Carryovers: $23,020 Pick 5 at Monmouth, $17,430 Super High 5 at Gulfstream

June 10th, 2023

Belmont Park isn’t the only track offering an enticing wagering menu on Saturday. Monmouth Park has a $23,020 Pick 5 carryover on the table, while Gulfstream Park offers a $17,430 Super High 5 prize pool.

Let’s check out both carryovers and identify horses to build tickets around:

Monmouth Park, Race 1: $23,020 Pick 5 carryover (12:40 p.m. ET)

Monmouth’s carryover involves the 50-cent Early Pick 5, which gets started right off the bat in Race 1, a maiden special weight for fillies and mares racing 1 1/16 miles on turf.

At first glance, #3 Rugelach (9-5) is a logical favorite; she’s cracked the trifecta in all three of her starts, including a seven-furlong turf maiden special weight at Belmont Park last month. But #1 Surge Capacity (3-1) is arguably the more likely winner.

A daughter of grass champion Flintshire, Surge Capacity is trained by Chad Brown, who has gone 7-for-18 (39%) at Monmouth Park this meet. Since 2021, Brown has compiled a strong 7-for-22 (32%) record saddling first-time starters over the Monmouth turf course, so you can bet Surge Capacity will be primed for a strong performance on debut.

Throw in the fact Surge Capacity will be ridden by Monmouth’s leading jockey Samy Camacho (who has gone 6-for-11, 55% teaming up with Brown over the last two months), and Surge Capacity is a compelling Pick 5 single.

Gulfstream Park, Race 1: $17,430 Super High 5 carryover (12:50 p.m. ET)

The five-figure carryover for Gulfstream’s $1 Super High 5 is available to chase in Race 1, a $12,500 maiden claimer for fillies and mares dashing 5 1/2 furlongs on Tapeta.

The morning line favorite is #12 Mo Rissa (3-1), a three-year-old filly dropping in class after competing in a trio of $35,000 maiden claimers and one $50,000 maiden optional claimer. But Mo Rissa’s form has deteriorated in recent starts and she’s facing older rivals for the first time, so even though trainer Jose D’Angelo wins at a 27% rate with horses dropping multiple levels down the class ladder, this might not be as easy a drop as it first appears.

In contrast, the five-year-old mare #11 Blue Twirlin (4-1) exits a $16,000 maiden claimer racing 1 1/16 miles over the Gulfstream Park turf course, a contest in which she tracked the early pace before weakening to finish sixth. That race marked Blue Twirlin’s first start in nearly a year, so she’s eligible to improve in her second start back for Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse.

Blue Twirlin is dropping in class, and the fact she’s switching surfaces and shortening up to 5 1/2 furlongs is appealing. Her lone sprint race to date was a $25,000 maiden optional claimer contested at seven furlongs over the Woodbine Tapeta track last year, and Blue Twirlin set the pace before fading down the homestretch. Saturday’s conditions might be perfect for Blue Twirlin, so we recommend keying her on top in the Super High 5.

Good luck!