Ellis Park: How to bet the $4,336 Super High 5 carryover

In addition to a trio of stakes, the Saturday card at Ellis Park features a $4,336 carryover in the $1 Super High 5.

Ellis Park, Race 1: $4,336 Super High 5 carryover (12:50 p.m. ET)

• $1 Super High 5: 2 with 3,4,6 with 3,4,5,6 with 3,4,5,6,7 ($27)
• $1 Super High 5: 3 with 2 with 4,6 with 4,5,6 with 4,5,6,7 ($8)
  Total: $35

The prize pool is up for grabs right off the bat in Race 1, a $30,000 starter allowance for three-year-olds and older horses dashing six furlongs on dirt.

#2 Incursion (2-1) is a logical favorite among nine entrants. He’s 2-for-2 on dirt this year. First he employed pace-pressing tactics to dominate a 5 1/2-furlong $30,000 maiden claimer at Churchill Downs by five lengths. Then in a six-furlong $50,000 starter allowance over the same track, Incursion rallied from near the back of the pack to win by two lengths.

Those efforts yielded improving Brisnet Speed ratings of 88 and 92. Trainer Mike Maker wins at a 50% rate with horses dropping in class off a victory, so Incursion has a strong chance to record a third straight triumph on Saturday.

If any horse can upset Incursion, it might be #3 Will Be (7-2). He wasn’t in great form last year, and he failed to factor in his first start of 2025. But then he dropped in class for a $20,000 claimer sprinting six furlongs at Churchill Downs, and after dueling through an intense opening quarter-mile in :21.04, he edged away through half a mile in :43.93 and powered clear to win easily by 11 1/4 lengths in 1:08.56.

That blowout win earned a 97 Brisnet Speed rating. None of the other horses entered in Race 1 have earned a Brisnet Speed rating higher than 92, so if Will Be repeats his last performance, there’s a chance he’ll win decisively under red-hot jockey Tyler Gaffalione.

Other viable candidates to finish in the top five include #6 Dancin for Gold (9-2) and #4 Good Lord (5-1), who ran 1-2 in a $50,000 claimer on June 27 at Churchill Downs; #5 Beezer (12-1), the decisive winner of a $16,000 claimer at Ellis last month; and #7 Overstatement (10-1), winner of a $50,000 claimer at Churchill Downs last fall.

Good luck!