Dec. 19 spot plays for Fair Grounds and Turfway Park

December 18th, 2020

Updated: September 12th, 2023

Picks and plays on a $60 budget for the Saturday cards at Fair Grounds and Turfway Park, highlighted by enticing renewals of the $75,000 Sugar Bowl S. and the $75,000 Tenacious S.

Fair Grounds

Race 6: Sugar Bowl S. (6 furlongs on dirt, 3:27 p.m. ET)

With Brisnet Speed ratings of 92 and 95, #2 Quick Tempo (5-2) is the fastest horse on paper in this field. The speedy frontrunner most recently battled to a runner-up effort in the 6 1/2-furlong Nyquist S. at Keeneland, a race in which he lived up to his name and posted fast fractions of :21.73 and :44.65.

But victory isnโ€™t a certainty for Quick Tempo โ€” not with #5 Gagetown (3-1) in the mix. A half-brother to Grade 1 winner Include Betty, Gagetown showed talent in his debut at Churchill Downs last month, where he rallied to win a 6-furlong sprint by two lengths. Trainer Brad Cox strikes at a 26% rate with second-time starters, so donโ€™t be surprised if Gagetown takes a step forward in the Sugar Bowl.

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Letโ€™s take a shot betting Gagetown on top in the exacta and trifecta.

$5 exacta: 5 with 2,6 ($10)
$5 trifecta: 5 with 2,6 with 2,6 ($10)
Total: $20

Race 7: Tenacious S. (1 1/16 miles on dirt, 6:50 p.m. ET)

#6 Maxfield (8-5) might be a delicate colt, but he is an elite racehorse, with three victories from as many starts. Victorious against quality competition in the Breedersโ€™ Futurity (G1) and Matt Winn (G3), Maxfield has been training sharply for his return from a 7-month layoff and should fire a big shot for trainer Brendan Walsh.

The only concern is that Maxfield is a deep closer in a race with very little pace on paper. A slow early tempo could lend an advantage to the improving #5 Sonneman (3-1), who romped by 5 3/4 lengths in a 1 1/16-mile allowance at Churchill Downs last month. The Steve Asmussen trainee isnโ€™t quite as fast as the favorite, in terms of Brisnet Speed ratings, but one more step forward โ€” coupled with a favorable trip near the front end โ€” could help Sonneman spring an upset.

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Letโ€™s box Maxfield and Sonneman in the exacta and favor the lower-paying combination, with Maxfield on top.

$12 exacta: 6 with 5
$8 exacta: 5 with 6
Total: $20

Turfway Park

Race 7: Allowance/optional claiming (6 1/2 furlongs on Tapeta, 9:14 p.m. ET)

Turfwayโ€™s leading trainer, Wesley Ward, will saddle #2 Four Wheel Drive (5-2), the most accomplished runner in the field by virtue of frontrunning triumph in the 2019 Breedersโ€™ Cup Turf Sprint (G2).

But the son of American Pharoah has only run once since, when he finished seventh in a May 17 allowance sprint at Churchill Downs.

Can Four Wheel Drive rebound off a layoff, without blinkers and a transition to Tapeta?

If Four Wheel Drive falters, look for #9 Kingly (3-1) to steal the show. The winner of the 2019 La Holla H. (G3) on grass, Kingly hasnโ€™t missed the trifecta in four starts on Tapeta, where he recently finished second in a 7-furlong allowance at Woodbine. The winner, Ride a Comet, came right back to score victory in the Kennedy Road (G2).

Letโ€™s bet Kingly to win, then box him in the exacta with Four Wheel Drive.

$12 to win on #9 Kingly
$2 exacta: 9 with 2
$6 exacta: 2 with 9
Total: $20

Good luck!

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