Ellis Park: How to bet the $1,671 Super High 5 carryover
The prize pool for the $1 wager is up for grabs in Race 1, a $30,000 maiden claimer taking place over one mile on dirt. With nine horses in the entries, there are 15,120 possible Super High 5 outcomes.
The morning line favorite is #4 Mo Moves (5-2), a capable sprinter who placed in a pair of $50,000 maiden claimers dashing six furlongs at Fair Grounds during the winter. But last time out, Mo Moves faded from a pacesetting position to finish seventh in a $30,000 maiden claimer traveling 6 1/2 furlongs at Churchill Downs.
That wasn’t an inspiring performance, but Mo Moves has since been gelded, and he’s dropping blinkers and stretching beyond 6 1/2 furlongs for the first time in his initial start for trainer Robert Medina, who wins at a 28% rate with horses running long for the first time. In other words, there are many reasons to believe Mo Moves can move forward… but also a number of question marks. He’s worth playing, but not necessarily on top.
For first prize, we prefer the chances of #3 Tricolour (7-2), who has been competing primarily on turf and synthetic as of late. But two starts back, Tricolour tackled a 1 1/16-mile maiden special weight at Horseshoe Indianapolis and tracked a slow pace on his way to second place. That effort produced a sharp 76 Brisnet Speed rating, so Tricolour looks fast enough to win at the $30,000 maiden claiming level. The fact trainer Kenneth Miller has gone 2-for-4 (50%) at Ellis since July 7 adds to the appeal.
Other logical contenders include #6 Good News Rocket (9-2), a three-year-old dropping in class out of three maiden special weights at Saratoga and Ellis Park, and #9 Reprehend (8-1), who has hit the board in three straight $20,000 and $30,000 maiden claimers.
Here’s how we’ll bet the Super High 5:
- $1 Super High 5: 3 with 4,6,9 with 4,6,9 with 4,5,6,7,9 with 4,5,6,7,9 ($36)