Assiniboia Downs Pick 4 for Tuesday, June 14

June 14th, 2022

Tuesday night racing at Assiniboia Downs features a seven-race card, with a Pick 4 beginning in Race 4, at 10:05 p.m. ET.

Below we analyze Races 4 through 7 and provide a $36 Pick 4 ticket to play at the Winnipeg track.

Race 4: 5 1/2 furlongs, for three-year-olds and up

#7 Big Tony (2-1) opened as the morning line favorite after romping to a six-length victory last out at Assiniboia Downs May 31 in his first start for trainer Elton Dickey, an 11% winner to start the meet. The four-year-old gelding moves up in class and will stick with rider Chavion Chow, who has gone 17-3-3-1 this meet.

We’ll play Big Tony with #4 Flat Out Love (6-1), who makes a drop in class for Jerry Gourneau, an 18% winner with horses coming off layoffs of 46-90 days, plus #6 Pucker (5-1), who owns a 9 2-1-2 record at this track.

Race 5: 5 1/2 furlongs, for fillies and mares three years old and up

#6 Tuscan Damsel (2-1) flashed a 74 Brisnet Speed rating the last time she ran 5 1/2 furlongs in a second-place showing at Woodbine on November 11. The five-year-old mare regularly raced on Woodbine's synthetic track while under the guidance of Michael Doyle, and will try the dirt in her first start in more than sixth months in her debut for conditioner Carl Anderson.

#7 Justcall Me Candy (4-1) could pull off a slight upset for hot trainer Jared Brown, a 27% winner (3-for-11) this meet. Jorge Carreno (a 27% winner at Assiniboia) back in the saddle could spell a winning combination for the Candy Ride granddaughter who gets her first start of the season on Tuesday night.

Race 6: 7 1/2 furlongs, for three-year-olds and up

#4 Dictator (5-2) is the one to beat in his second start with trainer Tom Gardipy Jr., a 22% winner in allowance races. The six-year-old gelding clocked an 86 Speed figure while finishing second by 1 1/2 lengths in a seven-furlong sprint at this track on June 6. Ronald Ali will stay in the silks for the Kentucky-bred grandson of A.P. Indy.

#3 House Limit (5-1) could also challenge for Brown in his first start off the claim. The seven-year-old came home second at a mile at Turf Paradise last out on April 1 and could benefit from the shorter distance.

We’ll add in #6 Railsplitter (6-1) in his first start with Wendy Anderson (a 14% winner this meet, 37% winner with shippers) and hot jockey Carreno, who is 3-for-7 over the last 10 days. The Bodemeister gelding will cut back in distance after racing a mile over Golden Gate’s Tapeta. His sharp four-furlong workout on June 4 adds to the appeal.

Race 7: 5 1/2 furlongs, for three-year-olds and up

#8 Mischievous Devil (9-5) is a heavy favorite for Gourneau after finishing second to Big Tony in a five-furlong sprint over the track on opening day of the current meet. The three-year-old gelding has hit the board in all three starts since joining Gourneau’s stable, but his only win came in a maiden claimer at Delta Downs on December 16.

The Can the Man son can be beaten by #1 Give a Little (3-1) for hot trainer Marvin Buffalo, a 50% winner (3-for-6) to start the meet. Drawing the inside post, which produces winners at a 22% clip, further improves the four-year-old’s chances.

$1 Pick 4: 4,6,7/6,7/3,4,6/1,8 ($36)