2015 Breeders' Cup BRIS Speed & Class Report
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October 24th, 2015
Using BRIS Speed ratings on dirt and BRIS Class ratings on turf, brisnet.com has assembled a Speed/Class rating report for the 2015 Breeders’ Cup.
Top contenders in eight of the 13 Breeders’ Cup races (excluding 2-year-old events and the TwinSpires Turf Sprint) are listed below, with the numbers of the last five race winners included:
Classic
|
Winner |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Bayern (2014) |
|
106 (1st Haskell) |
|
80 (10th Travers) |
|
109 (1st Pa Derby) |
|
Mucho Macho Man |
|
100 (3rd Criminal Type) |
|
100 (3rd Whitney) |
|
113 (1st Awesome Again) |
|
Fort Larned |
|
106 (1st Cornhusker) |
|
109 (1st Whitney) |
|
111 (3rd Jockey Club GC) |
|
Drosselmeyer |
|
102 (2nd Brookyln) |
|
92 (7th Sword Dancer) |
|
109 (2nd Jockey Club GC) |
|
Blame |
|
102 (1st Stephen Foster) |
|
108 (1st Whitney) |
|
112 (2nd Jockey Club GC) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The last five Classic winners all earned a massive Speed rating in the final prep.
Top performers in 2015 Classic field (ranked in order by highest last-race Speed rating):
|
Horse |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Smooth Roller |
|
101 |
|
101 |
|
110 |
|
Tonalist |
|
110 |
|
108 |
|
109 |
|
Beholder |
|
102 |
|
112 |
|
107 |
|
Frosted |
|
100 |
|
98 |
|
105 |
|
Honor Code |
|
110 |
|
110 |
|
101 |
|
Keen Ice |
|
102 |
|
102 |
|
101 |
|
American Pharoah |
|
109 |
|
104 |
|
100 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Triple Crown winner American Pharoah ranks seventh based on last-out Speed rating, registering a 100 for a Travers runner-up effort that snapped an eight-race win streak, but the 109 Haskell Invitational Speed figure three starts back is on par with recent Classic winners.
Distaff
|
Winner |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Untapable (2014) |
|
101 (1st Mother Goose) |
|
96 (5th Haskell) |
|
96 (1st Cotillion) |
|
Beholder |
|
103 (2nd Ky Oaks) |
|
91 (1st Torrey Pines) |
|
103 (1st Zenyatta) |
|
Royal Delta |
|
106 (1st Del ‘Cap) |
|
106 (2nd Personal Ensign) |
|
105 (1st Beldame) |
|
Royal Delta |
|
93 (3rd CCA Oaks) |
|
104 (1st Alabama) |
|
95 (2nd Beldame) |
|
Unrivaled Belle |
|
101 (2nd Ogden Phipps) |
|
105 (2nd Ruffian) |
|
104 (2nd Beldame) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Two of the last five Distaff winners failed to meet the triple-digit threshold in the final prep, but all registered at least one century-topping BRIS Speed rating in the last three starts.
Top Performers in 2015 Distaff field:
|
Horse |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
My Sweet Addiction |
|
58 |
|
88 |
|
104 |
|
Got Lucky |
|
100 |
|
96 |
|
103 |
|
Untapable |
|
99 |
|
96 |
|
103 |
|
Yahilwa |
|
97 |
|
94 |
|
103 |
|
Stellar Wind |
|
96 |
|
93 |
|
100 |
|
Wedding Toast |
|
103 |
|
104 |
|
99 |
|
Frivolous |
|
103 |
|
100 |
|
98 |
|
Sheer Drama |
|
100 |
|
105 |
|
98 |
|
I’m a Chatterbox |
|
95 |
|
99 |
|
97 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Distaff shapes up as a highly competitive race, with little separating the nine fillies and mares listed above. Only three -- Wedding Toast, Frivolous and Sheer Drama -- have managed to post a triple-digit BRIS Speed twice in the last three outings.
TwinSpires Sprint
|
Winner |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Work All Week (2014) |
|
106 (1st Iowa Sprint) |
|
94 (2nd Addison Cammack) |
|
99 (1st Phoenix) |
|
Secret Circle |
|
97 (1st Rebel) |
|
95 (2nd Arkansas Derby) |
|
103 (1st allowance) |
|
Trinniberg |
|
103 (2nd Carry Back) |
|
95 (9th King’s Bishop) |
|
102 (2nd Gallant Bob) |
|
Amazombie |
|
99 (3rd Triple Bend) |
|
101 (3rd Bing Crosby) |
|
103 (1st Ancient Title) |
|
Big Drama |
|
109 (1st Smile Sprint) |
|
108 (2nd A.G. Vanderbilt) |
|
105 (2nd Forego) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Work All Week’s last two Speed ratings (94 & 96) were a departure from previous Sprint winners, who earned 100+ numbers in either one or both starts, but his 106 three starts previously proved to be an indicator as he posted a 19-1 upset.
Top Performers in 2015 TwinSpires Sprint field:
|
Horse |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Private Zone |
|
103 |
|
99 |
|
106 |
|
Favorite Tale |
|
106 |
|
101 |
|
104 |
|
Salutos Amigos |
|
99 |
|
100 |
|
104 |
|
Stallwalkin’ Dude |
|
98 |
|
100 |
|
104 |
|
Ivan Fallunovalot |
|
104 |
|
101 |
|
104 |
|
Big Macher |
|
91 |
|
NA (Dubai race) |
|
102 |
|
Kobe’s Back |
|
100 |
|
87 |
|
100 |
|
Wild Dude |
|
105 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
Runhappy |
|
99 |
|
111 |
|
96 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Runhappy possesses the top number in the field, a 111 for winning the King’s Bishop, despite ranking ninth after receiving a 96 for a facile tally in the Phoenix on a sloppy track. Three horses – Favorite Tale, Ivan Fallunovalot and Wild Dude – have registered triple-digit numbers in all three preps.
TwinSpires Filly & Mare Sprint
|
Winner |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Judy the Beauty (2014) |
|
100 (1st Madison) |
|
86 (4th Humana Distaff) |
|
97 (1st Rancho Bernardo) |
|
Groupie Doll |
|
95 (3rd Gardenia) |
|
99 (1st Presque Isle Masters) |
|
97 (3rd Thoroughbred Club of America) |
|
Groupie Doll |
|
109 (1st Humana Distaff) |
|
99 (1st Presque Isle Masters) |
|
105 (1st Thoroughbred Club of America) |
|
Musical Romance |
|
92 (3rd Connie Ann) |
|
95 (1st Presque Isle Masters) |
|
98 (2nd Thoroughbred Club of America) |
|
Dubai Majesty |
|
97 (1st Incredible Revenge) |
|
96 (2nd Presque Isle Masters) |
|
95 (1st Thoroughbred Club of America) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
From 15 races listed above, only three triple-digit Speed ratings were recorded. Recent winners have tended to earn numbers in the mid-to-high 90s in preps.
Top Performers in 2015 TwinSpires Filly & Mare Sprint field:
|
Horse |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Stonetastic |
|
71 |
|
96 |
|
109 |
|
Wavell Avenue |
|
90 |
|
95 |
|
101 |
|
Dame Dorothy |
|
101 |
|
85 |
|
99 |
|
Cavorting |
|
100 |
|
98 |
|
98 |
|
Kiss to Remember |
|
95 |
|
96 |
|
98 |
|
Room for Me |
|
99 |
|
94 |
|
97 |
|
Taris |
|
93 |
|
99 |
|
95 |
|
Super Majesty |
|
103 |
|
100 |
|
94 |
|
Fioretti |
|
92 |
|
93 |
|
92 |
|
Artemis Agrotera |
|
105 |
|
95 |
|
91 |
|
Judy the Beauty |
|
96 |
|
92 |
|
90 |
|
Merry Meadow |
|
63 |
|
104 |
|
85 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A very contentious field is assembled. Stonetastic exits a 15-length allowance romp at Parx, registering a whopping 109 Speed rating that appears suspect compared to previous numbers.
Dirt Mile
|
Winner |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Goldencents (2014) |
|
99 (2nd Bing Crosby) |
|
105 (1st Pat O’Brien) |
|
104 (2nd SA Sprint Championship) |
|
Goldencents |
|
98 (2nd Bing Crosby) |
|
102 (2nd Pat O’Brien) |
|
107 (2nd SA Sprint Championship) |
|
Tapizar |
|
101 (2nd Razorback) |
|
111 (WV Governor’s) |
|
80 (6th Kelso) |
|
Caleb’s Posse |
|
108 (1st Amsterdam) |
|
111 (1st King’s Bishop) |
|
99 (3rd Indiana Derby) |
|
Dakota Phone |
|
101 (1st San Diego) |
|
92 (3rd Pacific Classic) |
|
102 (3rd Goodwood) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The last five winners earned a Speed rating of 100 or better in two of their last three preps.
Top Performers in 2015 Dirt Mile field:
|
Horse |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Liam’s Map |
|
104 |
|
109 |
|
106 |
|
Appealing Tale |
|
103 |
|
101 |
|
105 |
|
Wicked Strong |
|
103 |
|
99 |
|
104 |
|
Red Vine |
|
106 |
|
102 |
|
103 |
|
Valid |
|
97 |
|
102 |
|
99 |
|
Bradester |
|
108 |
|
101 |
|
98 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liam’s Map exits a pair of strong performances in the Whitney and Woodward at Saratoga, and looms as a possible odds-on favorite, but Appealing Tale, Wicked Strong and Red Vine bring comparable last-out numbers to the mix.
Class Ratings
Turf
|
Winner |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Main Sequence (2014) |
|
120.9 (1st United Nations) |
|
120.6 (1st Sword Dancer) |
|
122.2 (Joe Hirsch Turf Classic) |
|
Magician |
|
121.2 (1st Dee Stakes) |
|
124.9 (1st Irish 2000 Guineas) |
|
117.1 (9th St. James’s Palace) |
|
Little Mike |
|
119.7 (3rd Shoemaker Mile) |
|
121.9 (1st Arlington Million) |
|
115.4 (5th Joe Hirsch Turf Classic) |
|
St Nicholas Abbey |
|
123.7 (3rd King George VI & Queen Elizabeth) |
|
121.5 (3rd Prix Foy) |
|
124.5 (5th Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe) |
|
Dangerous Midge |
|
125.6 (Handicap) |
|
120.9 (Handicap) |
|
122.6 (1st Arc Trial) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A couple of winners failed to register a 120+ Class rating in the last prep, but Magician (124.9) and Little Mike (121.9) distinguished themselves two starts previously.
Top Turf Performers in 2015 Turf field:
|
Horse |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Golden Horn |
|
124.2 |
|
124.8 |
|
126.7 |
|
Found |
|
124 |
|
123.1 |
|
124.2 |
|
Big Blue Kitten |
|
121.8 |
|
122.7 |
|
123.2 |
|
Slumber |
|
120.8 |
|
118.8 |
|
122.5 |
|
The Pizza Man |
|
120.4 |
|
122.9 |
|
122.4 |
|
Twilight Eclipse |
|
120.7 |
|
121.6 |
|
122.4 |
|
Big John B |
|
119.3 |
|
121 |
|
120.5 |
|
Red Rifle |
|
121.1 |
|
123.1 |
|
119.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
It’s the Euros race to lose. Arc winner Golden Horn towers over rivals and the Irish-based sophomore filly Found received a 124.2 Class rating for her English Champions S. second last time, which is at least a full point better than the numbers Big Blue Kitten recorded winning the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic and United Nations and finishing a neck second in the Arlington Million.
Mile
|
Winner |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Karakontie (2014) |
|
121 (1st French 2000 Guineas) |
|
119.8 (8th French Derby) |
|
119 (11th Prix de la Foret) |
|
Wise Dan |
|
121.9 (1st Fourstardave) |
|
122.9 (1st Woodbine Mile) |
|
121.5 (2nd Shadwell Turf Mile) |
|
Wise Dan |
|
123.8 (1st Fourstardave) |
|
124.4 (1st Woodbine Mile) |
|
122.8 (1st Shadwell Turf Mile) |
|
Court Vision |
|
118.1 (9th Woodford Turf Classic) |
|
118.2 (4th Colonial Turf Cup |
|
119.1 (7th Woodbine Mile) |
|
Goldikova |
|
125.7 (1st Prix Rothschild) |
|
124.8 (2nd Prix Jacques Le Marois) |
|
125.6 (1st Prix de la Foret) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Karakontie posted a 30-1 upset last year but had excuses in his two previous outings, with the 1 5/16-mile French Derby being too long a distance and an e`xtremely troubled trip in the Prix de la Foret. His 121 three starts previously proved to be more telling.
Top Performers in 2015 Mile field:
|
Horse |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Make Believe |
|
123.6 |
|
115.6 |
|
124.1 |
|
Esoterique |
|
122.2 |
|
123.8 |
|
122.7 |
|
Tepin |
|
120.7 |
|
119.9 |
|
122.6 |
|
Grand Arch |
|
118.8 |
|
121.2 |
|
122.5 |
|
Tourist |
|
118.8 |
|
121.5 |
|
122.1 |
|
Time Test |
|
122.1 |
|
121.6 |
|
121.7 |
|
Impassable |
|
118.2 |
|
120.7 |
|
121.6 |
|
Mondialiste |
|
123.3 |
|
123.2 |
|
121.3 |
|
Lea |
|
123.8 |
|
120.4 |
|
120.8 |
|
Mshawish |
|
119.9 |
|
N/A (Dubai race) |
|
120.3 |
|
Obviously |
|
119.2 |
|
121.4 |
|
120.1 |
|
Karakontie |
|
123.1 |
|
120.2 |
|
119.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trainer Andre Fabre has a strong one-two punch with the 3-year-old colt Make Believe, who registered an outstanding 124.1 Class rating for his Prix de la Foret victory last-out; and the 5-year-old mare Esoterique, who received a big number (123.8) for a Group 1 tally two starts back. There is plenty of parity among the rest.
Filly & Mare Turf
|
Winner |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Dayatthespa (2014) |
|
119.5 (2nd De La Rose) |
|
118.9 (1st Yaddo) |
|
120.8 (1st First Lady) |
|
Dank |
|
122.5 (3rd Duke of Cambridge) |
|
122.3 (1st Kilboy Estate) |
|
123.1 (1st Beverly D) |
|
Zagora |
|
120.5 (3rd Diana) |
|
121 (1st Ballston Spa) |
|
121.8 (2nd Flower Bowl) |
|
Perfect Shirl |
|
119.2 (3rd Matchmaker) |
|
117.4 (3rd Belle Mahone) |
|
119.2 (2nd Canadian) |
|
Shared Account |
|
119.4 (1st All Along) |
|
120.1 (2nd Diana) |
|
119.1 (5th Flower Bowl) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Filly & Mare Turf has featured its share of upsets, with lower Class ratings proving no impediment for Shared Account (46-1) and Perfect Shirl (27-1), but Dank became the first winning favorite in seven years when scoring in 2013 and Dayathtespa and Zagora brought improving numbers into the race.
Top Performers in 2015 Filly & Mare Turf field:
|
Horse |
|
3 Starts Back |
|
2 Starts Back |
|
Last Race |
|
Legatissimo |
|
123.1 |
|
122.9 |
|
124.6 |
|
Stephanie’s Kitten |
|
119 |
|
120.5 |
|
122.8 |
|
Secret Gesture |
|
122.7 |
|
121 |
|
121.6 |
|
Irish Rookie |
|
122 |
|
118 |
|
121.2 |
|
Miss France |
|
121.8 |
|
120.2 |
|
121.1 |
|
Bawina |
|
120.9 |
|
122.8 |
|
120 |
|
Queen’s Jewel |
|
123.9 |
|
118.1 |
|
120 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A star in England and France, Legatissimo registered a 124.6 Class rating last time that stands out among competitors.
Brisnet.com has the Breeders' Cup PPs files available for all 13 races -- 4 on Breeders' Cup Friday (30th) and 9 on Breeders' Cup Saturday (31).
And check out the TwinSpires Breeders’ Cup News & Notes blog for all the news, features & photos in one place!
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