Gulfstream: Live longshots in the mandatory-payout $308,801 Rainbow Pick 6 carryover

April 27th, 2024

On Saturday at Gulfstream Park, a $308,801 jackpot carryover in the 20-cent Rainbow Pick 6 is being paid out in mandatory fashion. Gulfstream estimates that the final pool will exceed $3 million, making it a must-play wager.

The Pick 6 gets underway in Race 6 at approximately 3:38 p.m. ET. A competitive sequence awaits, and after analyzing the entries, we’ve identified a couple of double-digit longshots worth including on your tickets:

Race 6: #4 Mo Vanishing (15-1)

The opening leg of the Pick 6 is a $25,000 allowance optional claimer taking place over 1 1/16 miles on turf. There are many viable win contenders among the 10 entries, and we rank Mo Vanishing among them.

Mo Vanishing has competed primarily over Gulfstream’s synthetic Tapeta track, but he ended 2023 with a fine performance in a $25,000 allowance optional claimer racing one mile over the Gulfstream grass. After rating off the pace behind fractions of :22.39, :46.31, and 1:09.98, Mo Vanishing gobbled up ground down the homestretch (running his final quarter-mile in approximately :22.70) to win by half a length over a next-out winner in 1:33.51.

That marked Mo Vanishing’s second straight victory, since he’d previously prevailed in a $35,000 claimer on Tapeta. Mo Vanishing still has upside on turf and enters Saturday’s contest off four straight workouts over the Palm Meadows grass course, setting the stage for a competitive performance.

Race 10: #8 Smithwick’s Spice (12-1)

The penultimate leg of the Pick 6 is a $75,000 handicap taking place over five furlongs on turf. These conditions should suit Smithwick’s Spice just fine.

Smithwick’s Spice faltered in his most recent start, fading to finish seventh in a 1 1/16-mile $35,000 allowance optional claimer after setting hot fractions of :22.56, :45.19, and 1:08.35. But two starts back—in his only recent turf sprint start—Smithwick’s Spice led all the way through fractions of :21.22 and :43.97 to win the five-furlong Turf Dash at Tampa Bay Downs by a neck in :55.98.

The next two finishers in the Turf Dash were #7 Extendo (8-1) and #3 Yes I Am Free (7-2), two runners who are listed at shorter prices on the morning line for Race 10. In fact, Yes I Am Free is the morning line favorite. With this in mind, surely Smithwick’s Spice is an overlay? There’s no reason to think the eight-year-old gelding can’t vie for victory while returning to five furlongs.

Good luck!