Renegade closes as 4-1 favorite in KDFW Pool 6

April 5th, 2026

The final Kentucky Derby Future Wager ahead of the May 2 Run for the Roses, Pool 6, closed at 6 p.m. ET Saturday, with Renegade ranking as the 4-1 favorite. 

The betting window, which opened Thursday, was shut just before the last three big preps occurred on Saturday. Players preferred horses who had already passed their crucible en route to Churchill Downs

The Derby picture had changed dramatically on March 28, when Paladin, the individual favorite in Pool 4 and the slight overall favorite in Pool 5, was knocked off the trail by injury. The same day, two major preps featured contenders auditioning for the suddenly vacant role of Derby favorite.

Renegade claimed that role by rallying to an emphatic victory in the Arkansas Derby (G1) at Oaklawn Park. The Florida Derby (G1) served up a thrilling three-way finish at Gulfstream Park, as Commandment got up to nip The Puma, and Chief Wallabee was just a half-length away in third between them.

Renegade’s four-length demolition job swayed Pool 6 bettors to prefer him to Commandment, who ended up as the 7-1 second choice. The Puma (12-1) and Chief Wallabee (13-1) came next in popularity.

Chad Brown lost his top hope in Paladin, but his Emerging Market, 2-for-2 after narrowly prevailing in the March 21 Louisiana Derby (G2), garnered supported as a 15-1 chance.

Fans of Saturday’s prep winners did well to lock in their odds four weeks out. 

Further Ado finished at 17-1 in Pool 6 prior to his domination of the Blue Grass (G1) at Keeneland, where Ottinho (208-1) was along for second. 

So Happy (93-1) captured the Santa Anita Derby (G1) over Potente (16-1) at Santa Anita.

An even bigger Pool 6 longshot, Albus (173-1), landed the Wood Memorial (G2), staged at Aqueduct one last time before its transfer to the redeveloped Belmont Park. 

Complete results of Pool 6, including will-pays and exacta probables, will be available on the special Future Wager page at KentuckyDerby.com. The 152nd Kentucky Derby will be held on May 2, 2026, at historic Churchill Downs. 

2026 Kentucky Derby Future Wager - Pool 6

Horse
ML Odds
Final Odds
#1 Albus
90-1
173-1
#2 Bravaro
80-1
162-1
#3 Buetane
80-1
77-1
#4 Cherokee Nation
30-1
18-1
#5 Chief Wallabee
10-1
13-1
#6 Chip Honcho
50-1
101-1
#7 Class President
15-1
53-1
#8 Commandment
6-1
7-1
#9 Courting
90-1
81-1
#10 Creole Chrome
90-1
178-1
#11 Danon Bourbon
20-1
23-1
#12 Emerging Market
15-1
15-1
#13 Fulleffort
30-1
23-1
#14 Further Ado
15-1
17-1
#15 Golden Tempo
30-1
32-1
#16 Great White
90-1
57-1
#17 Incredibolt
25-1
22-1
#18 Intrepido
50-1
38-1
#19 Iron Honor
25-1
34-1
#20 Minorinconvenience
90-1
541-1
#21 Napoleon Solo
60-1
53-1
#22 Ocelli
90-1
429-1
#23 Ottinho
90-1
208-1
#24 Pavlovian
25-1
52-1
#25 Potente
30-1
16-1
#26 Reagan's Honor
20-1
27-1
#27 Red Zone Runner
90-1
592-1
#28 Renegade
4-1
4-1
#29 Right to Party
90-1
317-1
#30 Robusta
80-1
72-1
#31 Silent Tactic
25-1
32-1
#32 Six Speed
60-1
93-1
#33 So Happy
90-1
93-1
#34 Start the Ride
90-1
734-1
#35 Steel
90-1
124-1
#36 Talk to Me Jimmy
50-1
48-1
#37 Talkin
90-1
129-1
#38 The Puma
8-1
12-1
#39 Wonder Dean (JPN)
30-1
42-1
#40 All Other 3-Year-Olds
30-1
25-1