Keeler Johnson's picks and plays of June 6
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Tuesday, June 6 at Horseshoe Indianapolis and Presque Isle Downs, including tickets for a pair of Pick 5 carryovers at Horseshoe Indianapolis.
Today’s special offers from TwinSpires include:
- Trifecta Tuesday: Receive a 15% bonus on trifecta winnings excluding stake amount; up to $25 per day.
Picks and Plays
Horseshoe Indianapolis: Race 1: Maiden Special Weight (five furlongs, 2:30 p.m. ET)
Since 2018, trainer John Ortiz has compiled an otherworldly 8-for-14 (57%) record debuting juveniles in dirt sprints at Horseshoe Indianapolis. That includes a 4-1 victory by Crown Imperial last week.
Ortiz can pick up another victory courtesy of #3 El Peligro (9-5). The son of speedy sprinter World of Trouble enters off encouraging workouts at Keeneland, including a recent half-mile from the starting gate in :48. The fact he’ll be ridden by hot apprentice jockey McKenna Anderson adds to the appeal; Anderson rides with a seven-pound weight allowance and has gone 3-for-7 (43%) teaming up with Ortiz over the last two months.
- #3 El Peligro (9-5)
- #6 Too Close (8-1)
- #5 Untroubled (5-2)
- $10 Exacta: 3 with 5,6 ($20)
- $2.50 Trifecta: 3 with 5,6 with 5,6,7 ($10)
- $10 Double: 3 with 6
Horseshoe Indianapolis: Race 2: $12,500 Claiming (one mile and 70 yards, 3:01 p.m. ET)
#6 Choctaw Bingo (8-5) has won four of her seven starts over the Horseshoe Indianapolis dirt, including a $22,500 starter optional claimer last summer. She recently finished second by a neck in a $27,500 starter optional claimer over the Horseshoe Indianapolis turf course and should be tough to beat while returning to dirt and dropping into a $12,500 claimer under hot jockey Marcelino Pedroza Jr., a 21% winner this meet.
Let’s single Choctaw Bingo to conclude our double wager and key her over #4 Longleggedlaverne (2-1) in the exacta.
- #6 Choctaw Bingo (8-5)
- #4 Longleggedlaverne (2-1)
- #2 Ocelia (8-1)
- $20 Exacta: 6 with 4
Presque Isle Downs: Race 4: Maiden Special Weight (six furlongs on Tapeta, 4:21 p.m. ET)
Since 2019, trainer John Bourke has compiled a respectable 3-for-18 (17%) record saddling first-time starters at Presque Isle Downs. As a result, we’ll view Bourke’s unraced four-year-old gelding #2 Colorful Lad (5-1) in a positive light.
A son of Senor Amigo, Colorful Lad was produced by the With Distinction mare Real Distinctive, who has already foaled two winners from two starters. Colorful Lad breezed a bullet half-mile in :47 at Presque Isle last month and followed up with five furlongs in 1:00 and a half-mile from the starting gate in :47 4/5, so he appears to have some talent.
Let’s bet Colorful Lad to win and call it a day.
- #2 Colorful Lad (5-1)
- #5 Italian Symphony (6-1)
- #1 Disaster Recovery (6-1)
- $25 to win on #2 Colorful Lad
Horseshoe Indianapolis: Race 1: $2,053 Pick 5 carryover (2:30 p.m. ET)
Horseshoe Indianapolis, Race 4: $1,154 Pick 5 carryover (4:03 p.m. ET)
Get ready, horseplayers—there are two non-jackpot Pick 5 carryovers up for grabs on Tuesday at Horseshoe Indianapolis.
The 50-cent Early Pick 5 features a $2,053 prize pool, while the carryover for the 50-cent Late Pick 5 stands at $1,151. Both wagers boast a low 11.99% takeout rate.
The Early Pick 5 should be relatively straightforward to play. We’ve already outlined our cases for #3 El Peligro (9-5) in Race 1 and #6 Choctaw Bingo (8-5) in Race 2. Singling them both should be a cost-effective strategy to start the sequence.
In Race 3, a $12,500 claimer for Indiana-breds racing one mile and 70 yards on dirt, we’ll favor #3 Shotgun Joe (7-2), #4 Unbridled Victor (3-1), and #5 Loademupjustice (5-2).
Race 4 and Race 5 are critical events since they’re contained in both the Early Pick 5 and the Late Pick 5. Race 4 is a six-furlong allowance for three-year-olds in which a case can be made for any of the six entrants. It’s tempting to hit the “ALL” button, and in fact that’s the approach we’ll take in both Pick 5s.
Race 5 appears considerably more straightforward. It’s a $30,000 maiden claimer for fillies and mares racing 1 1/16 miles on turf. #1 Chiromante (7-5) is a logical favorite after hitting the board in three of her five starts against maiden special weight competition in Kentucky, New York, and Florida. But we’ll back her up with #4 Alexandrova (9-2), whose lone turf start to date produced a third-place finish in a 1 1/16-mile maiden special weight at Woodbine.
- Race 1, 50-cent Pick 5: 3 with 6 with 3,4,5 with ALL with 1,4 ($18)
The Late Pick 5 continues in Race 6, a one-mile and 70-yard allowance for fillies and mares. #7 Stellar Lady (7-5) looks formidable while exiting a series of tough allowance optional claimers at Oaklawn Park, Fair Grounds, and Churchill Downs. She cracked the trifecta in two of them and also placed in a stakes last year, so the three-year-old filly is a logical single while tackling the Horseshoe Indianapolis allowance ranks under hot jockey Joe Talamo, who has gone 2-for-7 (29%) this meet.
Race 7 is a $12,500 claimer for fillies and mares racing 7 1/2 furlongs on turf. It’s a tough race with many viable contenders, so we’ll spread deep with #1 Mizzen Ash (5-2), #2 Wild Tapit (4-1), #3 Joan’s Way (10-1), #4 Lead Performer (5-1), #9 Miss Goodbar (6-1), and #10 America Rules (15-1).
The Late Pick 5 wraps up in Race 8, a 1 1/16-mile turf maiden special weight for Indiana-bred fillies and mares. Many of the entrants are exiting a one-mile race contested over this course and class level on May 15, an event in which #4 Tizzy Justice (7-2) finished second by a head while pulling 4 3/4 lengths clear of the rest. She’ll be tough to beat in her second turf try, so we’ll single her to conclude our ticket.
- Race 4, 50-cent Pick 5: ALL with 1,4 with 7 with 1,2,3,4,9,10 with 4 ($36)