2026 Kentucky Derby: Weather forecast, mostly cloudy for race day

May 2nd, 2026

Race day in Louisville on Saturday, May 2 brings partly sunny skies with a high of 57°F and a low of 36°F, making it a crisp but beautiful day at Churchill Downs. A slight 20% chance of rain is possible during the day, clearing by nightfall, with calm northerly winds at 7 mph.

Dressing smart means layering. Women may consider wraps, pashminas, or tailored blazers to stay warm without sacrificing style. Men will be well-served by a classic wool or tweed three-piece suit rather than lighter fabrics like seersucker. 

With a full day on your feet, wedges or block heels are strongly recommended over stilettos. Tuck a clear poncho into your bag as a precaution and enjoy the Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports in comfortable style.

RELATED: 150 Years of Kentucky Derby Weather: Will it rain on the Kentucky Derby?

Overnight weather and early Saturday morning planning

What the Weather Channel thinks...

What do other weather outlets predict Saturday weather to be like?

Let's take a look at AccuWather, Weather Bug and NOA.

2026 Kentucky Derby Official Odds - Bet with TwinSpires

Track
Advance Kentucky Derby
Race
12
Time
10:57 PM
#
Horse Info
Horse Name
Jockey
Trainer
Odds
1
Renegade
Ortiz; Jr, Irad
Pletcher, Todd A
5/1
2
Albus
Franco, Manuel
Mott, Riley
51/1
3
Intrepido
Berrios, Hector I
Mullins, Jeff
59/1
4
Litmus Test
Garcia, Martin
Baffert, Bob
37/1
5
Right To Party
Elliott, Christopher
Mcpeek, Kenneth G
29/1
6
Commandment
Saez, Luis
Cox, Brad H
7/1
7
Danon Bourbon
Nishimura, Atsuya
Ikezoe, Manabu
14/1
8
So Happy
Smith, Mike E
Glatt, Mark
6/1
9
The Puma
Castellano, Javier
Delgado, Gustavo
7/1
10
Wonder Dean
Sakai, Ryusei
Takayanagi, Daisuke
20/1
11
Incredibolt
Torres, Jaime A
Mott, Riley
37/1
12
Chief Wallabee
Alvarado, Junior
Mott, William I
12/1
14
Potente
Hernandez, Juan J
Baffert, Bob
26/1
15
Emerging Market
Prat, Flavien
Brown, Chad C
12/1
16
Pavlovian
Maldonado, Edwin A
O'neill, Doug F
49/1
17
Six Speed
Hernandez; Jr, Brian J
Seemar, Bhupat
45/1
18
Further Ado
Velazquez, John R
Cox, Brad H
7/1
19
Golden Tempo
Ortiz, Jose L
Devaux, Cherie
45/1
20
Fulleffort
Gaffalione, Tyler
Cox, Brad H
19/1
21
Great White
Achard, Alex
Ennis, John
41/1
22
Ocelli
Ramos, Joseph D
Beckman, D Whitworth
50/1
23
Robusta
Jaramillo, Emisael
O'neill, Doug F
50/1
24
Corona De Oro
Hernandez; Jr, Brian J
Stewart, Dallas
50/1
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