Scully: Betting the Late Pick 4 at Belmont Park Nov. 14, 2026

James Scully

A pair of juvenile turf stakes, the Awad and Stewart Manor, highlight a 10-race program at Belmont Park on Saturday. Turf racing moved to the Tapeta on Thursday and Friday due to wet conditions, but the rain is expected to stop by Friday evening, and Saturday sunshine may let officials keep the stakes on turf.

A pair of dirt races surround the Awad and Stewart Manor, which are carded as races 8-9, and I will take a shot at the Late Pick 4 sequence. Here’s how I will play and the analysis.

Late Pick 4 (races 7-10)

  • 50-cent part-wheel: 5,6,8,9 with 1,3,9 with 4,6,9 with 12 ($18)

Race 7 – Claiming Race

A bottom-level claimer, the seven-furlong event drew 11 runners, and I favor #5 Princess Becca (5-1), who returns to the right level after registering a pair of improved Brisnet Speed ratings for Orlando Noda. Her positional ability should be a benefit in a bulky field filled with mostly off-the-pace types. #6 Summer Flower (12-1) drops a level and makes her second start back from a freshening following an encouraging third in her first Belmont appearance; #8 Miss Lao (9-2) will be included in her start off the claim for Joe Sharp, and speedy #9 Vekomancer (7-2).

Race 8 – Awad

A first-out maiden winner at Aqueduct in June, #9 Arctic Wolf (6-1) returns to New York following a convincing win in the Speakeasy S. at Santa Anita in early October, and I like the numbers he’s registered in the last two stakes outings. The gray colt appears well drawn outside and promises to show high speed from the start. #1 Just Joe (6-1) and #3 Metallican (12-1) will be added from off the pace.

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Race 9 – Stewart Manor

Wesley Ward tried to run #9 Fanshell Beach (4-1) in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (G1), but the filly failed to draw into the field from the also-eligibles list. The competition will be softer in the six-furlong Stewart Manor, and I liked the versatility Fanshell Beach displayed last time, rallying from far off the pace to miss by a length in the 5 1/2-furlong Indian Summer (G3) at Keeneland. A pure speedball in her first three outings, Fanshell Beach projects to keep advancing with new tactics. Six of her rivals do their best running on the lead, and I expect a favorable setup. And I’ll use both European invaders, #4 Yuquot (6-1) and #6 Pink Venom (8-1).

Race 10 – Allowance

The morning-line favorite does not appear to be in top condition, but #12 Sidearm (7-2) is discovering his best form presently. After needing time and experience to put things together, the gelded son of Gun Runner will enter the entry-level allowance on the upswing for Ned Barker, finding his niche at a middle distance on dirt, recording maiden special weight and starter allowance wins in his last two outings. I like the outside draw and expect another good showing from the four-year-old.

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