Kentucky Downs Spot Plays and Pick 3 featuring the Turf Sprint (G2)

September 8th, 2023

Six graded stakes highlight a 12-race card on Saturday at Kentucky Downs, with the Grade 2 Kentucky Turf Cup serving as the finale.

Below we provide spot plays for the three graded stakes that precede the Turf Cup and offer a Pick 3 ticket combing races 9 through 11.

$1 Pick 3: 7 with 1, 10, 12 with 2, 3, 5, 9  ($12)

Race 9: Ladies Turf (G3), one mile (turf), 3yo and up fillies and mares

Morning line favorite #3 White Frost (9-5) has failed to reach the winner's circle in her last five starts and was beaten to second by more than two lengths in each of her last two at today's distance. We'll try to beat the Candy Ride mare with #7 New Year's Eve (5-2), a Kitten's Joy filly who won the Kentucky Downs Preview Ladies Turf Mile S. and will move back up in class here. Tyler Gaffalione will inherit the mount and is 4-for-7 paired with trainer Brendan Walsh over the last 14 days, while Walsh is a 20% winner with horses that won their last race, and he's been red-hot this meet, going 6-for-15. We'll single New Year's Eve in the first leg of our Pick 3.

Race 10: Turf Sprint (G2), 6 furlongs (turf), 3yos and up

Since moving to the barn of Michael Stidham, #10 Dream Shake (8-1) is 2-for-3, with his only setback a last-of-six finish in a six-furlong dirt sprint. Two back, he won on Woodbine's all-weather in an event taken off the turf, then followed up his victory with a one-length win in the seven-furlong Connaught Cup (G2), his second turf start to date. Dream Shake has since posted a pair of sharp workouts and will pick up jockey Tyler Gaffalione, a 16% winner on turf and the leading rider at Kentucky Downs last meet. We'll play Dream Shake to win and include  Kentucky Downs Preview Turf Sprint S. winner #1 One Timer (9-2) in the second leg of our Pick 3, along with Chad Brown runner #12 Dr Zempf (6-1).

Race 11: Ladies Turf Sprint (G2), 6 1/2 furlongs (turf), 3yo and up fillies and mares

#9 Gal in a Rush (12-1) will move up in class off a 2 1/2-length victory in a 5 1/2-furlong allowance optional claimer and will regain rider Irad Ortiz Jr., who won with the Ghostzapper filly two back in a seven-furlong allowance at Belmont. The Christophe Clement pupil owns a 9-3-4-1 record on turf and recorded a career-best 94 Brisnet figure last out, good for the highest last race speed figure among the field. Clement is also a 19% winner with horses that won their last race and a 21% winner with shippers. We'll play Gal in a Rush to win at a longer price and include #2 Quaria Comet (5-1) in her second start off a layoff, Caress (G3) runner-up #3 Wakanaka (4-1), and late presser type #5 Tony Ann (6-1), runner-up in the five-furlong Daisycutter H.