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TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 08/28 by TwinSpires Radio | Sports Podcasts
Derek Simon and Ed DeRosa discuss last weekend’s Pacific Classic and Travers Stakes, as well as Palace Malice’s poor Internet etiquette. Ed also gives his take on proper “twerking” technique. In the U. of Bet segment, Derek and Dave Schwartz disc ...
Racing
Game On Dude still the country's best horse
The results of this weekend's races--despite the favorite rolling in the Pacific Classic Stakes and an upset in the Travers--did nothing to change my thoughts on the championship picture for Horse of the Year and three-year-old male, respectively. ...
Racing
Wagering expectations of a public tout
My race selections on Twitter can best be summed by the Toby Keith song, "I Love This Bar": "We've got winners, we've got losers..." Sometimes we have both in the same race as was the case with the Pacific Classic Stakes on Sunday at Del Mar when 8- ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
A mildly successful harness-betting weekend resulted from our Thursday blog, though certainly not one of our more prosperous efforts. This weekend’s choices spilled over into Sunday night, which is why this blog was posted later than usual. At V ...
Racing
The Travers Stakes 'Conspiracy'
NOTE: Click HERE for a free sample report that explains what the data above means. Both horses like to be on or near the pace and, while I was not overly impressed with Verrazano’s latest score in the Haskell (I thought the -6 lat ...
Racing
The case for Orb to win the Travers Stakes
There are plenty of reasons not to like Orb: The Preakness was dreadful, and he flattened in the Belmont before an 11-week break into this. That'd be enough to pass at even money, but I'm hoping for 4-to-1 against a competitive group. His Kentucky De ...
Racing
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The battle for three-year-old supremacy
The winner of this year's Travers Stakes has a good chance to become the first champion three-year-old male to win the midsummer classic since Summer Bird in 2009 and just the second in the past seven years, third in the past 12, and fourth in the pa ...
Racing
The Jackpot 5 Show Parlay Opportunity
One thing I've tried to do lately is think of wagers as opportunities. If I'm not overjoyed at the chance to enter into a particular pool then it's not worth my money. Different pools can work together to offer multiple opportunities. E.g., the win ...
Racing
Freshmen In Focus
The green pacers and trotters have not been racing for long but the best of the frosh-colt pacers so far are about to strut their stuff in Metro Pace eliminations at Mohawk this Saturday, Aug. 24. The biggest feature for the future glamour boys is th ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
Super Stakes Saturday at Pocono was not rife with big prices but we did score some winners that complemented our contenders’ list. The fields were in fast motion on the five-eighths oval and that produced a few world records, most opportunistic. ...
Racing
Racing
A-B-C-Deep on the Arlington Million day card at Arlington International Racecourse
You don't need a Ph.D. in Cristometrics to take a look at my ABC grid and figure out that I'll be leaning on the "A" column a lot. The internal conversation goes something like this, "If I'm using this horse then I have to use this horse." That' ...
Racing
Executive corner: Jeremy Clemons on Twinnovation, Jackpot 5, and TwinSpires mobile
Pardon me while I highjack the TwinSpires Blog from the normal in-depth handicapping and racing analysis provided by Ed, Derek, and Frank, but I wanted to share some thoughts on a few recent innovations at TwinSpires.com--what we call "Twinnovations ...
Racing
Million eve ABCs
Here is the ABC grid for Friday, August 16, at Arlington Park, which John G. Dooley just called one of his favorite days of the year. I can't imagine how excited he is for Million day itself, then! In addition to the great wagering menu Arling ...
Racing
A jackpot with a twist: more winners and big money
The biggest difference between betting on the pull of a slot machine and the outcome of a horse race isn't skill; it's the pay table. Yes, for me and the vast majority of people reading this blog betting on Thoroughbred racing IS a game of skill ...
Racing
Stars On Tap In Saturday Stakes
There is no shortage of harness stars in weekend programs in the east. Highlighted by the return of the pacing-champ Captaintreacherous, pacers and trotters, young and old, are ready to battle for big dough on Saturday, Aug. 17. Pocono Dow ...
Racing
Big races, big money, big fun Arlington Million week
Whether it's carryovers, guaranteed pools, or contests you like (and especially if it's all of the above), Arlington Million week on TwinSpires.com offers great wagering opportunities to go along with the great racing at Arlington International Racec ...
Racing
TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 08/14 by TwinSpires Radio | Sports Podcasts
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Racing
The 2013 Arlington Million playlist
My trip to Arlington Heights on Monday from Lexington on Monday will take much longer than the six hours it would in an about-straight shot. That's mainly due to a couple of nosh stops along the way--lunch at Brugge Brasserie in the Broad Ripple ne ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
We came off of our championship weekend with some mild wins this Friday and Saturday, Aug. 9 and Aug. 10. At Hoosier on Friday, we gave you a pair of Indiana Sires Stakes winners. Rose Run Parker paid $6.60 in the frosh-colt trot. Bankers For Al ...
Racing
Worth the Weight? Wise Dan Takes on Six at Saratoga
(Click on image to enlarge) Which brings us to this weekend’s Grade II Fourstardave Handicap, in which defending Horse of the Year Wise Dan will be conceding 11-14 pounds to his six (scheduled) rivals. ...
Racing
Sizzling Stakes Ensue
There may be a breather for some horses, most of which participated in last weeks barrage of Meadowlands stakes on Hambletonian day, but there is a herd of others, trotters and pacers, two- and three-year-olds, battling for state-bred stakes money in ...
Racing
TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 08/07 by TwinSpires Radio | Sports Podcasts
Ed DeRosa and Derek Simon discuss the infamous “Fairmount Fix,” Garrett Gomez, Wise Dan and other racing-related stuff. In the U. of Bet segment, Derek and Dave Schwartz continue their conversation about methods and angles: * What is a reasonable s ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
The big weekend is over and we are happy to say it was a terrific theater for racing and wagering as we covered the sport’s huge features on site at the Meadowlands. In league with Hambletonian Society ’s press and public relations corps, my ...
Racing
Amazing August Action On Tap
It’s time for one of the biggest weekends of the season in the standardbred racing industry for insiders and players, for fans and spectators, as the Meadowlands hosts two days of huge stakes programs featuring some of the greatest pacers and trotter ...
Racing
Creating Your Own Systems & Angles
Recently, after telling a Facebook friend that my Win Factor and Pace Profile reports were best used in conjunction with one’s own handicapping or as the basis of a system or angle, I was asked a great question: “OK, so how do I come up with an ang ...
Racing
It's OK to be wrong as long as you get paid when you're right
What do Rich Perloff and the TwinSpires.com Players Pool have in common? Neither hit the Pick 6 on Monday at Saratoga. The difference, though, is that Perloff could have while TwinSpires.com should have. The former because Perloff gave out an ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
It was an extremely profitable weekend for this department, including suggestions from our Thursday blog and on-the-spot tweets from Hambletonian Trail stories. See below for a reminder on next week’s exclusive live reporting from the Meadowlands ...
Racing
Sat, 2013-07-27 09:11
Day eight of the Saratoga Race Course meeting features two Grade 1 races, and in a testament to the lure of the three-year-old male division, a Grade 2 that many will view as the feature. It's certainly likely to be the feature of my wagering st ...
Racing
Pumped for the jumps, a steeplechase playlist
For me, a truly "only in Saratoga" phenomenon is that people who otherwise would not give another thought to steeplechase racing actually pay attention to the jumpers at North America's most prestigious race meeting. TwinSpires.com Summer Showd ...
Racing
Froshes And Sophs And More Fight To Face August
Adios Action An octet of glamour boy pacers is set to start in the Meadows’ signature race, the $450,000 Delvin Miller Adios. To accompany the Adios on the Saturday afternoon card are sophomore filly pacers, competing in two divisions of ...
Racing
TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 07/24 by TwinSpires Radio | Blog Talk Radio
Ed DeRosa of Brisnet.com and host Derek Simon discuss the latest racetrack goings-on, including Eblouissante's inauspicious return to racing, Verrazano's upcoming challenge in the Haskell, as well as betting strategies. In the U. of Bet s ...
Racing
ABC Double carryover
The above grid represents my ABC selections only, and not the opinions of other Players Pool team members. Good luck to those in the pool and those playing Summer Showdown ! ...
Racing
Cheering your favorites home
As the below video illustrates, there is no shortage of ways to cheer your favorite horse home when watching them race. Unless I'm cheering for the number two horse (affectionately known as "the deuce") then I find myself most typically cheering ...
Racing
It's time to work together on Thoroughbred after care
I do not have an issue with Grade 1 winners competing in lower-level races, including the lowest level, but a class drop is among the potential warning signs track officials and horsemen should pay attention. Couple Monzante's rapid descent with a ve ...
Racing
A Closer Look at Del Mar & Saratoga
(Click on image to enlarge) And, now, Saratoga : Avg. Winning Odds: 5.56-1 Favorite Win Rate: 38% Favorite In-the-Money Rate: 69% Average Payoffs Quinella: $39.30 Exacta: $10 ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
A lot of action all over the harness scene took place this weekend and a lot of favorites came through for the public. Our only stakes winner was in the Sheppard final at Yonkers, where we had Forty Five Red, paying $7.60. We were second w ...
Racing
Saratoga Day 2: Now with more numbers than any other grid
Despite going four-for-six on my lone "A" picks yesterday , I needed the last race single to bail me out after flaming out early in the late Pick 4 and only managing to break even on a BAAB result on the early. The Saturday, July 20, card is no ...
Racing
The parlay savant
He did it again. Just ten days after turning $16 into $1,000 in Let 8 Ride , Ryan Yokoyama turned $10 into $1,551 in TwinSpires.com's Summer Showdown promotion by going eight-for-eight on $10 show bets Thursday at Del Mar. Also scoring a perf ...
Racing
Opening day at Saratoga
Below is the ABC grid for opening day at Saratoga. Six single "A" picks is the most I can remember having on a card, so it won't be hard to tell what kind of day I'm having/have had! Steve Byk said it best when he wished everyone a joyfu ...
Racing
Show me the carryovers!
The first of 34 Summer Showdown days is in the books, and nobody picked 10 (or 9 or 8) on the opening day program at Del Mar, which means there's $3,000 up for grabs today--$1,500 from Wednesday plus the guaranteed $1,500 every day. If you pla ...
Racing
TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 07/17 by TwinSpires Radio | Blog Talk Radio
Host Derek Simon and Ed DeRosa of Brisnet.com discuss the opening of Del Mar and Saratoga, including who and what to watch for. In the U. of Bet segment, Dave Schwartz emphasizes the importance of playing to one's strengths as a bettor. And, lastly, ...
Racing
Adios Pace elims highlight cool weekend of action
The heat wave should be over, ending five days of over 90-degree temperatures in most states on the east coast, so as the mercury drops and a lot of rain is expected, the trotters and pacers meet the weekend with a fine forecast, one that we hope wil ...
Racing
Summer Showdown strategy: the longer you go the easier it gets
But such is the task that awaits TwinSpires.com players looking to stake their claim at the $50,000 up for grabs in the Summer Showdown promotion that starts today with race 1 at Del Mar Thoroughbred Club. To win (or share) in each day's $1,50 ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
After Captaintreacherous won the Meadowlands Pace, as we predicted, the fabulous pacing colt’s win price of $3.20 looked gigantic. His total command of the mile was another notch in the belt of a pacer that will rank among the best of all time, inclu ...
Racing
Let 8 Ride is back with big wins
What started out as an $8 win bet on Thursday turned into a $1,407 decision on Sunday. California horseplayer Ryan Yokoyama decided to take the plunge, and although he didn't connect on his win bet to land in the Jay Trotter Hall of Fame, th ...
Racing
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Meadowlands Pace tops miles of harness weekend action
Captaintreacherous, rested and reportedly in fine fettle, is the star of the sport’s first million-dollar race, this year worth $635,750, The Meadowlands Pace. He is the morning-line favorite and it would still be generous to get those odds on him. ...
Racing
A smoking gun in every race
Now admittedly you don't need Brisnet.com Ultimate PPs to figure out if there's a lone speed type in the race. A bunch of 1s on the left-hand side of the running lines on one horse but not on any others is the best indication, but that still doesn't ...
Racing
TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 07/10 by TwinSpires Radio | Blog Talk Radio
Host Derek Simon and Ed DeRosa discuss Game On Dude, Wise Dan, breastfeeding... and other horse racing-related subjects. In the U. of Bet/History segment, Derek recites some amazing stats on speed figures and also gives his opinion on ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
We had a good night on the trotting side.
Briefly, we had the first three Pennsylvania All Stars colt-trot winners: Brew Master ($5.40), Aperfectyankee ($9.40) and Bluto ($9). In the Reynolds Stakes the night before at the Me ...
Racing
To Rate Or Not to Rate
(Click on image to enlarge) I pointed out that “seven of his nine career wins have come when he has been second or better — meaning first — at the first call. All nine of his career wins have come when he’s been third or better. ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
Captaintreacherous, again denied by many, this time due to his outside post position in the Max Hempt Final at Pocono on June 29, paid a remarkable $4.80 by winning the race with defiance toward every harness-handicapping notion available. ...
Racing
Wise Dan Looks Vulnerable in the Firecracker
(Click on image to enlarge) Let’s start with the former: Whenever I see horses, especially older horses, record an unusually poor LSR (“poor” being relative, of course) it gives me pause. Rachel Alexandra, Blind Luck, Havre de Grace… all ...
Racing
Winning underlay or losing overlay? The Players Pool conundrum
You are offered two games of chance with fixed odds. In the first game, you flip a coin and get 4-to-5 odds on your choice (heads or tails). In the second game, you roll a standard six-sided die and get 6-to-1 odds on your choice (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 ...
Racing
Young Guns, Glamour Groups, Fire
Even though Pocono Downs gets the week’s top headlines with Saturday, June 29’s finals at the Pennsylvania oval next week, including another appearance by Captaintreacherous, the weekend agenda launches herds of freshmen onto the 2013 scene. Frosh- ...
Racing
Contest Races for Thursday and Friday
CLICK HERE FOR CONTEST DETAILS CONTEST RACES FOR THURSDAY, JUNE 27 1) Belmont 7 – OCL, 1M, Dirt – 4:13 2) Churchill 8 – AOC, 1 1/16M, Dirt – 4:29 3) Belmont 8 – OCL, 6F, Dirt – 4:45 4) Churchill 9 – CLM, 1M, Dirt – 4:59 5) Belmont 9 – CL ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
Captaintreacherous did it again this weekend, winning on Pocono’s five-eighths track in one of three elims for next week’s Max Hempt stakes. The champion glamour boy pacer paid $2.40 but our best pick was in the first “Hempt” elim, where we nailed Em ...
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Rocking Around the Clock on Saturday at TwinSpires.com
Near-around the clock action is nothing new on TwinSpires.com, but the class of the races offered on Saturday-- with group and graded stakes action beginning with Royal Ascot in the morning and concluding with Churchill Downs "after dark" --is pretty ...
Racing
Pocono’s Powerhouse Features
Pocono Downs shines with features on Sun Stakes Saturday, June 22,with eliminations for finals at the Pennsylvania oval next week, including a big event on the Hambletonian Trail which you can read about on the excluscive blog. Soph-colt pacers ...
Racing
TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 06/19 by TwinSpires Radio | Blog Talk Radio
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TwinSpires player turns $20 to show on Orb into $6,705.67 pay day
For those who thought (as I did) that Orb was the most likely winner of the Belmont Stakes, nearly even money (19-to-20, paying $3.90) to show on the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands winner in the third jewel of American Thoroughbred racing's ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
Aside from the accolades, we told you that at 1-1 or up Captaintreacherous would be an overlay. He paid a remarkable $4.80 to win. The buzz horses were all zapped by the stretch to the point where the longest shot on the board—Twilight Bonfire—who go ...
Racing
Pace Handicapping: A Practical Demonstration
(Click on image to enlarge) (Click on image to enlarge) The first thing to take note of regarding this race is that the average early speed ration, or ESR, is on the moderate side for a sprint rac ...
Racing
A Bettor’s Grand Guide To The North America Cup
What follows is an exclusive bettor’s look at the horses in the North America Cup. You can read their stats, drivers and trainers on the program pages and you can read the human-interest stories at a lot of websites. This text is only about the horse ...
Racing
Marvelous Menagerie At Mohawk And More
It’s one of the biggest programs of the season, headlined by the Pepsi North America Cup on Saturday, June 15. There is so much material to accompany analysis of the races on the Mohawk Raceway program that night that we have split the difference wit ...
Racing
TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 06/12 by TwinSpires Radio | Blog Talk Radio
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Triple Crown winners and losers
While not financially lucrative (-18.6% ROI), the Triple Crown series provided satisfying story lines, and perhaps more importantly as a fan of racing beyond the Triple Crown, story lines that are likely to continue on the road to the Breeders' Cup T ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
It was a slow weekend for us on the betting platform because we were mostly done in by public choices. The one we wanted, the beast of pacing, Captaintreacherous, put in a dynamic performance to win a North America Cup elim. He was challenged in the ...
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Belmont Stakes pedigree: looking for that magic cross
When it comes to pedigree handicapping, I'm not a big fan of saying a certain aspect of a horse's lineage means s/he can't do something on the track. Rather, pedigree helps gives clues as to what a horse might most like to do: run short, long, or som ...
Racing
Eliminations Galore With North America Cup Headlining
Glamour-boy pacers are in the limelight this weekend as the North America Cup eliminations are featured at Mohawk Raceway and this year’s first $1-million affair takes shape (the final is next week). The filly set takes aim at the Fan Hanover final f ...
Racing
TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 06/05 by TwinSpires Radio | Blog Talk Radio
Host Derek Simon handicaps LIVE races from Belmont Park and Beulah Park and also offers an in-depth analysis of the Belmont Stakes. In the U. of Bet segment, Derek and Dave Schwartz of thehorsehandicappingauthority.com discuss how ...
Racing
Mid-week action at Meadows
Check out the Wednesday, June 5 Currier & Ives divisions at the Meadows by going to : https://www.twinspires.com/sites/twinspires.com/files/blogger_importer/06/currier-ives-hosts-fillies-in-lucrative.html We continue to exclusively follow all the ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
It was a stakes-filled weekend and if you like the headline events get used to it because we are just starting with the big-purse flow. Let’s start this review with our good-news wins. At the Meadows we nailed the $178 exacta in the Pennsylvania ...
Racing
Understanding Form Cycles
(Click on image to enlarge) Shockingly (not really), just as improving Beyer speed figures increase the likelihood of a regression, so too do ascending Form Ratings — especially if the most recent Rating exceeds 75 percent. Likewis ...
Racing
Powerful Pacing Parade
Pacers adorn this weekend’s highlights, with older and younger fields in combat. For the mare pacers there are two generously pursed Golden Girl divisions at the Meadowlands and there are two New Jersey Sires Stakes (NJSS) finals for sophomore pacers ...
Racing
Hit it or win it? The ULW dilemma
Bettors walk a fine line between trying to "hit" their wagers and maximizing profit from them. As a multi-race player, I constantly struggle with ULWs--underlaid likely winners--and how to use them. ...
Racing
TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 05/29 by TwinSpires Radio | Blog Talk Radio
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Turning $20 to show into $10,000
We're still 11 days out, but the Belmont Stakes (click for FREE Brisnet.com Ultimate PPs of possible entrants) is shaping up to be a fantastic race as part of an always-fascinating card at Belmont Park. Many of us (including the TwinSpir ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
Hello from my neighborhood track, Penn National Racecourse (see photo by Sharon Hindermyer). Here I was by the paddock, sheltered from the rain pelting the track, watching my thoroughbred-trainer friend Frank Cifarelli walk his steed before sending i ...
Racing
Preakness 2013: Redemption for ‘Figure Handicapping’
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Oxbow's Preakness pace wasn't soft
Before Preakness, Ox bow had five previous races where at least one of those ratings (the E1 or E2) was 95+, and he lost all five of those races . In the Preakness , however, Oxbow po pped a 96-105 en route to a victory in wh ...
Racing
Solid Stakes Situations
Pacing and trotting action ensues into deep spring with action from many divisions in the U.S. and business-torn Ontario. New Jersey Sires Stakes (NJSS) and Pennsylvania Sires Stakes (PASS) for soph pacers and trotters are flowing with glamour-boys a ...
Racing
TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 05/22 by TwinSpires Radio | Blog Talk Radio
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Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
A lot of bettors were excited about Mister Herbie in the “Cutler” final at the Meadowlands on May 18, sending him off around 6-5. We liked him, though not at that price, and if you were so inclined to pass due to that then you saved a few bucks since ...
Racing
The Baltimore Bounce
(Click on image to enlarge) It appears that my hypothesis may be correct (the sample is far too small to be definitive). Horses that improved their Brisnet speed figure by more than five points in the Kentucky Derby (compared to their ...
Racing
Horse by horse Preakness analysis with fair odds line
I’m not the type that’s big into having to pick one horse as the winner of each race. I understand why it’s done for major events, but even though I’m calling Itsmyluckyday my pick to win the Preakness Stakes (as he was in the Derby) it’s not like I ...
Racing
Foes Out In Full Force
Some big names from the past and present are involved in this weekend’s harness features around North America. Older pacers and trotters of the first degree meet at the Meadowlands and New Jersey Sires Stakes (NJSS) and Pennsylvania Sires Stakes (PAS ...
Racing
TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 05/15 by TwinSpires Radio | Blog Talk Radio
TwinSpires ' Derek Simon discusses all the latest Preakness news with Ed DeRosa of Brisnet.com . Among the topics are: Orb’s scintillating recent workout, Departing’s status as the likely second choice in Maryland and fair-value exacta combinatio ...
Racing
Enter the Preakness exacta matrix
Anyone can make a morning line for projected win odds, but making one for exacta will pays takes a little more finesse, though I did take some liberties to make it easier while still providing guidance as to where the money will go in the exacta pool ...
Racing
Cotolo’s Harness Review, News And Notes
This past weekend you had to go out of your way to find a winner from this department, as the weekend’s offerings, in general, missed their marks, mostly to favorites. Keeping good notes on our Thursday blogs and following through is what worked this ...
Racing
Kentucky Derby Recap & Triple Crown Preview
(Click on image to enlarge) Though the son of Into Mischief is clearly a closer (say that five times fast), notice that he was within three lengths of the leader at the first call in four of his five races prior to the Derby. However, ...
Racing
Final Derby thoughts and what Orb's win means for racing
As the Kentucky Derby aftermath gives way to Preakness chatter, the story lines for the second jewel of American Thoroughbred racing's Triple Crown are becoming fairly well established with Orb's quest to become the first Triple Crown winner since Af ...
Racing
Northern Exposure; Jersey Giants
The big Saturday features this week take us to Canada, where Woodbine hosts the Princess Final and the Diplomat Final, starring sophomores. The co-starring events are at the Meadowlands. Of course, there are four John Simpson Stakes on Friday, May 10 ...
Racing
TwinSpires Horse Racing Podcast w/Derek Simon 05/08 by TwinSpires Radio | Blog Talk Radio
TwinSpires' Derek Simon and Brisnet's Ed DeRosa recap the 2013 Kentucky Derby and look forward to the Preakness Stakes. In the U. of Bet segment, Dave Schwartz and Derek further discuss the Derby as it relates to value betting. Lastly, in the Hand ...
Racing