Player Quick Pick for Woodbine, September 7, 2014

by Ryan Dickey

Woodbine 8 | 4:35 pm ET

Swynford Stakes for 2 yo going 7 f (A)

A little different approach today, as we tackle a six-horse field stakes race for two year olds.  Conquest Stables, LLC will be looking to add black type to their charges here, as they have entered both 1-Conquest Typhoon and 3-Conquest Boogaloo in the $125 Swynford on the All-Weather polytrack at Woodbine, going 7 furlongs.  The favorite is Conquest Typhoon at 2-1 on the morning line, as this colt who loves throwing bullet or near-bullet works is looking to break his maiden today.  He may be over-bet here, but I can't see any of the other four non-Conquest Stable horses being a better option.  Conquest Boogaloo would be the favorite if his stablemate weren't entered here as well.  He will be at higher post-time odds, and has more value than the horse on the rail.  The way I see it is a Conquest/Conquest exacta, and that's the play today: BOX the two Conquest horses in this stakes race (with a small backup trifecta bet of 1,3 over 2,4,5,6 over 1,3) and call it a day.

WAGERING STRATEGY FOR $20 PLAYERS:

$6 Exacta Box 1,3 ($12)

$1 Trifecta 1,3 over 2,4,5,6 over 1,3 ($8--total $20)

WAGERING STRATEGY FOR $50 PLAYERS:

$15 Exacta Box 1,3 ($30)

$4 WIN 3 ($4)

$2 Trifecta 1,3 over 2,4,5,6 over 1,3 ($16--total $20)