Keeler Johnson's picks and plays of May 26

May 26th, 2023

Updated: September 12th, 2023

Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Friday, May 26 at Gulfstream Park and Churchill Downs, along with tickets and horses to play in non-jackpot carryovers at Churchill and Pimlico.

Todayโ€™s special offers from TwinSpires include:

  • Rest of the World $10 Money Back: Receive refunds on win bets (up to $10) if your horse finishes second in any race at Eagle Farm (AUS).

Picks and Plays

Gulfstream Park: Race 1: Maiden Special Weight (five furlongs on Tapeta, 12:50 p.m. ET)

Trainer Jose Dโ€™Angelo has compiled a 3-for-7 (43%) record debuting two-year-olds in Tapeta sprints at Gulfstream Park. This bodes well for #7 Zingales King (6-1), a first-time starter from Dโ€™Angeloโ€™s barn. Zingales King turned in a couple of decent half-mile workouts at Palm Meadows last month and is a son of Munnings, who sires a lofty 16% winners from first-time starters.

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At 6-1, Zingales King is worth betting to win and keying over #1 Praiseworthy (20-1) and #10 Titan (9-2) in the exacta.

Selections

  • #7 Zingales King (6-1)
  • #1 Praiseworthy (20-1)
  • #10 Titan (9-2)

Wagers

  • $20 to win on #7 Zingales King (6-1)
  • $5 Exacta: 7 with 1,10 ($10)
    Total: $30

Churchill Downs: Race 3: Maiden Special Weight (five furlongs, 1:43 p.m. ET)

#2 Whatโ€™s Crackin (8-1) has put together an encouraging work tab in preparation for her debut, highlighted by a couple of sharp half-mile workouts at Keeneland. Sire McCraken and dam Kell Paso were both stakes winners who won on debut at age two, and Kell Paso has already foaled a juvenile winner, so Whatโ€™s Crackin has the pedigree to excel from an early age.

Letโ€™s bet Whatโ€™s Crackin to win and key her over #3 Hockey (6-1) and #7 Crystal Symphony (8-1) in the exacta.

Selections

  • #2 Whatโ€™s Crackin (8-1)
  • #3 Hockey (6-1)
  • #7 Crystal Symphony (8-1)

Wagers

  • $20 to win on #2 Whatโ€™s Crackin
  • $5 Exacta: 2 with 3,7 ($10)
    Total: $30

Churchill Downs: Race 6: $30,000 Maiden Claiming (one mile, 3:18 p.m. ET)

#4 Absolute Courage (8-5) recently returned from a layoff with a decent sixth-place finish in a $50,000 maiden claimer at Churchill Downs. Facing a large field, Absolute Courage tracked the pace from third place, advanced to challenge around the far turn, and then weakened in the final furlong.

Dropping down to the $30,000 maiden claiming level can send Absolute Courage to the winnerโ€™s circle under jockey Tyler Gaffalione, one of the leading riders at Churchill Downs this meet. Weโ€™ll bet Absolute Courage to win and play him over longshots #7 I Run (8-1) and #3 Cote dโ€™Ivoire (15-1) in the exacta.

Selections

  • #4 Absolute Courage (8-5)
  • #7 I Run (8-1)
  • #3 Cote dโ€™Ivoire (15-1)

Wagers

  • $22 to win on #4 Absolute Courage
  • $4 Exacta: 4 with 3,7 ($8)
    Total: $30

Carryover Watch

Churchill Downs: Race 3: $4,978 Super High 5 carryover (1:43 p.m. ET)

Thereโ€™s a $4,978 carryover up for grabs in the $1 Super High 5 on Friday at Churchill Downs. Fortunately for us, the prize pool is available to chase in Race 3, the above-mentioned maiden special weight in which weโ€™re keen to back #2 Whatโ€™s Crackin (8-1) as a live longshot.

What if we take a stand and key Whatโ€™s Crackin on top in the Super High 5? Weโ€™ll be looking at an enticing payoff if Whatโ€™s Crackin takes home top honors.

Underneath, #3 Hockey (6-1) and #7 Crystal Symphony (8-1) are logical contenders. Both are first-time starters conditioned by Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse. Hockey is a daughter of Kentucky Derby (G1) winner Nyquist, who sires an excellent 15% winners from first-time starters, while Crystal Symphony has put together a sharp work tab highlighted by half a mile in :47 4/5 at Churchill Downs. Weโ€™ll count on one to finish second and the other to finish in the top five.

  • $1 Super High 5: 2 with 3,7 with 3,7 with 1,6,8 with 1,5,6,8 ($18)
  • $1 Super High 5: 2 with 3,7 with 1,6,8 with 3,7 with 1,5,6,8 ($18)
  • $1 Super High 5: 2 with 3,7 with 1,6,8 with 1,5,6,8 with 3,7 ($18)
    Total: $54

Pimlico: Race 5: $36,279 Pick 5 carryover (2:26 p.m. ET)

One of the most enticing Friday carryovers is up for grabs at Pimlico, where the 50-cent Late Pick 5 features a $36,279 prize pool.

If youโ€™re looking for a single to build tickets around, check out Race 7, a maiden special weight for juveniles sprinting 4 1/2 furlongs on dirt.  At first glance, morning line favorite #1 Under the Overpass (5-2) is a compelling choice; the son of Malibu Moon is conditioned by red-hot trainer Brittany Russell, a 24% winner with first-time starters who has gone 13-for-29 (45%) at Pimlico this meet.

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But we actually prefer the chances of #6 Wysoquiet (3-1). Trainer John Robb wins at a 23% rate with first-time starters and a 31% rate with horses debuting in maiden special weights, two positive angles in Wysoquietโ€™s favor. But more importantly, Robb is a frequent winner when debuting juveniles early in the season at Pimlico; since 2018 heโ€™s gone 3-for-6 (50%) saddling such horses during the month of May.

Wysoquiet enters off a bullet three-furlong workout at Laurel Park and has hot jockey Xavier Perez named to ride, so weโ€™ll take a stand and single Wysoquiet in the Pick 5.

Good luck!

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