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Keeneland expert picks: Wednesday, April 24, 2024
We kick off the final week of the Keeneland Spring Meet with an eight-race card on Wednesday.
Racing
Meet the Contenders: 2024 Kentucky Oaks
Meet the horses running in the 2024 Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs.
Racing
Meet the Contenders: 2024 Kentucky Derby
Meet the horses running in the 2024 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs.
Racing
Resilience – Kentucky Derby Context
Resilience likes to race up close with his tactical speed and appears to be discovering his best form at the right time
Racing
Tuesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Five-figure Pick 5 carryovers
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Tuesday, April 23 at Horseshoe Indianapolis, including horses to play in a pair of five-figure Pick 5 carryovers.
Racing
Fierceness – Kentucky Derby Context
Based on nearly every metric, Fierceness is the fastest horse entering the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby (G1)
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Sierra Leone – Kentucky Derby Context
Long and physically imposing, Sierra Leone will bring a dynamic closing kick to the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby (G1).
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Just a Touch – Kentucky Derby Context
A late-developing colt, Just a Touch impressively captured his career debut over a sloppy track at Fair Grounds in late January and followed with a good second in the Gotham (G3) at Aqueduct in the slop.
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Stronghold – Kentucky Derby Context
After a pair of seconds in his first two stakes attempts last year, Stronghold improved over the winter, recording a smashing win in the Sunland Derby (G3) and a courageous triumph in the Santa Anita Derby (G1)
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Forever Young – Kentucky Derby Context
The highest-ever rated dirt two-year-old in Japan, Forever Young may be the one to buck recent international trends in the Kentucky Derby (G1)
Racing
Monday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Opening day at Thistledown
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Monday, April 22 at Thistledown, Will Rogers Downs, and Turf Paradise, including a 15-1 longshot.
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Sunday, April 21, 2024
It’s the final Sunday of the Keeneland Spring Meet, with closing day slated for Friday, April 26. We’ve got top picks in the first five races for Sunday’s nine-race card.
Racing
Keeneland: Analyzing the $11,895 Super High 5 carryover
The Sunday card at Keeneland doesn’t offer any stakes races, but it does feature an enticing non-jackpot $11,895 carryover in the $1 Super High 5.
Racing
How to bet the Santa Maria Stakes
An octet of fillies and mares will travel 1 1/16 miles on the Santa Anita main oval in Sunday’s $200,000 Santa Maria S. (G2).
Racing
Tampa Bay Downs: Betting the $2,997 Super High 5 carryover
The Saturday card at Tampa Bay Downs is kicking off on an enticing note with a non-jackpot $2,997 Super High 5 carryover on the table.
Racing
Hanson: Spot Plays for Newbury April 20
The start of my 2024 British flat season betting did not get off to the quickest of starts Wednesday at Newmarket, with both top selections going unplaced. Our original $1,000 bankroll, from which we are betting 5% of the balance to win on each top pick, is down to $902 heading into Saturday's action at Newbury.
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Saturday, April 20, 2024
It's the final Saturday of the Keeneland Spring Meet! The Grade 2 Elkhorn and the Grade 3 Ben Ali are the main features on the 10-race card at Keeneland.
Racing
Hong Kong: Selections for Sha Tin night of April 19
Racing at Sha Tin begins late Friday night/early Saturday morning at 1 a.m. ET. Selections and analysis by Declan Schuster of the Hong Kong Jockey Club.
Racing
How to bet the Providencia Stakes
Eight sophomore fillies will travel nine panels on the Santa Anita lawn in Saturday’s $100,000 Providencia S. (G3). I think that the affair will boil down to a pair of runners and will bet aggressively with my top duo.
Racing
Keeneland Fast Facts for April 20, 2024
TwinSpires Fast Facts is a new tool we are working on to enhance and streamline your handicapping!
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Friday, April 19, 2024
The Grade 3 Doubledogdare is the main feature on Friday’s 10-race card at Keeneland
Racing
The Jury: Expert Picks, Bets and Fades for April 20 [Video]
In a condensed jury this week, racing analyst Darin Zoccali gives his best bets and fades at Keeneland and examines a competitive field in the $1.25 million Oaklawn H. (G2). Be sure to check out Darin's opinions in the video above, along with a couple of TwinSpires promos available this weekend and heading into Kentucky Derby week!
Racing
Friday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Keeneland’s $33,775 Pick 6 carryover
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Friday, April 19 at Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, and Charles Town, along with horses to play in two rich carryovers at Keeneland.
Racing
How to bet the 2024 Oaklawn Handicap
An excellent field of 11 will vie in Saturday’s lucrative $1.25 million Oaklawn H. (G2) at Oaklawn Park.
Racing
Just Steel – Kentucky Derby Context
Runner-up in the Arkansas Derby (G1), Just Steel likes to race close to the pace and the early/presser rates as an intriguing longshot for the 150th Kentucky Derby (G1) following a career-best effort at 1 1/8 miles
Racing
Betting With, and Against, Kingsbarns in the Ben Ali
2023 Louisiana Derby (G2) star #4 Kingsbarns (2-1) is the morning line choice for Saturday’s $300,000 Ben Ali S. (G3) at Keeneland.
Racing
Exotics Plays for the 2024 Elkhorn Stakes
An excellent cast of 11 turf stayers will run 1 1/2 miles on the Keeneland turf in Saturday’s $350,000 Elkhorn S. (G2).
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Dornoch – Kentucky Derby Context
A full brother to 2023 Kentucky Derby (G1) winner Mage, Dornoch convincingly broke his maiden going two turns at Keeneland last fall.
Racing
Track Phantom – Kentucky Derby Context
Track Phantom broke his maiden when stretching out to two turns at Churchill Downs last fall and followed with convincing wins in the Gun Runner S. and Lecomte (G3) at Fair Grounds, establishing himself as a legitimate Kentucky Derby (G1) contender
Racing
Catching Freedom – Kentucky Derby Context
After being cut off a couple of strides out of the gate, Catching Freedom dropped back to last and offered a dynamic closing kick to win the 1 3/16-mile Louisiana Derby (G2) at Fair Grounds by a length.
Racing
Preakness berth on the line in Federico Tesio Stakes
An automatic entry in the May 18 Preakness S. (G1) at Pimlico is at stake in Saturday’s $125,000 Federico Tesio S. at Laurel Park.
Racing
Keeneland Expert Picks: Thursday, April 18, 2024
Wednesday’s weather report called for thunderstorms at Keeneland, but Thursday we should get a break from the rain. Let’s look at the first five races on the card, which includes four maiden races and just one on the turf.
Racing
Thursday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Gulfstream’s $121,788 Pick 5 carryover
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Thursday, April 18 at Aqueduct and Charles Town, along with a ticket for the $121,788 Pick 5 carryover at Gulfstream Park.
Racing
Honor Marie – Kentucky Derby Context
Honor Marie has shown an affinity for Churchill Downs, winning the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) last November, and he will bring a closing kick to the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby (G1) on May 4.
Racing
Society Man – Kentucky Derby Context
After winning a maiden race the fourth time out in mid-March, Society Man earned a spot in the Kentucky Derby (G1) field by finishing second in the Wood Memorial (G2) at 106-1 odds
Racing
Domestic Product – Kentucky Derby Context
A midpack stalker, Domestic Product overcame a tough trip in traffic behind a glacial pace in the Tampa Bay Derby (G3) on March 9, getting up determinedly to prevail by a neck
Racing
Wednesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Oil Man is working fast
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Wednesday, April 17 at Tampa Bay Downs and Horseshoe Indianapolis, including a win bet on a fast-working first-time starter.
Racing
Catalytic – Kentucky Derby Context
Catalytic earned a spot in the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby (G1) by finishing second in his stakes debut and third career start, the Florida Derby (G1)
Racing
Mystik Dan – Kentucky Derby Context
After racing on or close to the lead in his first four starts, Mystik Dan became more effective when switching to rating tactics two starts back, and the bay colt will look to make a serious impact from off the pace in the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby (G1)
Racing
West Saratoga – Kentucky Derby Context
West Saratoga gamely outfinished four rivals for second in the Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), guaranteeing his participation in the 150th Kentucky Derby (G1) on May 4.
Racing
Hong Kong: Selections for Happy Valley April 17
Racing at Happy Valley begins at 6:40 a.m. ET. Selections and analysis by Declan Schuster of the Hong Kong Jockey Club.
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Wednesday, April 17, 2024
It’s a new week at Keeneland and another chance to win some money! TwinSpires is back with our Daily Double Down promo.
Racing
Hanson: Spot Plays for Newmarket April 17
Horseplayers looking to turn an annual profit are typically advised to exploit their handicapping strengths and limit their relative weaknesses. There's a particular strength of mine that I hope to exploit again, starting this week.
Racing
Tuesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Double-digit first-timers
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Tuesday, April 16 at Horseshoe Indianapolis, including double-digit longshots in a double wager.
Racing
Monday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: A couple of cold exactas
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Monday, April 15 at Will Rogers Downs and Turf Paradise, including two cold exactas.
Racing
Keeneland: Analyzing the $9,927 Super High 5 carryover
The Super High 5 carryover up for grabs on Sunday at Keeneland isn’t quite in the five-figure range, But it’s close, coming in at $9,927.
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Pick 5 ticket for Sunday, April 14, 2024
Let’s close out the second week of Keeneland's Spring Meet with a Late Pick 5 ticket for Sunday’s nine-race card.
Racing
Mahoning: Betting the $105,393 Pick 6 mandatory payout
Saturday is closing day of the Mahoning Valley race meet, which means the $105,393 jackpot carryover in the 20-cent Pick 6 is slated for a mandatory payout.
Racing
How to bet the 2024 Park Avenue at Aqueduct
A total of eight sophomore fillies bred in the Empire State will go 6 1/2 furlongs on the Aqueduct dirt in Sunday’s $200,000 New York Stallion S. (Park Avenue Division). The trio of horses drawn outside in the affair appear to be best, and I will center my plays around them.
Racing
Hong Kong: Selections for Sha Tin April 13
Racing at Sha Tin begins at 11:59 p.m. ET. Selections and analysis by Declan Schuster of the Hong Kong Jockey Club.
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Saturday, April 13, 2024
We’ve got the final Road to the Kentucky Derby prep, the Grade 3 Lexington, in Race 10 today, as well as the Grade 3 Giant’s Causeway and Grade 1 Jenny Wiley.
Racing
Keeneland Fast Facts for April 13, 2024
TwinSpires Fast Facts is a new tool we are working on to enhance and streamline your handicapping!
Racing
The Jury: Expert Picks, Bets and Fades for April 13 [Video]
Racing analysts Ashley Anderson, James Scully, and Darin Zoccali talk their bets and fades for Keeneland and Oaklawn. Ashley and James offer their thoughts in the written portion below. Be sure to check out Darin's opinions in our on-camera portion as well!
Racing
Friday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Aqueduct’s $23,062 Pick 6 carryover
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Friday, April 12 at Tampa Bay Downs, Gulfstream Park, and Aqueduct, including horses to play in Aqueduct’s $23,062 Pick 6 carryover.
Racing
Exotics Plays for the 2024 Jenny Wiley Stakes
A superb field of 10 fillies and mares will travel 1 1/16 miles on the Keeneland lawn in Saturday’s $600,000 Jenny Wiley S. (G1).
Racing
Betting With, and Against, Elm Drive in the Giant’s Causeway Stakes
Las Cienegas S. (G3) second #11 Elm Drive (7-2) has been installed as the morning-line choice for Saturday’s $300,000 Giant’s Causeway S. (G3) at Keeneland.
Racing
How to bet the 2024 Apple Blossom Handicap
An accomplished cast of nine fillies and mares will go postward in Saturday’s lucrative $1.25 million Apple Blossom H. (G1) at Oaklawn Park.
Racing
How to bet the 2024 Count Fleet Sprint Handicap
Conditioner Steve Asmussen has the three of the leading contenders for Saturday’s $500,000 Count Fleet H. (G3) at Oaklawn Park.
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Friday, April 12, 2024
The Grade 1 Maker’s Mark Mile and 5 1/2-furlong Limestone S. headline Friday’s 10-race card.
Racing
Meet the Contenders: 2024 Lexington Stakes
Meet the horses running in the 2024 Lexington S. at Keeneland. For each horse, we're listing a pro, a con, and a rating of potential.
Racing
Thursday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Cold Gulfstream double
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Thursday, April 4 at Gulfstream Park and Turf Paradise, including a cold $20 double wager.
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Thursday, April 11, 2024
It’s another rainy day at Keeneland with potential for severe thunderstorms the first half of the day. Like Wednesday, we’ll stick to a Pick 5 ticket for the first five races, all scheduled for the dirt.
Racing
How to bet the 2024 Maker’s Mark Mile
A fantastic field of eight will vie in Friday’s $600,000 Maker’s Mark Mile (G1) on the Keeneland turf. Defending Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1) star #4 Master of the Seas (4-5) will make his six-year-old debut in this one for Charlie Appleby, but I will aim to upset the morning-line choice in a field lacking pace.
Racing
Tipsheet: 2024 Lexington Stakes
A total of 10 sophomores will run 1 1/16 miles on the Keeneland dirt in Saturday’s $400,000 Lexington S. (G3).
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Pick 5 ticket for Wednesday, April 10, 2024
We kick off a new week of racing at Keeneland with an Early Pick 5 ticket. With a high-percentage chance of rain, we’ve got the toughest challenge of the spring meet so far.
Racing
Wednesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Keeneland’s $7,472 Super High 5
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Wednesday, April 10 at Tampa Bay Downs and Will Rogers Downs, along with horses to play in the $7,472 Super High 5 carryover at Keeneland.
Racing
Hong Kong: Selections for Happy Valley April 10
Racing at Happy Valley begins at 6:40 a.m. ET. Selections and analysis by Declan Schuster of the Hong Kong Jockey Club.
Racing
Tuesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Top of My Game is hot
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Tuesday, April 9 at Will Rogers Downs and Turf Paradise, including a 9-2 shot in hot form.
Racing
Monday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: $376,658 Pick 5 mandatory payout
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Monday, April 8 at Horseshoe Indianapolis, along with a ticket for the mandatory-payout $376,658 Pick 5 carryover at Parx Racing
Racing
Fierceness hardens into Kentucky Derby favoritism at 5-2 in Pool 6
Champion Fierceness ranked as the 5-2 favorite in the final Pool 6 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager, which closed before Saturday's major preps.
Racing
Aqueduct: A single for the $72,394 Pick 6 carryover
No one hit the $1 Pick 6 on Saturday at Aqueduct, triggering an enticing non-jackpot carryover worth $72,394 for Sunday’s card.
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Pick 5 ticket for Sunday, April 7, 2024
We're closing out opening weekend with a Late Pick 5 ticket to play Sunday at Keeneland, beginning in Race 5.
Racing
Keeneland carryovers: $66,548 Pick 6, $11,321 Super High 5
No one hit the $1 Pick 6 on opening day at Keeneland, triggering an enticing non-jackpot carryover worth $66,548 for Saturday’s stakes-packed card.
Racing
Hong Kong: Selections for Sha Tin April 6
Racing at Sha Tin begins at 11:59 p.m. ET. Selections and analysis by Declan Schuster of the Hong Kong Jockey Club.
Racing
How to bet the Angels Flight Stakes
An excellent cast of nine three-year-old fillies will travel 6 1/2 panels down the Hillside Turf Course at Santa Anita on Sunday in the $100,000 Angels Flight S.
Racing
How to bet with, and against, Life Talk in the Gazelle
Ten sophomore fillies with Kentucky Oaks (G1) aspirations will vie in Saturday’s $200,000 Gazelle S. (G2) at Aqueduct.
Racing
Friday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: 10-1 longshot at Keeneland
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Friday, April 5 at Keeneland and Oaklawn Park, along with horses to play in the $3,283 Super High 5 carryover at Tampa Bay Downs.
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Saturday, April 6, 2024
The Blue Grass S. (G1) is the main feature on Saturday’s 11-race card. Mage’s full-brother Dornoch goes head to head with Sierra Leone, who was beaten just a nose by Dornoch in the Remsen S. (G2) last winter.
Racing
The Jury: Expert Picks, Bets and Fades for April 6 [Video]
Racing analysts Ashley Anderson, James Scully, and Nick Tammaro talk their bets and fades for Keeneland opening weekend and more. Ashley and James give their thoughts in the written portion below. Be sure to check out Nick's opinions in our on-camera portion as well!
Racing
Tipsheet 2024 Santa Anita Derby
A total of eight three-year-olds will run 1 1/8 miles in Saturday’s $750,000 Santa Anita Derby (G1).
Racing
Exotics Plays for the 2024 Transylvania Stakes
The $400,000 Transylvania S. (G3) at Keeneland on Friday might be the most competitive domestic race that I have handicapped in some time.
Racing
How to bet the 2024 Ashland Stakes
An octet of three-year-old fillies with Kentucky Oaks aspirations will vie in the opening day feature at Keeneland, the $600,000 Ashland S. (G1).
Racing
Tipsheet: 2024 Wood Memorial Stakes
A huge field of 13 three-year-olds will go postward at Aqueduct in the $750,000 Wood Memorial S. (G2) on Saturday.
Racing
Meet the Contenders: 2024 Santa Anita Derby
Meet the horses running in the 2024 Santa Anita Derby at Santa Anita. For each horse, we're listing a pro, a con, and a rating of potential.
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Friday, April 5, 2024
It’s opening day for the 2024 Keeneland Spring Meet, headlined by the Grade 1 Ashland, a Kentucky Oaks (G1) prep worth 100 points to the winner.
Racing
Thursday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Two Sunland carryovers
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Thursday, April 4 at Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, and Santa Anita, along with horses to play in a pair of Sunland Park carryovers.
Racing
Meet the Contenders: 2024 Wood Memorial Stakes
Meet the horses running in the 2024 Wood Memorial Stakes at Aqueduct. For each horse, we're listing a pro, a con, and a rating of potential.
Racing
Tipsheet: 2024 Blue Grass Stakes
A talented field of 11 three-year-olds will travel nine furlongs on the Keeneland main oval in Saturday’s $1 million Blue Grass S. (G1).
Racing
Wednesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Tampa’s $11,195 Super High 5 carryover
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Wednesday, April 3 at Mahoning Valley and Turf Paradise, along with tickets for the $11,195 Super High 5 carryover at Tampa Bay Downs.
Racing
Fierceness installed at 7-2 for final 2024 Kentucky Derby Future Wager
The final pool of the 2024 Kentucky Derby Future Wager (KDFW) will be held this week beginning Thursday. The pool will close Saturday at 4 p.m. ET, before the Wood Memorial (G2), Blue Grass (G1), and Santa Anita Derby (G1) are run.
Racing
Hong Kong: Selections for Happy Valley April 3
Racing at Happy Valley begins at 7:15 a.m. ET. Selections and analysis by Declan Schuster of the Hong Kong Jockey Club.
Racing
Tuesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Light the Code is ready for debut
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Tuesday, April 2 at Will Rogers Downs and Turf Paradise, including a cold double bet.
Racing
Kentucky Derby pedigree profile: Mystik Dan
Does Mystik Dan have the pedigree to stretch out over 1 1/4 miles in the Kentucky Derby (G1)? That’s an important question Derby handicappers must ponder.
Racing
Monday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Curlin’s Lil Gal is live on debut
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Monday, April 1 at Mahoning Valley, Will Rogers Downs, and Turf Paradise, including a 6-1 first-time starter with hot connections.
Racing
Gulfstream: Analyzing the $866,897 mandatory-payout Pick 6
If the thought of chasing a ~$7.5 million Pick 6 pool sounds enticing, you’ll want to play the Sunday card at Gulfstream Park.
Racing
Turfway: Betting the mandatory payout $233,156 Pick 6 carryover
Saturday is closing day at Turfway Park, which means the massive $233,156 jackpot carryover in the 20-cent Pick 6 is slated for mandatory payout.
Racing
Hong Kong: Selections for Sha Tin March 31
Racing at Sha Tin begins at 11:59 p.m. ET. Selections and analysis by Declan Schuster of the Hong Kong Jockey Club.
Racing