Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Sept. 13

September 13th, 2022

Updated: September 12th, 2023

Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Tuesday, Sept. 13 at Presque Isle Downs, Horseshoe Indianapolis, and Fort Erie, including a trifecta capitalizing on the Trifecta Tuesday promotion.

Todayโ€™s special offers from TwinSpires include:

  • Trifecta Tuesday: Receive a 15% bonus on trifecta winnings (excluding stake amount; up to $25 per day) on every Tuesday from Aug. 2 through Oct. 4.

Picks and Plays

Presque Isle Downs: Race 4: Maiden Special Weight (six furlongs on Tapeta, 2:51 p.m. ET)

#2 Schiffhauer Strong (8-5) has run strongly in his first two starts sprinting over this track and class level. He finished second by a head in his debut dashing five furlongs, earning a 71 Brisnet Speed rating. Then he improved to a 78 Brisnet Speed rating when second in a 5 1/2-furlong event.

Trainer Michael LeCesse has been hot at Presque Isle this year, winning at a 22% rate, and jockey Walber Alencar has gone 2-for-8 (25%) teaming up with LeCesse over the last two months. Weโ€™ll count on Schiffhauer Strong to lead the way home over #4 Movisitor (9-2), #6 Falk (3-1), and #7 Gotta Go Gator (8-1).

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Weโ€™ll split our plays between the exacta and trifecta, playing the latter ticket to take advantage of the Trifecta Tuesday promotion.

  • $15 Exacta: 2 with 4
  • $7.50 Trifecta: 2 with 4 with 6,7 ($15)
    Total: $30

Horseshoe Indianapolis: Race 4: Maiden Special Weight (one mile, 4:03 p.m. ET)

#4 Rabbit Hound (3-1) ran okay in his debut racing one mile at Ellis Park, finishing third by five lengths with a respectable 70 Brisnet Speed rating.

Hot trainer Brad Cox (a 21% winner at Horseshoe Indianapolis this year) strikes at a 27% rate with second-time starters. Even better, Rabbit Hound is set to race with Lasix for the first time, a 37% winning move for Cox. Throw in Horseshoe Indianapolis' leading jockey Marcelino Pedroza, and Rabbit Hound looks ready to lead the way home over #7 Paddock Boss (7-2), stablemate #2 Qualified (5-1), and #3 Accidental Hero (4-1).

  • $15 to win on #4 Rabbit Hound
  • $5 Exacta: 4 with 2,3,7 ($15)
    Total: $30

Fort Erie: Race 10: Prince of Wales S. (1 3/16 miles, 5:35 p.m. ET)

#2 Ironstone (8-5) ran strongly in the Queenโ€™s Plate S. racing 1 1/4 miles over the Woodbine Tapeta track last month, tracking the early pace and taking command after six furlongs before weakening down the homestretch to finish fourth.

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There isnโ€™t much pace on paper in the Prince of Wales field, so Ironstoneโ€”with his abundant tactical speedโ€”figures to enjoy a favorable trip under hot jockey Kazushi Kimura, a 20% winner this year. Weโ€™ll bet on Ironstone to edge Queenโ€™s Plate third-place finisher #5 Sir for Sure (7-5) in the second leg of the Canadian Triple Crown.

  • $20 Exacta: 2 with 5

Good luck!

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