Churchill: How to bet the $2,827 Super High 5 carryover
The carryover is up for grabs in Race 1 (post time 1:00 p.m. ET), a $20,000 maiden claimer taking place over one mile on dirt. An overflow field of 14 horses (including two also-eligibles) has been entered, so there are many possible outcomes to analyze.
Where do we begin in sorting out the contenders? Perhaps by keying #8 Absolute Courage (7-5) on top. Some bettors might hesitate to rely on a five-year-old maiden with a 0-for-14 lifetime record, but Absolute Courage has cracked the trifecta four times against $50,000 and $30,000 maiden claiming competition at Churchill Downs, Oaklawn Park, and Ellis Park. Tackling the $20,000 level might be all Absolute Courage needs to visit the winner’s circle.
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It helps that Absolute Courage has run well in three of his last four starts. Back in June he set the pace in a $30,000 maiden claimer racing one mile at Ellis Park before succumbing in a long homestretch battle to finish second by a head. And most recently, he finished a troubled third in a $16,000 maiden claimer racing 1 1/16 miles over the Ellis Park turf course, which marked only his second try on grass.
Absolute Courage has been freshened (and gelded) since August, which further opens the door for a winning run. Throw in the fact he’ll be ridden by hot jockey Tyler Gaffalione (a 21% winner at Churchill since the current meet began on Oct. 29), and Absolute Courage is a compelling choice to play on top in the Super High 5.
Who should we use underneath? Definitely #10 Go Cats (4-1), who has hit the board in his last two starts against $30,000 maiden claiming competition. The three-year-old gelding has every chance to record a top-three finish while dropping down to the $20,000 maiden claiming level, and we’ll construct our tickets accordingly.
Here’s how we’ll bet the Super High 5:
- $1 Super High 5: 8 with 10 with 4,5,9,11 with 4,5,9,11 with 4,5,9,11 ($24)
- $1 Super High 5: 8 with 3,4,5,9,11 with 10 with 4,5,9,11 with 4,5,9,11 ($36)