2023 Kentucky Oaks odds, predictions, contenders, horses

May 5th, 2023

The Kentucky Oaks morning line odds present a perceived value of how the public will place wagers on the horses in the field. As the parimutuel pools open and betting commences, the odds can change as the public influences how the communal pool increases and which horses are attracting the most or least wagering interest in investment.

149th Kentucky Oaks

Track
Churchill Downs
Race
11
Time
May 05 2023
#
Horse Info
Horse Name
Jockey
Trainer
Odds
1
Mimi Kakushi
Barzalona, Mickael
Bin Ghadayer, Salem
33/1
2
The Alys Look
Castellano, Javier
Cox, Brad H
30/1
3
Gambling Girl
Ortiz; Jr, Irad
Pletcher, Todd A
13/1
4
Southlawn
Gutierrez, Reylu
Casse, Norm W
5/1
5
Wonder Wheel
Rosario, Joel
Casse, Mark E
10/1
6
Botanical
Landeros, Chris
Cox, Brad H
6/1
7
Wet Paint
Prat, Flavien
Cox, Brad H
8/5
8
Promiseher America
Vargas; Jr, Jorge A
Handal, Raymond
34/1
9
And Tell Me Nolies
Vazquez, Ramon A
Miller, Peter
45/1
10
Flying Connection
Geroux, Florent
Fincher, Todd W
17/1
11
Defining Purpose
Hernandez; Jr, Brian J
Mcpeek, Kenneth G
10/1
12
Dorth Vader
Saez, Luis
Yates, Michael
29/1
13
Affirmative Lady
Velazquez, John R
Motion, H G
22/1
14
Pretty Mischievous
Gaffalione, Tyler
Walsh, Brendan P
10/1
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2023 Kentucky Oaks Morning Line Odds

Post Horse Jockey M/L ODDS
1 Mimi Kakushi Mickael Barzalona 20-1
2 The Alys Look Javier Castellano 15-1
3 Gambling Girl Irad Ortiz Jr. 15-1
4 Southlawn Reylu Gutierrez 8-1
5 Wonder Wheel Joel Rosario 12-1
6 Botanical Chris Landeros 4-1
7 Wet Paint Flavien Prat 5-2
8 Promiseher America Jorge Vargas Jr. 30-2
9 And Tell Me Nolies Ramon Vazquez 15-1
10 Flying Connection Florent Geroux 15-1
11 Defining Purpose Brian Hernandez Jr. 12-2
12 Dorth Vader Luis Saez 20-1
13 Affirmative Lady John Velazquez 10-1
14 Pretty Mischievous Tyler Gaffalione 10-1
AE-15 Taxed Rafael Bejarano 20-1
AE-16 Julia Shining Luis Saez 15-1
AE-17 Hoosier Philly Edgar Morales 30-1

Kentucky Oaks 2023 Expert Predictions and Analysis

Who are the industry insiders who have won previous scores in the Kentucky Oaks picking? Maybe even find some celebrity picks to play along with below!

Betting Experts: How to bet with and against the Kentucky Oaks favorite, Wet Paint

Wet Paint – With

  • $1 superfecta: 7 with 4,6 with 1,3,4,5,6 with all ($88)

KY Oaks 149 With Wet Paint

Race 11

BET PER
$1.00
BET TYPE
SU
7
4
6
1
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

BET TOTAL

$88.00

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Wet Paint – Against

  • $2 trifecta: 4,6 with 1,3,4,5,6,7 with 1,3,4,5,6,7 ($80)

KY Oaks 149 Against Wet Paint

Race 11

BET PER
$2.00
BET TYPE
TRI
4
6
1
3
4
5
6
7
1
3
4
5
6
7

BET TOTAL

$80.00

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How to bet the Kentucky Oaks on different budgets:

$20 budget

  • $5 Exacta: 6,7 with 4,6,7 ($20)

Keeler's Kentucky Oaks Exacta

Race 11

BET PER
$5.00
BET TYPE
EX
6
7
4
6
7

BET TOTAL

$20.00

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$60 budget

  • $8 Exacta: 6,7 with 4,6,7 ($32)
  • $4 Trifecta: 6,7 with 4,6,7 with 4,6,7 ($16)
  • $1.50 Trifecta: 6,7 with 4,6,7 with 11,14 ($12)

Keeler's Kentucky Oaks Trifecta

Race 11

BET PER
$4.00
BET TYPE
TRI
6
7
4
6
7
4
6
7

BET TOTAL

$16.00

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$100 budget

  • $11 Exacta: 6,7 with 4,6,7 ($44)
  • $6 Trifecta: 6,7 with 4,6,7 with 4,6,7 ($24)
  • $2 Trifecta: 6,7 with 4,6,7 with 11,14 ($16)
  • $1 Superfecta: 6,7 with 4,6,7 with 4,6,7 with 11,14 ($8)
  • $1 Superfecta: 6,7 with 4,6,7 with 11,14 with 4,6,7 ($8)

Keeler's Kentucky Oaks Superfecta

Race 11

BET PER
$1.00
BET TYPE
SU
6
7
4
6
7
4
6
7
11
14

BET TOTAL

$8.00

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Who is the best longshot to bet, according to experts?

The well-matched cast is led by two Brad Cox trainees, #7 Wet Paint (5-2) and #6 Botanical (4-1), who will be formidable foes if they put forth their respective best efforts in the 1 1/8-mile affair. I admittedly like the duo quite a bit in the feature, and I also have a positive view on third-choice #4 Southlawn (8-1).

But for those looking for a horse at double-digit odds that seems capable of taking down this field, it has to be champion #5 Wonder Wheel (12-1) for conditioner Mark Casse.

Read more of this analysis here.

2023 Kentucky Oaks Day

#
Race Info
Time
R1
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
3yo+ | F&M | 1 1/16 Miles | D
R2
$100K STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
3yo | Fillies | 6 1/2 Furlongs | D
R3
$80K STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
3yo+ | | 1 Mile | T
R4
$80K STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
3yo+ | F&M | 1 Mile | D
R5
STAKES G2
4yo+ | | 1 1/16 Miles | D
R6
STAKES
4yo+ | F&M | 1 1/8 Miles | T
R7
STAKES G2
3yo | Fillies | 7 Furlongs | D
R8
STAKES
3yo+ | F&M | 5 1/2 Furlongs | T
R9
STAKES G1
4yo+ | F&M | 1 1/16 Miles | D
R10
STAKES G2
3yo | Fillies | 1 1/16 Miles | T
R11
STAKES G1
3yo | Fillies | 1 1/8 Miles | D
R12
$100K STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
3yo | Fillies | 1 1/16 Miles | D
R13
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
3yo+ | F&M | 7 Furlongs | D
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