Ellis Park: Live longshots for the $32,743 Pick 5 carryover

August 27th, 2023

Want to win a share of a five-figure Pick 5 carryover? Then check out the Sunday card at Ellis Park. The 50-cent Late Pick 5 gets underway in Race 5 (post time 2:45 p.m. ET) and features a carryover worth $32,743.

The five races all look competitive, so let’s dig through the entries and highlight a couple of live longshots. If one or both visit the winner’s circle, we’ll be well on our way to cashing a big Pick 5 payoff.

Race 5: #8 Know Who You Are (15-1)

Race 5 is a deep maiden special weight for two-year-olds sprinting six furlongs on dirt. The field is packed with first-time starters conditioned by high-profile trainers like Steve Asmussen, Todd Pletcher, and Brad Cox, which might be why Know Who You Are is listed at 15-1 even though his credentials are impressive.

Know Who You Are has been cranking out fast workouts at The Thoroughbred Center for high-percentage trainer William Cowans, who strikes at a lofty 27% rate with first-time starters. He’s twice posted bullet five-furlong breezes, and he capped off his preparations with a swift half-mile from the starting gate in :47 4/5.

But wait, there’s more. Know Who You Are is a son of Belmont (G1) winner Union Rags, who matured early enough to win the Champagne (G1) and place in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) at age two. And Know Who You Are will be ridden by jockey Alex Achard, who has gone 3-for-8 (38%) teaming up with Cowans over the last two months.

Spreading deep might be necessary to guarantee survival in the opening leg of the Pick 5, and Know Who You Are is definitely a runner worth using.

Race 8: #3 Mouffy (15-1)

The feature event on Sunday is Race 8, the $125,000 Ellis Park Turf S. for fillies and mares racing 1 1/16 miles on grass. A field of 11 has entered, and among the many viable win contenders is Mouffy.

A beautifully bred daughter of Uncle Mo out of the stakes-placed Smart Strike mare Truly Together, Mouffy won two of her first four starts on dirt and synthetic, then switched to turf for a $40,000 allowance optional claimer at Horseshoe Indianapolis and launched a sharp rally to win by a neck. The runner-up, Timeless Rose, came back to win a similar race before placing in a stakes.

With a 1-for-1 record on turf, Mouffy is largely untested and has upside for improvement. She’s adding blinkers for trainer Jonathan Thomas (a 40% winner at Ellis Park this meet) and can’t be counted out of the mix at a big price.

Good luck!