Wednesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Exacta with Senza Parole

Senza Parole was sensational in her career debut at Saratoga (Photo by Coglianese Photos)
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Wednesday, Sept. 2 at Horseshoe Indianapolis and Saratoga, along with horses to play in the $1,219 Super High 5 carryover at Mountaineer.
Today’s special offers from TwinSpires include:
- New Players $200 Sign-Up Bonus: Open your TwinSpires.com account using the offer code BET200 to start earning a $200 bonus.
- $2,000 Exacta Hit It and Split It at Horseshoe Indianapolis: Opt in and hit two exactas at Horseshoe Indianapolis for a chance to split a $2,000 prize pool each racing Wednesday in August and September.
- 15% Odds Boost at Saratoga: Opt in to receive a 15% odds boost (up to $25 per day) on your winning single-horse win wagers at Saratoga each racing Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday until Sept. 4.
Today’s TwinSpires tournaments include:
- $82 Saratoga Bet and Set Feeder to 9/7 Mint Millions Cash Challenge
- $40 Saratoga Challenge
- $150 Saratoga Challenge
- $120 Saratoga Bonus Feeder to 9/3 King of the Turf Qualifier
- $40 Mountaineer Challenge
- $60 Mountaineer Feeder to 9/6 Kentucky Downs Bonus Feeder
Best Bets and Quick Picks
Horseshoe Indianapolis: Race 1: Maiden Special Weight (one mile on dirt, 2:10 p.m. ET)
#5 Channelurambition (7-2) has shown early speed in his first three starts sprinting five furlongs at this track and class level. He’s bred to relish stretching out over one mile, so encountering a slower pace in his two-turn debut could set the stage for a big step forward.
Let’s try a win bet on Channelurambition, then single him to start a small daily double.
Selections
- #5 Channelurambition (7-2)
- #7 Chief of Change (9-2)
- #8 Tricked You (5-2)
Wagers
- $20 to win on #5 Channelurambition
- $5 Double: 5 with 3
Total: $25
Horseshoe Indianapolis: Race 2: Allowance (one mile on dirt, 2:41 p.m. ET)
After placing in a couple of maiden special weight sprints at Churchill Downs, #3 Fashion Designer (5-2) relished stretching out over one mile and 70 yards in a Horseshoe Indianapolis maiden special weight. She led all the way to dominate by 10 3/4 lengths with an 80 Brisnet Speed rating.
None of the other Race 2 entrants have earned a Brisnet Speed rating as high as 80 this year, so Fashion Designer has a strong chance to record another victory for hot trainer Brad Cox, who strikes at a 28% rate with last-out maiden winners.
We’ll single Fashion Designer to conclude our daily double, then bet her to win.
Selections
- #3 Fashion Designer (5-2)
- #7 No Time Left (6-1)
- #6 Bamtwentyklater (6-1)
Wagers
- $35 to win on #3 Fashion Designer
Saratoga: Race 4: $110,000 Allowance Optional Claiming (six furlongs on dirt, 2:56 p.m. ET)
#3 Senza Parole (6-5) hasn’t missed the trifecta in four starts at Saratoga. Last time out, she finished second by half a length in a seven-furlong sprint at this class level, earning a career-best 100 Brisnet Speed rating.
Senza Parole appears well-spotted to snag a win for the hot jockey/trainer duo of Flavien Prat and Chad Brown. #6 Strong State (7-2), recently victorious in an $80,000 allowance optional claimer at Saratoga, can rally to complete the exacta.
Selections
- #3 Senza Parole (6-5)
- #6 Strong State (7-2)
- #5 My Magic Wand (6-1)
Wagers
- $20 Exacta: 3 with 6
Carryover Watch
Mountaineer: Race 8: $1,219 Super High 5 carryover (9:55 p.m. ET)
If you can select the top five finishers, in order, in Wednesday’s final race at Mountaineer, you can win a share of a $1,219 Super High 5 carryover.
Assembling a winning ticket is easier said than done, and we recommend waiting until scratches are announced to plan your tickets in detail. A dozen horses have entered Race 8, but two are on the also-eligible list, and that includes co-favorite #12 Giuliana’s Dream (2-1).
Race 8 is a $3,200 claimer for fillies and mares dashing 5 1/2 furlongs on dirt. The conditions appear suitable for Giuliana’s Dream. Last fall, she dominated a six-furlong maiden special weight and a 5 1/2-furlong $5,000 claimer at Finger Lakes, leading by daylight throughout both races. Her maiden win came by seven lengths with a 78 Brisnet Speed rating; her second victory produced an identical Brisnet Speed rating and a four-length margin of victory.
Giuliana’s Dream misfired in her first start of 2026, but she bounced back in a 4 1/2-furlong $5,000 claimer at Charles Town last month, leading all the way to win by six lengths with a 74 Brisnet Speed rating. If she draws in off the also-eligible list, we recommend keying Giuliana’s Dream on top in the Super High 5. But she’ll need two scratches in order to compete, and that’s not a given.
The other co-favorite—the one already in the main body of the field—is #7 I’m On Edge (2-1). She’s dropping down in class after finishing a solid second in a six-furlong $7,500 claimer at Mountaineer, in which she dueled for the lead before weakening late.
I’m On Edge isn’t quite as fast on paper as Giuliana’s Dream; her best Brisnet Speed rating is a 74, earned when wiring a $5,000 claimer dashing 5 1/2 furlongs at Thistledown in July. But a top-three finish appears well within reach, and if Giuliana’s Dream is kept out of the field, I’m On Edge is a logical filly to play on top.
#9 Scream Machine (4-1) is another runner to respect. She hasn’t missed the trifecta in her last five starts at Mountaineer, and last time out she posted a 78 Brisnet Speed rating when finishing third in a 4 1/2-furlong $4,000 claimer.
Good luck!
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