2025 Belmont Stakes: Weather forecast, chance of rain for the day of the race

June 7th, 2025

Track Conditions:

  • DIRT = SLOPPY, SEALED
  • TURF = YIELDING

Races 9 and 12 are canceled, now scheduled as final races on Sunday

Jump to: Track Changes

Belmont Stakes Day Forecast 

What will the weather be like at Saratoga Race Course today? Will there be rain?

Weather.com says

  • Current (1:00pm ET): 66°
  • At Belmont Stakes race time: 72°, Partly Cloudy, 8% chance of rain
  • High: 73°
  • Chance of Rain: 100% Morning, 12% Afternoon, 5% Evening
  • Wind Speed: SW 6 mph
  • Night (8:15pm): 66°

National Weather Service says

  • Current (1:00pm ET): 68° (17° C)
  • High: 74°
2025 Belmont Stakes morning weather

Track Conditions

  • Turf Races on Mellon: 9, 12
  • Off Turf Races: 3, 6, 10, 14

Today's Scratches for June 7, 2025 

  • Race 1 - 8
  • Race 2 - 1,2,8
  • Race 3 - 1A,3,4,6,7,9,10,11
  • Race 4 - 3,10
  • Race 5 - 6
  • Race 6 - 1,4,5,7,8
  • Race 7 - 7
  • Race 8 - no change
  • Race 9 - NOW SUNDAY, end of card
  • Race 10 - 1,3,4,5
  • Race 11 - 7
  • Race 12 - NOW SUNDAY, end of card
  • Race 13 - no change
  • Race 14 - 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,11,12,13
  • https://www.nyra.com/saratoga/racing/scratches-changes/ 
RaceChanges
3Post time changed from 11:55AM to 12:05 PM
4Post time changed from 12:35PM to 12:55 PM
5Post time changed from 1:15PM to 1:45 PM
6Post time changed from 1:55PM to 2:35 PM
7Post time changed from 2:37PM to 3:25 PM
8Post time changed from 3:17PM to 4:13 PM
10Post time changed from 4:47PM to 5:16 PM
11Post time changed from 5:28PM to 6:09 PM

Wagering Notes:

  • All multi-race wagers that involve Race 9 or 12 are cancelled, two-day wagers will have 'all' affected
  • Race 4 - no pick-5 wagering
  • Race 6 - no place, no show, no exacta, no trifecta, no superfecta, no Pick-4 wagering
  • Race 7 - no Pick-3, no Pick-5 wagering
  • Race 8 - no Daily Double, no Pick-3, no Pick-6 wagering
  • Race 10 - no Pick-3, no Pick-4, no Pick-5 wagering
  • Race 11 - no Daily Double, no Pick-3, no Pick-4 wagering
  • Race 14 - no Show, no Trifecta, no Superfecta wagering

SAR Belmont S. | Purse: $2M | 3yo | 1 1/4 M | Dirt | PARS: | E1: 93 | E2: 102 | LP: 92 | SPD: 102

Race Type Stats for Last 3 Years

Race Type # Races FAV Win% FAV ITM Win% FAV $2 ROI
SAR 3yo STK Dirt 1 1/4 M 11 18.2% 81.8% -1.10
Average Field Size Median $2 Win Payoff % Winners <5/1 % Winners >=5/1<10/1 % Winners >=10/1
12.0 $16.20 36.4% 36.4% 27.3%

 

DIRT 10f Track Bias Stats: Meet (07/11 - 09/02) WNR Avg BL 1stCall 2ndCall
# Races % Wire Speed Bias WNR Avg BL 1st Call WNR Avg BL 2nd Call
7 14.3% 85.7% 2.40 0.46
Run Style Early Speed Early Speed Late Speed Late Speed
E E/P P S
Impact Values 0.76 3.81 0.00 0.83
% Races Won 28.6% 57.1% 0.0% 14.3%
Post Bias RAIL 1-3 4-7 8+
Impact Values 0.68 0.90 0.86 4.00
AVG Win % 14.3% 19.1% 12.5% 50.0%

 

DIRT 10f Track Bias Stats: Week (08/27 - 09/02) WNR Avg BL 1stCall 2ndCall
# Races % Wire Speed Bias WNR Avg BL 1st Call WNR Avg BL 2nd Call
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.50 0.00
Run Style Early Speed Early Speed Late Speed Late Speed
E E/P P S
Impact Values 2.96 0.00 0.00 0.00
% Races Won 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Post Bias RAIL 1-3 4-7 8+
Impact Values 0.00 0.00 1.75 0.00
AVG Win % 0.0% 0.0% 25.0% 0.0%

 

Join us on June 7 for a rematch that will shake the stands. Many top Kentucky Derby contenders return for the Belmont S. (G1) to fight for the finish, including probable contender Journalism, winner of Preakness 150, and Sovereignty, winner of Derby 151. Who will stand in the winner's circle for Belmont?

Stay with us throughout Belmont Day during stakes races as we bring you the latest horse racing news, live odds, expert picks, and more. It is sure to be an exciting day of racing!


FAQs: Everything You Need to Know About 2025 Belmont Stakes Weather and Track Conditions

Why does the weather matter on Belmont Stakes race day?

Weather can affect both the track surface and how horses perform. A dry sunny day usually means a fast track, while rain can make it sloppy or muddy. The 2025 Belmont Stakes weather forecast will help bettors and fans know what to expect and how it might influence race results and strategy.

How can I stay updated on the Belmont Stakes weather forecast?

You can follow official updates from TwinSpires on race day. Our live coverage page includes updates on the Belmont Stakes weather forecast and any expected changes to track conditions. It is the best way to stay informed while watching or placing bets.

What does it mean if the Belmont Stakes track is listed as fast or sloppy?

A fast track means the surface is dry and ideal for most horses. A sloppy track means it has water on it, often after rain. Some horses run better in one condition over the other, so track status can impact betting decisions. TwinSpires live coverage will note these changes in real time.

Can rain affect the race outcome at the Belmont Stakes?

Yes, rain can affect both the footing and visibility. Some horses struggle in wet conditions while others thrive. Trainers may adjust tactics depending on the chance of rain. That is why checking the Belmont Stakes rain forecast and track condition before betting is important.

Will the Belmont Stakes be delayed if it rains?

The race usually continues in the rain unless weather becomes unsafe. Officials monitor the situation closely. TwinSpires live coverage will alert you if there are any schedule changes or track updates due to weather.

What kind of horses perform well in wet Belmont Stakes conditions?

Horses that have shown strong past performances on muddy or wet tracks are often referred to as mudders. These horses may have an advantage if the Belmont Stakes 2025 track becomes wet. TwinSpires experts will highlight horses with a good record in such conditions.

How do trainers and jockeys prepare for changing Belmont Stakes weather?

Trainers may adjust equipment, warmup routines, or even strategy based on weather. Jockeys also choose different paths on the track depending on moisture levels. TwinSpires will feature live commentary and analysis on how teams react to changing weather and track conditions.

Does the weather affect the betting odds for the Belmont Stakes?

Yes, it can. If rain is expected or the track changes, betting odds often shift to reflect the strengths or weaknesses of certain horses. Watching how odds move in response to the Belmont Stakes weather forecast can help you find value bets.

Where can I find real time Belmont Stakes weather and track condition updates?

Your best source is TwinSpires. On race day, we provide real time coverage that includes weather alerts, track condition changes, and expert insights. It is a reliable way to follow the Belmont Stakes forecast and adjust your betting strategy as needed.