much if he wins, but if a longshot comes in with him, the exotics might make up for that.
2-WW's Dust Me Off at 9-2 is no stranger to the winner's circle at OP. He's another contender who stays in Grade A and is in the quiniela over half the time, so he's a good exotic bet. He isn't usually a breaker, but closes in the stretch like a freight train. Give him some running room and someone to chase down and he'll do his best to beat them to the finish line.
6-WW's Greer at 7-1 is one of Julia Ward's puppies out of TNT Star Wars. This midtrack runner gets out mid-pack and needs room to close. A little more flexibility as far as running style would help, because it's when she can't have a place in midtrack that this pup runs into trouble. She needs to work on not getting lost in the pack and that's what she's been doing as her improving times and place and win finishes show in her last two races.
7-Bart's Pearl Snap at 7-1 fell in his last race. I'd like to see one good race from this one before I put money on her. That's just my personal preference, of course. A good schooling race would be even better.
8-Bull's Tyvek at 7-1 might be happier with an inside or midtrack post position. He's had some bad racing luck in his lines, trouble on the first turn to be exact. If he can get around it, he's a force to be reckoned with, but I don't know if he has the position or the early speed to do that in this race.
1-Rock and Roll at 12-1 has the very beneficial 1 box, but isn't a breaker who will take advantage of it. He also has serious first turn issues and goes wide on the other turns also. Perhaps some schooling would help, but even with his turn problems, he hits the board enough to stay in Grade A and was the favorite in A when he was in the 1 box, which makes me wonder if the odds justify a longshot bet.
My picks are 5-3-4-1
Good racing luck and safe trips to all the greyhounds in this race. Don't forget to watch and wager on Orange Park on Bet America where you can get a free program for tonight's greyhound races and where bonus tracks pay you back for playing.