Kicking off Thanksgiving week at Churchill Downs with an Awesome Thought

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Churchill Downs closes its November meeting and 2015 racing this week, and I'll be sorry to see it go. Not because I'm crushing it--I haven't had a winning day yet--but because the racing has been fun to watch and handicap on a daily basis.
A good mix of favorites and longshots have combined to create big payoffs. I haven't connected, but an average win price of $14.70 with more than a third favorites winning means if you land on the right winner you can get a good piece of the Pick 4s paying an average of $1,636 for $.50. Considering at least one winning favorite on average is in each of those Pick 4s, that's not bad!
CHURCHILL DOWNS AT A GLANCE | |
---|---|
Avg. Winning Odds: 6.35 - 1 | |
Favorite Win%: 34%, Favorite Itm%: 71% | |
EXOTICS | $2 avg. PAYOFF |
Exacta | 141.42 |
Daily Double | 120.10 |
Trifecta | 1,118.13 |
Pick 3 | 967.29 |
Superfecta | 7,982.27 |
Pick 4 | 6,472.40 |
Pick 5 | 44,024.63 |
Pick 6 Jackpot | 53,906.51 |
Super High Five | 16,395.68 |
Our approach to kick off closing week will be to get Feature Vanity home a winner in race 3 (leg 3 of the early Pick 4) and build something to make some caveman plays in the middle (races 4-7) and late (7-10) Pick 4s. My ABC grid for the 10-race card is below.
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