Aqueduct: A horse to single in the $86,599 Pick 6 carryover

May 12th, 2024

Bettors who want to win a share of Sunday’s non-jackpot $86,599 Pick 6 carryover at Aqueduct will have to decipher a formidable set of races.

The sequence for the $1 wager spans Race 4 (post time 2:35 p.m. ET) through Race 9. All six races contain at least eight horses, and even once you exclude 15 also-eligible and main-track-only entrants from the count, the total number of horses to analyze is 58, averaging nearly 9.7 per race.

Throw in the fact the six races all look competitive on paper, and finding a trustworthy single to build tickets around isn’t easy. But we’ll give it a shot with #10 All Good Here (7-5), the morning line favorite to win Race 9.

Race 9 is a $40,000 maiden claimer for New York-breds racing 1 1/16 miles on turf, conditions which should suit All Good Here to perfection. The four-year-old gelding competed exclusively against maiden special weight competition last year, most notably rallying from midfield to finish second by a neck in a one-mile contest for New York-breds at Belmont Park. The winner, Born Dancer, had previously placed in a stakes and went on to win a 1 1/16-mile allowance over the Saratoga turf in his next start.

All Good Here hasn’t raced since finishing seventh in an off-the-turf maiden special weight for New York-breds at Saratoga last summer. But trainer Christophe Clement wins at a lofty 21% rate with horses returning from layoffs of 90 days or more, so the time off shouldn’t be a major concern for All Good Here. Especially since he’s dropping into the maiden claiming ranks for the first time—Clement wins at a 25% rate with horses switching from maiden special weight to maiden claiming company.

But wait, it gets better. All Good Here has been gelded since his last start, opening the door for improvement. And he’s picking up red-hot jockey Joel Rosario, who has gone 5-for-12 (42%) to start the current Aqueduct meet. Three of those wins have come aboard horses trained by Clement.

Combining all of these positives together, All Good Here looks ready to produce a winning run in his 2024 debut. He’s already the co-fastest turf horse in Sunday’s field from a Brisnet Speed rating perspective, so any improvement at all will make All Good Here tough to beat, hence our ranking him as a worthy Pick 6 single.

Good luck!