The Jury: Expert Picks, Bets, and Fades for April 26, 2025

Updated:

The TwinSpires Jury of Ashley Anderson and guest Nick Tammaro are back to debate their best bets and fades at Churchill Downs for Opening Night of the 43-day spring meet, plus they look at a high-profile matchup at Aqueduct on Sunday.

Kentucky Derby (G1) week will officially kick off Saturday, April 26, beneath the Twin Spires of Churchill Downs, host of a 10-race card that includes the six-furlong Roxelana S.

Eight older fillies and mares are entered in the $200,000 stakes event, with #2 Sandy Bottom the 5-2 morning-line favorite for trainer Michael McCarthy. The Omaha Beach four-year-old will look to return to the winner's circle following back-to-back losses in the seven-furlong La Brea (G1) on Dec. 26 at Santa Anita and the six-furlong Carousel S., where she finished third to Justique at Oaklawn Park.

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Sandy Bottom's rivals include Greg Foley-trained Harbor Springs, who rides a two-win streak and will move up in class here. The Lookin At Lucky filly will pick up the services of Irad Ortiz Jr. and put in a bullet 46 4/5-second four-furlong workout on April 19, the fastest time of 98 workers that day.

Over at Aqueduct, the seventh race on Sunday's nine-race card will feature a talented field of eight three-year-olds and older, headlined by Bob Baffert pupil Cornucopian, who will make his third career start. The Into Mischief colt was last seen weakening to finish fourth in the 1 1/8-mile Arkansas Derby (G1) after helping set a blazing hot pace. He'll drop in class in Sunday's one-mile allowance optional claimer and is set to clash with Wood Memorial (G2) sixth-place finisher Sand Devil, who came home 13 lengths behind Cornucopian's stablemate Rodriguez.

Chad Brown runner Keewaydin is another class-dropper coming out of the Remsen (G2), where he placed fifth. Stablemate Garamond will make his third career start and most recently placed third in the one-mile Gotham (G3).


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2025 Kentucky Derby 151 - Odds Provided by TwinSpires.com

Track
Churchill Downs
Race
12
Time
May 03 2025
#
Horse Info
Horse Name
Jockey
Trainer
Odds
1
Citizen Bull
Garcia, Martin
Baffert, Bob
13/1
2
Neoequos
Prat, Flavien
Joseph; Jr, Saffie A
42/1
3
Final Gambit
Machado, Luan
Cox, Brad H
17/1
5
American Promise
Juarez, Nik
Lukas, D W
12/1
6
Admire Daytona
Lemaire, Christophe
Kato, Yukihiro
42/1
7
Luxor Cafe
Moreira, Joao
Hori, Noriyuki
8/1
8
Journalism
Rispoli, Umberto
Mccarthy, Michael W
3/1
9
Burnham Square
Hernandez; Jr, Brian J
Wilkes, Ian R
19/1
11
Flying Mohawk
Ramos, Joseph D
Beckman, D Whitworth
28/1
12
East Avenue
Franco, Manuel
Walsh, Brendan P
41/1
13
Publisher
Ortiz; Jr, Irad
Asmussen, Steven M
33/1
14
Tiztastic
Rosario, Joel
Asmussen, Steven M
24/1
15
Render Judgment
Leparoux, Julien R
Mcpeek, Kenneth G
20/1
16
Coal Battle
Vargas, Juan P
Briley, Lonnie
28/1
17
Sandman
Ortiz, Jose L
Casse, Mark E
5/1
18
Sovereignty
Alvarado, Junior
Mott, William I
7/1
19
Chunk Of Gold
Loveberry, Jareth
West, Ethan W
29/1
20
Owen Almighty
Castellano, Javier
Lynch, Brian A
40/1
21
Baeza
Prat, Flavien
Shirreffs, John A
13/1
Securely BET your pick here with TwinSpires!
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