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Royal Ascot Race Meet 2018

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• Betting Guide Contents
  • Index
  • Royal Ascot race schedule
  • Welcome by Nick Luck
  • The Royal Ascot race meet overview by Jen Caldwell
  • Top Horses at Royal Ascot by Geoffrey Riddle
  • A Royal Ascot Preview by James Wiloughby
  • 5 Longshots to watch at Royal Ascot by Geoffrey Riddle
  • Handicapping Analysis by Mark Johnson
  • New Pick 4 betting strategy by Vance Hanson
  • Top horse form at the Royal Ascot meet by Nic Dogget
  • North American horses at Ascot by Kellie Reilly
  • Historical racing data
    • Royal Ascot past race results and previous start
  • Trainer and Jockey trends
  
  
  • Tipsheets for each each day of racing at Royal Ascot
    • Tuesday Tipsheet
    • Wednesday Tipsheet
    • Thursday Tipsheet
    • Friday Tipsheet
    • Saturday Tipsheet

Royal Ascot Pick 4 Race Schedule

Royal Ascot Race Schedule and Times

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Royal Ascot Group Race Results

Royal Ascot Historical Results for Tuesday

Royal Ascot Historical Results for Wednesday

Royal Ascot Historical Results for Thursday

Royal Ascot Historical Results for Friday

Royal Ascot Historical Results for Saturday

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Royal Ascot Trainer and Jockey Data Trends

The team from At The Races/GBI Racing take a deeper dive into the trainers and jockeys to look out for and provide a wealth of information to keep you ahead during the royal meeting. 

The Trainers to look out for: 

With 94 Royal Ascot winners between them since 2008, Aidan O’Brien, Sir Michael Stoute, John Gosden and Mark Johnston are four trainers to look out for, with O’Brien showing a clear level +£25 stakes profit with all runners during the last 10 years.

AIDAN O’BRIEN
Royal Ascot tally last five years:
2017: 6-36
2016: 7-26
2015: 5-18
2014: 2-25
2013: 4-26

Best races (all-time): Coventry Stakes (8); St James’s Palace Stakes (7); Gold Cup (7); Queen’s Vase (5); Chesham Stakes (4); Jersey Stakes (3); Queen Anne Stakes (3); Prince of Wales’s Stakes (3); Coronation Stakes (3); Hardwicke Stakes (3); Norfolk Stakes (3); Tercentenary Stakes (2); Ribblesdale Stakes (2)

Aidan O’Brien’s numbers have grown here in recent years, with an army of 36 runners in 2017 producing another six winners, taking his tally over the last three Royal Meetings to 18 winners.

As for the areas in which O’Brien delivered, then avoiding his Group One runners and sticking to just Group Two/Group Three/Listed races showed at 22-127 (+£61), while those arriving in form having been beaten no more than four lengths last time struck at 34-149 (+£57). Checking the odds of O’Brien’s performers is also key, for those in the 13/2 to 20/1 bracket offered value at 10-95 (+£38).

JOHN GOSDEN
2017: 2-31
2016: 2-22 
2015: 2-18
2014: 4-18
2013: 1-18

Best races: Prince of Wales’s Stakes (3); Britannia Stakes (3); King Edward VII Stakes (3); Wolferton Stakes (3); Jersey Stakes (2); Windsor Forest Stakes (2); Tercentenary Stakes (2); Coronation Stakes (2); Chesham Stakes (2); Royal Hunt Cup (2); Ribblesdale Stakes (2)

It’s not often John Gosden leaves the Royal Meeting without at least a double, and the Newmarket handler is always a man to respect when teaming up with William Buick (11-61, +£28), while his two-year-olds and four-year-olds returned a healthy 11-56 (+£38). It also helped in sticking with Gosden’s realistic chances at 12/1 or shorter: 20-100 (+£39), along with his runners not moving up in trip: 17-106 (+£20).

SIR MICHAEL STOUTE
2017: 0-13
2016: 2-15 
2015: 1-17
2014: 4-14
2013: 3-16

Best races: Hardwicke Stakes (10); King Edward VII Stakes (7); Duke of Edinburgh Stakes (5); King George V Stakes (4); Coronation Stakes (4); Queen’s Vase (4); Windsor Forest Stakes (3); Jersey Stakes (3); Ribblesdale Stakes (2); Wolferton Stakes (2); Queen Alexandra Stakes (2); Tercentenary Stakes (2)

It was a rare blank for Sir Michael Stoute here 12 months ago, but it’s hard to think he’ll leave empty-handed again, with races like the Hardwicke Stakes and King Edward VII Stakes having provided 17 winners alone. Stoute also excelled with his four-year-olds here at 12-53 (+£23), while those who arrived at Royal Ascot from Epsom, Goodwood, Newbury or York connected at 10-49 (+£24).

MARK JOHNSTON
2017: 2-22
2016: 0-20 
2015: 2-20
2014: 2-19
2013: 0-19

Best races: Queen’s Vase (7); King George V Stakes (4); Hardwicke Stakes (4); Ascot Gold Cup (3); Chesham Stakes (3); Duke of Edinburgh Stakes (3); King Edward VII Stakes (3); Sandringham Handicap (2); Queen Alexandra Stakes (2)

Mark Johnston has been a regular on the royal scoreboard for decades, and the one major clue to his runners hitting the target are their odds, with each of his 13 winners since 2008 having returned at 14/1 or shorter (13-73, +£34), compared to those bigger at 0-127.

Gradually making his way up the Ascot leaderboard is the American trainer, Wesley Ward,who offers excellent value to punters courtesy of a 9-47 record (+£19), including the 20/1 winner, Con Te Partiro, 12 months ago.

Saeed Bin Suroor is next in the table and is respected in races such as the Queen Anne Stakes (7 wins), Ascot Gold Cup (5) and Ribblesdale Stakes (5). Suroor was on the scoresheet in the 2017 Hampton Court with Benbatl, but having sent out a total of just under 50 losers either side of Benbatl sends out a word of caution. It might also be worth treading carefully with Willie Haggas’s runners here, as they struck just once from 82 runners since 2011.

One trainer who did end a drought at this meeting in 2017 was James Fanshawe, whose four winners here since 2008 all moved up in class at Ascot (4-19 +33), while Willie Mullins also entered the winner’s enclosure 12 months ago with Thomas Hobson in the Ascot Stakes at 4/1 – all of Mullins’s five winners returned at 8/1 or shorter (5-15 +£12).

The jockeys to look out for: 

RYAN MOORE
2017: 6-30
2016: 6-29
2015: 9-29
2014: 6-29
2013: 3-29

Best races (all-time): Hardwicke Stakes (4); Duke of Edinburgh Stakes (3); Ascot Stakes (3); Queen of Alexandra Stakes (3); Tercentenary Stakes (2); Queen’s Vase (3); Chesham Stakes (3); Britannia Stakes (2); Wolferton Stakes (2); Gold Cup (2); Ribblesdale Stakes (2); Coventry Stakes (2); Norfolk Stakes (2); Coronation Stakes (2)
With another six winners here 12 months ago, Ryan Moore’s tally during the last four Royal Ascots now stands at 28 winners. Moore’s portfolio of winning big races is growing too, with last year seeing a third victory in the Ascot Stakes – all of which came for Willie Mullins.

Moore also has a strong association here with Aidan O’Brien (30-135 +£17), while punters can rely on him when partnering a fancied selection at 8/1 or shorter , where his record is 44-182 (+£30).

As for other clues pinpointing Moore’s strengths at this meeting, then the following criteria is worth looking out for:
Round Course: 30-135 (+£22)
Beaten a neck to 5l last time: 19-100 (+£35); those that won last time offered poor value at 24-120 (-£21)

WILLIAM BUICK
2017: 4-24
2016: 2-26 
2015: 2-22
2014: 3-26
2013: 1-23

Best races: King Edward VII Stakes (3), Duke of Edinburgh Stakes (2)

William Buick recorded his second-best tally of four winners here 12 months ago, two of which came for Charlie Appleby at odds of 20/1 and 16/1. Buick’s record for John Gosdenreads better at 11-61 (+£28), though, while the biggest clue was found via those Buick rode last time out at 17-106 (+£47) – runners Buick didn’t ride prior to Ascot were 2-87 (-£69).

FRANKIE DETTORI
2017: N/A 
2016: 4-23 
2015: 3-20
2014: 2-21
2013: 0-20

Best races: Queen Anne Stakes (6); Ribblesdale Stakes (6); Ascot Gold Cup (5); Chesham Stakes (4); Sandringham Handicap (4); King Edward VII Stakes (4); Norfolk Stakes (3); Prince of Wales’s Stakes (3); Royal Hunt Cup (2); Queen’s Vase (2); Queen Mary Stakes (2); St James’s Palace Stakes (2)
You can’t discuss Ascot without mentioning Frankie Dettori, who is still riding to a very high standard and scooping the big races. Having missed last year’s meeting, Dettori will be keen to get back on the scoreboard, and should be noted when riding in all the major races – his record away from Listed/Group races is just 1-48.

He also rode a couple winners for Wesley Ward (2-6 +£12) and Richard Hannon (2-8 +£8), while those Dettori rode last time won here at 11-76 (+£31).

JAMIE SPENCER
2017: 2-18 
2016: 1-16
2015: 1-16
2014: 0-19
2013: 2-26

Best races: Albany Stakes (4); Britannia Stakes (3); Coventry Stakes (2); Sandringham Handicap (2)
The 2017 Royal Meeting once again demonstrated Jamie Spencer’s effectiveness on the famous Straight Course (9-98 +£23), partnering both Bless Him (25/1) and Con Te Partiro (20/1) to success – Spencer’s record on the Round Course is just 2-71 (-£65). One of the aforementioned winners also came for David Simcock (2-17 +£13), while Spencer also has a better record with the younger 2-3yo horses (9-90 +£20).

Just three winners behind Spencer on the leaderboard is James Doyle, whose record during the first two days of the meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday stands at 7-44 (+£42), compared to Thursday, Friday and Saturday (1-75 -£69).
Elsewhere, Adam Kirby followed up his 2016 treble here by riding the winner of the Queen Mary 12 months ago for Clive Cox, for whom he has a record of 5-29 (+£16).

Another jockey enjoying a good partnership here is Joe Fanning for Mark Johnston, with his most profitable distances being 1m4f+ (6-34 +£22), though Silvestre De Silva enjoyed less luck here at 3-106 (-£54).

Racecourse form: 

It is crucial to consider horses with form last time out at courses such as Ascot, Newmarket, Newbury, Epsom, York and the Curragh. Together those courses have provided 138 royal winners between them during the last 10 years, though the fact they returned a level stakes loss means a touch more digging is required.

Newmarket form
When considering a runner that ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time, make sure they are fancied at Ascot in the 10/1 or shorter bracket, as they delivered at 30-170 (+£24). 

Epsom form
With the Epsom Derby meeting staged just weeks prior to the Royal Meeting, it’s no surprise that 24 Ascot winners arrived via that route during the last 10 years. As with Newmarket runners, the biggest pointer came via the market, as plenty of Epsom runners were sent here with unrealistic chances, but concentrating purely on those at 16/1 or shorter returned 22-146 (+£42). 

Newbury form
It paid to keep things simple when studying a runner from Newbury last time, as those that ran in a handicap at Newbury delivered at Ascot to the tune of 8-68 (+£37). 

Curragh form
Runners crossing the Irish Sea and heading to Ascot from the Curragh supplied the second most winners at the meeting since 2008. As for those punters should look out for, then in-form performers that made the top two at the Curragh struck at 24-118 (+£63). 

The draw: 

The draw is always a major talking point across the five days, during which time the big-field events staged on the Straight Course cause punters headaches. It may therefore prove worthwhile looking at the stats from the last five years of this fixture to see if there were any trends – more so the ‘live’ clues which can develop as the week develops, as a race like the Royal Hunt Cup (1m) may influence what happens in the Britannia over the same trip.

Straight Course
High numbers featured more so last year when the fast ground returned, but overall there were a mixed bag of results. Possibly the best approach could be in siding with those very high or very low in big fields with 25+ runners, and ignoring those drawn in the centre. In fact, splitting the 25-runner+ fields from the last 10 years shows a clear bias towards those on either flank (low or high).

25-runner+ races 2008-2017
Lowest stalls: 12-271 (4% -£75) 
Centre stalls: 13-570 (2% -£280) 
Highest stalls: 15-263 (6% +£14)
Clearly, despite having the smallest number of qualifiers, the highest quarter of stalls (for instance, stalls 19-24 in a 24-runner race) provided the best strike-rate for a clear profit.

Round course (1m2f/1m4f) 
As for distances on the round course over 1m2f-1m4f, then double-figure stalls dominated, with runners fanning out down the middle in an attempt to avoid getting caught on the inside (low stalls). This became more pronounced in bigger fields, as can be seen:
16+ runner fields 
Stalls 1-9: 1 win
Stalls 10-22: 12 wins

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