Keeler Johnson's picks and plays June 13

Updated:

Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares $75 worth of picks and plays for Monday, June 13 at Horseshoe Indianapolis and Presque Isle Downs, including a trio of cold exactas.

Picks and Plays

Presque Isle Downs: Race 3: Maiden Special Weight (one mile and 70 yards on Tapeta, 2:24 p.m. ET)

In terms of Brisnet Speed ratings, #3 Lovely Ever After (9-2) is fast enough to win this maiden special weight for fillies and mares. She finished second in a one-mile heat over this track and class level on May 25, beaten just 1 1/4 lengths while earning a 73 Brisnet Speed rating tied for the highest figure in Mondayโ€™s field.

That effort marked Lovely Ever Afterโ€™s first start over a synthetic track, so she still has upside for improvement under the care of hot trainer Tim Girten, who has gone 6-for-21 (29%) to start the Presque Isle meet.

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In addition to a win bet on Lovely Ever After, weโ€™ll key her over #1 Cornice Traverse (9-5) in the exacta.

  • $20 to win on #3 Lovely Ever After
  • $10 Exacta: 3 with 1
    Total: $30

Presque Isle Downs: Race 6: $8,000 Claiming (6 1/2 furlongs on Tapeta, 3:45 p.m. ET)

#6 Enjoy the Music (6-1) loves the Tapeta track at Presque Isle Downs. Heโ€™s won his last four starts over this surface with improving Brisnet Speed ratings of 72, 76, 77, and 77, most recently kicking off 2022 with a comfortable triumph in a $5,000 claimer.

Enjoy the Music has an effective stretch kick and will be guided on Monday by hot jockey Avery Whisman, who has gone 3-for-7 (43%) at Presque Isle this meet. Throw in the fact trainer S. Matthew Kintz strikes at a 31% rate with last-out winners, and Enjoy the Music is worth betting to win at his enticing morning line odds.

#5 Worbothor (9-5) can complete the exacta.

  • $20 to win on #6 Enjoy the Music
  • $5 Exacta: 6 with 5
    Total: $25

Horseshoe Indianapolis: Race 5: Maiden Special Weight (7 1/2 furlongs on turf, 4:34 p.m. ET)

Only one entrant in this maiden special weight for Indiana-breds has ever run on turf (and that try yielded a seventh-place finish), so itโ€™s difficult to know what to expect in this wide-open race.

Weโ€™ll take a chance betting #3 Broken Justice (9-2), a son of Harryโ€™s Holiday. Harryโ€™s Holiday was good enough to place second in the Spiral S. (G3) on synthetic, and his progeny win at a 36% rate on grass.

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Broken Justice has hit the board a few times against Indiana-bred maiden special weight company on dirt and might relish switching to grass in his four-year-old debut. Weโ€™ll place a win bet on Broken Justice, then key him over #8 Indy Biz (2-1) in the exacta.

  • $15 to win on #3 Broken Justice
  • $5 Exacta: 3 with 8
    Total: $20

Good luck!

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