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Harness Preview: Picks and Horses to Watch Nov. 16-20
Selected features, stakes coverage, and the never-ending TwinSpires’ horses-to-watch list (H2W) share keys to success in exotics, win, place, and show payoffs.
Harness
How field sizes can affect win percentages
Many factors can influence the win percentages recorded by jockeys and trainers, both overall and in specific types of races. Ability and opportunity are two of the biggest factors, but another is field size—the number of horses entered in a race.
Education
Keeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Nov. 15, 2023
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Wednesday, Nov. 15 at Mahoning Valley, Churchill Downs, and Charles Town, including a single for Mahoning’s $3,978 Pick 5 carryover.
Wagering
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast: Nov. 15, 2023
Jason opens the show discussing a morning of training at Tampa as well as some racing news. Then we welcome in the racing secretary from Mahoning Valley, Ed Vomacka, to the show to talk about racing in Ohio, his career in racing, working at Atlantic City Race Course, and more!
Racing Podcast
Racing Roundtable: Pool 1 of KDFW, first-crop sires, and top turf female
This week the Roundtable looks back at the results of Pool 1 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager (KDFW), explores first-crop sires with promising progeny, and debates the winner of the Eclipse Award for top turf female, potentially the most contentious award of the season.
Analysis
First-crop sires: Vino Rosso a top-shelf stallion with most progeny earnings by first-crop sires
Vino Rosso has created some distance between himself and Maximus Mischief as the top first-crop sire by progeny earnings in North America and Europe.
Pedigree
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Keeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Nov. 14, 2023
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Tuesday, Nov. 14 at Horseshoe Indianapolis and Zia Park, along with horses to play in the $8,033 Pick 6 carryover at Finger Lakes.
Wagering
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast: Nov. 14, 2023
Jason opens the show discussing some racing news and topics from around the game. Then we welcome in Kevin Kilroy from Fair Grounds to discuss the upcoming meet down in New Orleans that begins on Friday.
Racing Podcast
First-Crop Sires: Fillies continue to shine for Mitole
Since our first installment regarding the first-crop runners by Mitole over the summer, the former champion sprinter has been represented by two stakes winners and several other maiden winners of note.
Features
Harness Weekly Update: 17% win rate and 51% ATB
This week, there were 41 active horses (a 17% win hit rate and a 51% ATB (across-the-board) hit.
Harness
Kentucky Derby Maiden Watch: Nash dominates for Godolphin
Possible Road to the Kentucky Derby contenders were out in abundance on Sunday afternoon at Churchill Downs.
Kentucky Derby
First-crop sires: Maximus Mischief is riding a hot streak
After siring only two winners between the middle of September and the middle of October, first-crop sire Maximus Mischief is on fire again, regaining the momentum that made him the leading sire by progeny earnings through much of summer and early fall.
Pedigree
Monday Morning Message with Jason Beem Nov. 13, 2023
Jason discusses some of the racing from the weekend and the changes of the racing season.
Features
Keeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Nov. 13, 2023
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Monday, Nov. 13 at Horseshoe Indianapolis, Mahoning Valley, and Zia Park, along with horses to play in the $3,237 Pick 6 carryover at Finger Lakes.
Wagering
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast: Nov. 13, 2023
Jason discusses some of the racing from the weekend, including the Red Smith from Aqueduct, racing from Churchill Downs and Del Mar, and more!
Racing Podcast
Carryovers: Churchill’s $20,088 Super High 5, Aqueduct’s $53,640 Pick 6
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson analyzes a pair of five-figure Sunday carryovers at Aqueduct and Churchill Downs.
Wagering
Churchill: How to bet the $2,827 Super High 5 carryover
Feel like chasing a non-jackpot Super High 5 carryover this Saturday? Churchill Downs is ready to oblige with a $2,827 prize pool.
Wagering
Tall Tales of the Track: The Ups and Downs of Tango Shandy
The slip of a saddle at an inopportune time, like the middle of the Dubai World Cup in the case of California Chrome, can become a challenge even greater than the 1,000-pound animals running alongside. In one particular jump race nearly 40 years ago, a slip of a saddle and the question of a foot caused a horse, his rider, and his trainer enough consternation to last a lifetime.
Features
Stakes Plays for Aqueduct on Nov. 12
A pair of stakes events on the lawn will lead the way at Aqueduct on Sunday.
Wagering
Keeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Nov. 10, 2023
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Friday, Nov. 10 at Delta Downs and Remington Park, including a trio of exactas.
Wagering
The Jury: Expert Picks, Bets and Fades for Nov. 11 [Video]
Racing analysts Ashley Anderson, James Scully, and Darin Zoccali examine races at Churchill Downs, Laurel Park, and Aqueduct this weekend! Ashley and James offer their insights in the written portion below. Be sure to check out Darin's opinions in our on-camera portion.
Wagering
Graded Stakes Selections for Woodbine on Nov. 11
A pair of graded events for fillies and mares will take center stage at Woodbine on Saturday.
Wagering
Stakes Selections for Aqueduct on Nov. 11
A pair of graded tilts on the lawn will highlight the racing at Aqueduct on Saturday.
Wagering
Betting With, and Against, Rockemperor in the River City Stakes
The Chad Brown-trained #4 Rockempror (4-1) is the lukewarm morning-line choice in Saturday’s $300,000 River City S. (G3) at Churchill Downs.
Wagering
Exotic Plays for the 2023 Dream Supreme Stakes
A total of six fillies and mares will travel six panels on the Churchill Downs main strip in Saturday’s $300,000 Dream Supreme S.
Wagering
Saturday Stakes Spot Plays for Laurel Park
A trio of black-type events will highlight a fine afternoon of racing at Laurel Park.
Wagering
Keeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Nov. 9, 2023
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Thursday, Nov. 9 at Aqueduct, Horseshoe Indianapolis, and Churchill Downs, including a 15-1 longshot.
Wagering
Jason Beem's Thursday Column for Nov. 9, 2023
Jason discusses the passing of Cody Dorman and the importance of the emotional connections that come into our lives because of racing.
Features
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast: Nov. 9, 2023
Jason looks ahead to some of the races coming up this weekend as Del Mar opens up its fall meeting. He also discusses the Red Smith at Aqueduct as well as the announcement the Breeders' Cup will be at Del Mar in 2025.
Racing Podcast
Harness Preview: Picks and Horses to Watch Nov. 9-13
Selected features, stakes coverage, and the never-ending TwinSpires horses-to-watch list (H2W) share keys to success in exotics, win, place, and show payoffs.
Harness
Kentucky Derby glory a longshot for major juvenile winners
The lopsided win by Fierceness in last week's Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) has put the colt in the position of early favorite to repeat that success in the 150th edition of the Kentucky Derby (G1) at Churchill Downs next May.
Kentucky Derby
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast: Nov. 8, 2023
Jason opens the show discussing some thoughts on horse racing in larger media and racing films. Then he discusses some thoughts on racing at Delta Downs as well as post positions and handicapping.
Racing Podcast
When a horse specifically targets a race, take notice
When handicapping high-profile graded stakes, it’s helpful to keep an eye on the racing news to determine which horses have been specifically pointed to the race and which are joining the field at the last minute.
Analysis
Kentucky Derby pedigree profile: Fierceness
A blend of tactical speed and staying power carried Fierceness to a 6 1/4-length triumph against a stellar field in the 2023 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1), stamping the bay colt as the early favorite for the 2024 Kentucky Derby (G1).
Pedigree
Keeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Nov. 8, 2023
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Wednesday, Nov. 8 at Churchill Downs and Horseshoe Indianapolis, along with horses to single in the $895 Pick 6 carryover at Finger Lakes.
Wagering
Racing Roundtable: Breeders' Cup recap and Horse of the Year candidates
This week the Roundtable discusses the best and most disappointing performances from the Breeders' Cup World Championships along with the Eclipse Award for Horse of the Year.
Breeders Cup
Keeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Nov. 7, 2023
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Tuesday, Nov. 7 at Finger Lakes and Horseshoe Indianapolis, along with horses to single in the $10,514 Pick 5 carryover at Zia Park.
Wagering
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast: Nov. 7, 2023
Jason opens the show catching up on the news of the day, including the passing of Cody Dorman. He also looks back and discusses Friday's races from the Breeders' Cup World Championships.
Racing Podcast
Harness Weekly Update: 19% win rate and 50% ATB
This week, there were 42 active horses (a 19% win hit rate and a 50% ATB (across-the-board) hit.
Racing
Catching My Eye: Three maidens and an old salt at Churchill Downs
Racing analyst Kevin Kilroy discusses a trio of maidens who caught his eye at Churchill Downs along with a five-year-old allowance winner.
Analysis
Monday Morning Message with Jason Beem Nov. 6, 2023
Jason looks back at the Breeders' Cup weekend and discusses some things he liked and disliked about the two-day event.
Features
Kentucky Derby Maiden Watch: Knightsbridge impresses
While most racing fans were watching the Breeders’ Cup, a trio of Saturday maiden special weights at tracks around the U.S. produced eye-catching winners with possible 2024 Kentucky Derby (G1) aspirations.
Kentucky Derby
Keeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Nov. 6, 2023
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Monday, Nov. 6 at Mahoning Valley and Zia Park, along with horses to play in the $2,165 Pick 6 carryover at Finger Lakes.
Wagering
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast: Nov. 6, 2023
Jason looks back at the big Saturday Breeders' Cup card from Santa Anita, including the Classic and all the other big Grade 1 events.
Racing Podcast
Golden Gate: How to bet the $3,122 Super High 5 carryover
The Sunday card at Golden Gate Fields is highlighted by a $3,122 Super High 5 carryover.
Wagering
Scully: Longshot watch for 2023 Breeders’ Cup
Longshots play a role in every Breeders’ Cup. In 2022, Caravel recorded the biggest upset, returning an $87.78 win mutuel ($2) after leading all the way in the Turf Sprint (G1), and horses leaving the starting gate at 10-1 odds or higher produced 15 top-three finishes over the two-day, 14-race program.
Breeders Cup
2023 Breeders' Cup trainer and jockey trends
The 40th Breeders' Cup World Championships will return to Santa Anita for a record-extending 11th time in the history of the event, where a number of legendary trainers and jockeys will look to further their mark on the prestigious two-day festival.
Analysis
The 2023 Breeders’ Cup Classic Tipsheet
A top-notch field of 13 will travel 1 1/4 miles on the Santa Anita main oval in Saturday’s lucrative, $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic S. (G1).
Breeders Cup
2023 Breeders' Cup Betting Guide
The 2023 Breeders' Cup guide is here! The full betting guide includes Tipsheets, Expert Picks, fresh analysis, trends, and handicapping. It's your ultimate tool to prepare for the races and is available for free!
Breeders Cup
Carryovers: Aqueduct's $114,442 Pick 6, Churchill's $3,612 Super High 5
The Breeders’ Cup action at Santa Anita is dominating the Saturday headlines, but non-jackpot carryovers at Aqueduct and Churchill Downs are also worth the attention of bettors.
Wagering
Breeders' Cup 2023: Pick 3 play on the Turf, Classic, and Turf Sprint
The general rule of thumb when betting multi-race wagers is to play only those sequences in which your opinions are most firm in at least one of the legs.
Breeders Cup
Scully: Pick 3 plays on Breeders’ Cup Saturday
The Breeders’ Cup Saturday betting menu offers horseplayers plenty of options, and I will look to leverage my strongest opinions in the nine-race sequence in horizontal and vertical wagers.
Breeders Cup
Betting Against Arabian Knight in the Breeders’ Cup Classic
Zedan Racing Stables’ #12 Arabian Knight (3-1) has been installed as the morning-line choice for Saturday’s $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) at Santa Anita.
Breeders Cup
A Classic Connection: How Derby Horses Fare in the Breeders' Cup Classic
At 10 furlongs, the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) stands as the capstone race of the two-day, 14-race world championships. Its distance is the same as the Kentucky Derby (G1).
Kentucky Derby
Breeders’ Cup Saturday Exotics Plays
A total of nine Breeders’ Cup contests will take place at Santa Anita on Saturday. I’ve tabbed a pair of races where I feel that the favorites could be vulnerable and some exotics wagers could be of excellent value to me.
Breeders Cup
Breeders’ Cup Barn Tour with Larry Rivelli
Larry Rivelli is looking to cap off his 2023 season with Nobals in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (G1) on Saturday.
Breeders Cup
Breeders’ Cup Barn Tour with Jason Cook
Jason Cook brings his first Breeders’ Cup starter in John A. Nerud S. (G2) winner Three Technique to Santa Anita for a shot at the $2 million Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1).
Breeders Cup
Breeders’ Cup Barn Tour with Brad Cox
The Brad Cox barn comes to the Breeders’ Cup World Championships loaded for success once again. The Louisville native has eight starters spread between the two days, including Champagne Stakes (G1) winner Timberlake in Friday’s Juvenile and Caravel attempting to win a second Turf Sprint (G1) on Saturday.
Breeders Cup
Keeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Nov. 3, 2023
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Friday, Nov. 3 at Gulfstream Park, Churchill Downs, and Delta Downs, along with horses to play in large carryovers at Gulfstream and Aqueduct.
Wagering
Betting the Breeders’ Cup Saturday All-Turf Pick 4
If you like betting turf races, you’ll want to play the All-Turf Pick 4 during Breeders’ Cup Saturday at Santa Anita.
Breeders Cup
Breeders’ Cup Saturday: How to bet the All-Dirt Pick 4
A new wager has been added to the Breeders’ Cup betting menu for 2023: an All-Dirt Pick 4 on Saturday’s action-packed card.
Breeders Cup
Special Edition: TwinSpires Breeders' Cup horse racing podcast playlist and videos
This week on TwinSpires' horse racing podcast playlist, we are ramping up for Breeders' Cup, and we want to bring you with us.
Breeders Cup
Nick Tammaro's picks for Nov. 2 at Santa Anita
Find out what Nick Tammaro's picks are for November 2, 2023 at Santa Anita. Follow him and other experts to find horse racing expert picks before the races.
Wagering
Joe Kristufek's picks for Nov. 2 at Churchill Downs
Find out what Joe Kristufek's picks are for November 2, 2023 at Churchill Downs. Follow him and other experts to find horse racing expert picks before the races
Wagering
Scully: Singling Tamara in Breeders’ Cup Friday Pick 5
The Future Stars Friday program features five Breeders’ Cup races for two-year-olds at Santa Anita, and the Juvenile Fillies (G1) will spotlight the probable biggest favorite of the two-day event, Tamara.
Breeders Cup
Breeders' Cup Barn Tour: Kelsey Danner
Trainer Kelsey Danner is enjoying her first trip to Santa Anita for one special reason: her Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (G1) contender Shards.
Breeders Cup
Jason Beem's Thursday Column for Nov. 2, 2023
Jason discusses his thoughts on this year's Breeders' Cup Classic and some other opinions on Saturday's big card.
Features
Keeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Nov. 2, 2023
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Thursday, Nov. 2 at Churchill Downs, including tickets for the $4,076 Super High 5 carryover.
Wagering
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast: Nov. 2, 2023
Jason opens the show discussing the upcoming weekend as well as some of his favorite Breeders' Cups from the past. Then he looks ahead to some of his opinions for the weekend.
Racing Podcast
Hanson: Betting the two-day Breeders' Cup Doubles
In addition to all the rolling Doubles available on the two Breeders' Cup programs, there will also be a trio of two-day Doubles offered to bettors, linking one race on Friday and one on Saturday.
Breeders Cup
The 2023 Breeders’ Cup Distaff Tipsheet
Eleven fillies and mares will square off over 1 1/8 miles in Saturday’s $2 million Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1). Three-year-old fillies won back-to-back Distaffs at Santa Anita in 2013 and 2014 (Beholder and Untapable), but older runners have dominated since, winning seven of the last eight runnings.
Breeders Cup
Breeders' Cup 2023 Post Times, Wagering Menu, Entries
Breeders' Cup Limited announced the official order of races, post times, and wagering menu for the 2023 Breeders’ Cup World Championships, scheduled to take place on Friday, Nov. 3 and Saturday, Nov. 4 at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia, Calif.
Breeders Cup
The 2023 Breeders’ Cup Mile Tipsheet
A full field of 14 will travel one mile on the Santa Anita lawn in Saturday’s $2 million Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1).
Wagering
Under the Radar Breeders’ Cup Contenders: Saturday
A total of nine Breeders’ Cup World Championship events will take place on Saturday at Santa Anita.
Breeders Cup
Weekend Undercard Plays for Santa Anita
Much of the focus at Santa Anita this weekend will be on the 14 Breeders’ Cup races, and deservedly so, as many of the top horses in training from the U.S. and abroad will converge during the blockbuster two-day event.
Breeders Cup
Breeders’ Cup Friday Exotics Plays
A handful of Breeders’ Cup tilts for the juveniles will highlight a superb Friday of racing at Santa Anita. There are countless attractive wagers to be made over the weekend at The Great Race Place, but I have tabbed two particular events that are of great interest to me on day one of the Championships below.
Breeders Cup
Meet the Contenders: 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile
Meet the horses running in the 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile. For each horse, we're listing a pro, a con, and a rating of potential. The star rating of 1 to 5 represents opportunity to perform well.
Wagering
The Breeders’ Cup Turf Tipsheet
A fine cast of 13 led by some superb international performers will travel 1 1/2 miles on the Santa Anita lawn in Saturday’s $4 million Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1).
Breeders Cup
Scott Shapiro's picks for Nov. 1 at Churchill Downs
Find out what Scott Shapiro's picks are for November 1 at Churchill Downs. Follow him and other experts to find horse racing expert picks before the races.
Wagering
Harness Preview: Picks and Horses to Watch Nov. 2-6
Selected features, stakes coverage and the never-ending TwinSpires’ horses-to-watch list (H2W) share keys to success in exotics, win, place and show payoffs.
Harness
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast: Nov. 1, 2023
Jason is joined by TwinSpires' own Darin Zoccali to talk about the Breeders' Cup races and some handicapping thoughts on the big card.
Racing Podcast
Keeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Nov. 1, 2023
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Wednesday, Nov. 1 at Churchill Downs, including tickets for the $3,408 Super High 5 carryover.
Wagering
Betting begins on Pool 1 of 2024 Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Pool 1 of the 2024 Kentucky Derby Future Wager (KDFW) begins on Tuesday, Oct. 31, at noon ET and will conclude on Thursday, Nov. 2, at 6 p.m.
Kentucky Derby
Breeders’ Cup International Scouting Report: Japanese contingent
Nine horses based in Japan are entered across seven races at the 2023 Breeders’ Cup. They hope to build on the success of Japan’s first two Breeders’ Cup wins in 2021.
Breeders Cup
Under the Radar Breeders’ Cup contenders: Friday
A handful of Breeders’ Cup events will take place on Friday at Santa Anita, with each of the tilts featuring two-year-old runners. Below are a few horses that might not be well-fancied at post time, but will nonetheless present value in the deep fields.
Breeders Cup
2023 Breeders' Cup post draw analysis and implications
Post positions for the 2023 Breeders’ Cup were drawn on Monday evening, finalizing the fields for the 14 championship races across Friday and Saturday at Santa Anita.
Breeders Cup
The 2023 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Tipsheet
A fine field of 11 two-year-olds will vie in Friday’s $2 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Santa Anita (G1).
Breeders Cup
Keeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Oct. 31, 2023
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Tuesday, Oct. 31 at Horseshoe Indianapolis, including a cold Pick 3.
Wagering
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast: Oct. 31, 2023
Jason opens the show talking about people's opinions and excitement levels about this year's Breeders' Cup. Then we welcome in Brisnet and TwinSpires' own Vance Hanson to talk about the turf races and European runners for Saturday's Breeders' Cup event.
Racing Podcast
Kentucky Derby pedigree profile: Liberal Arts
Does Liberal Arts have the pedigree to shine racing 1 1/4 miles on the first Saturday in May? At least at first glance, his pedigree gives off mixed signals.
Pedigree
The Heart That Wears the Crown: Seattle Slew
The 10th Triple Crown winner’s humble beginnings belied the deep talent inside this champion, a horse with strength and speed to spare and a heart that loved to run.
Triple Crown
Kentucky Derby Maiden Watch: Churchill winners shine
The 150th running of the Kentucky Derby (G1) is barely more than six months away, which means it’s time to resume our annual Kentucky Derby Maiden Watch series.
Kentucky Derby
Breeders’ Cup Roundup: Oct. 30, 2023
J. Keeler Johnson reviews the latest news and results on the road to the 2023 Breeders’ Cup at Santa Anita.
Breeders Cup
Breeders’ Cup Trends: Dirt Races
The Breeders’ Cup World Championships is nearly upon us, as The Great Race Place will play host to an incredible two days of racing on Nov. 3 and 4. There have been five editions held at Santa Anita dating back to 2012, and the picturesque venue is one of the best locations to host the Championships, in my opinion. Below are a few things to consider when handicapping the dirt races over the weekend.
Analysis
How much of a connection does the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies have to the Kentucky Oaks?
Dating back to the inaugural running of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies in 1984, just two horses have returned off victories in the race for two-year-old females to win the Kentucky Oaks the following season.
Analysis
Catching My Eye: Closing Day at Keeneland
That’s a wrap on Keeneland’s fall meet, as Kentucky racing moves back to its homebase of Churchill Downs, where they’ll be through Nov. 26.
Analysis
Harness Weekly Update: a 16% win hit rate and 38% ATB
This week, there were 56 active horses (a 16% win hit rate and a 38% ATB (across-the-board) hit.
Racing
Monday Morning Message with Jason Beem Oct. 30, 2023
Jason discusses the beginning of Breeders' Cup week as well as all the noise, hype, and touts we're all going to see and hear over the course of the next several days.
Racing Podcast
POPULAR ARTICLES
How field sizes can affect win percentagesKeeler Johnson’s picks and plays of Nov. 15, 2023Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast: Nov. 15, 2023Racing Roundtable: Pool 1 of KDFW, first-crop sires, and top turf femaleFirst-crop sires: Vino Rosso a top-shelf stallion with most progeny earnings by first-crop sires
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