Fierceness holds steady at 8-1; 'All Others' 2-1 in KDFW Pool 3

January 22nd, 2024

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) winner Fierceness retained his position as the individual favorite for the 2024 Kentucky Derby (G1), again closing as an 8-1 chance upon the conclusion of Pool 3 of the Future Wager on Sunday evening. 

As usual at this stage, the mutuel field of “All Other Three-Year-Olds” was the most popular option overall at 2-1. But support wasn’t as overwhelming as in the first two pools of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager (KDFW). The 4-5 favorite in Pool 1 prior to the Breeders’ Cup, the field stood at 6-5 by the end of Pool 2 over Thanksgiving weekend. 

Fierceness first vaulted into individual favoritism in Pool 2 at 8-1, also his morning line for Pool 3. Sure to be named champion two-year-old male at the Eclipse Awards gala on Thursday, the Todd Pletcher trainee is pointing to the Feb. 3 Holy Bull (G3) at Gulfstream Park

The Chad Brown-trained Sierra Leone finished as the second choice among individual interests at 13-1. The strong runner-up in the Remsen (G2), a 36-1 shot in Pool 2, was bet down from his Pool 3 morning line of 30-1.

Next came Remsen hero Dornoch, who ended the weekend trading at 15-1. A full brother to 2023 Derby hero Mage, Dornoch attracted consistent support at 19-1 in Pools 1 and 2.

Locked, third to stablemate Fierceness in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, inched upward to 18-1. The 14-1 individual favorite in Pool 1, the Breeders’ Futurity (G1) winner remained at 14-1 when ranking as the second choice in Pool 2. 

Matching that 18-1 price were two newcomers to Pool 3, Conquest Warrior and Track Phantom, whose odds tumbled from their respective morning lines. Conquest Warrior (originally 40-1) turned heads by overcoming repeated trouble to break his maiden at Gulfstream, and Track Phantom (opening at 60-1) advertised himself with a front-running victory in Saturday’s Lecomte (G3).  

Others gaining traction were Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) victor Honor Marie (into 25-1 from 30-1), Churchill Downs debut romper Knightsbridge (into 26-1 from 50-1), and Smarty Jones S. scorer Catching Freedom (into 28-1 from 40-1).

Drum Roll Please was removed from the wagering Friday, when news came that he was sidelined by injury. 

Here are the final odds from Pool 3:

#1 Amante Bianco104-1Add to Stable
#2 Ari’s Magic74-1Add to Stable
#3 Book’em Danno67-1Add to Stable
#4 Born Noble41-1Add to Stable
#5 Carbone36-1Add to Stable
#6 Cardinale152-1Add to Stable
#7 Catching Freedom28-1Add to Stable
#8 Change of Command83-1Add to Stable
#9 Conquest Warrior18-1Add to Stable
#10 Deterministic107-1Add to Stable
#11 Dornoch15-1Add to Stable
#12 Drum Roll PleaseSCRAdd to Stable
#13 El Capi33-1Add to Stable
#14 Ethan Energy83-1Add to Stable
#15 Fierceness8-1Add to Stable
#16 Forever Young34-1Add to Stable
#17 Honor Marie25-1Add to Stable
#18 Imperial Gun80-1Add to Stable
#19 Just Steel107-1Add to Stable
#20 Knightsbridge26-1Add to Stable
#21 Lat Long222-1Add to Stable
#22 Liberal Arts72-1Add to Stable
#23 Locked18-1Add to Stable
#24 Merit129-1Add to Stable
#25 Nash35-1Add to Stable
#26 Otello59-1Add to Stable
#27 Otto the Conqueror91-1Add to Stable
#28 Parchment Party51-1Add to Stable
#29 Real Men Violin123-1Add to Stable
#30 Resilience93-1Add to Stable
#31 Sierra Leone13-1Add to Stable
#32 Snead69-1Add to Stable
#33 Stretch Ride95-1Add to Stable
#34 Stronghold204-1Add to Stable
#35 The Wine Steward77-1Add to Stable
#36 Timberlake30-1Add to Stable
#37 Time for Truth93-1Add to Stable
#38 Track Phantom18-1Add to Stable
#39 Tuscan Sky88-1Add to Stable
#40 “All Others”2-1

Churchill Downs reported that a total of $334,472 was wagered during Pool 3 ($254,977 in the win pool and $79,495 in exactas). That figure was up 7% from last year’s corresponding pool, which handled $312,906 ($244,700 in the win pool and $68,207 in exactas).

Complete details, including exacta will-pays, will be available on the Future Wager page on

Three opportunities remain to bet in the 2024 Kentucky Derby Future Wager. Pool 4 is scheduled for Feb. 16-18, Pool 5 runs alongside the lone Kentucky Oaks Future Wager March 15-17, and the final Pool 6 will be held April 4-6, one month before the May 4 Derby.